Caroline Baum: Fed officials are playing with fire if they deliberately invert the yield curve
Some Fed officials are saying that it wouldn’t matter if the yield curve inverts, but Caroline Baum says it would mean a recession is coming......»»
Caroline Baum: To invert or not to invert? That is the Fed’s question
The market is not persuaded that the Fed will keep to its agenda of raising rates if it means the yield curve inverts......»»
Caroline Baum: The Fed is complacent; the bond market is not
The yield curve is on the cusp of inverting again, and the Fed is comfortable with the idea that policy accommodation is appropriate......»»
Caroline Baum: Encouraging the Fed to artificially flatten the yield curve is a bad idea
Federal Reserve policy makers are searching for new tools in a crisis, but believing that a flat yield curve can stimulate the economy makes no sense......»»
Market Snapshot: U.S. stocks retreat after yield curve inverts again, two Fed officials take hawkish tone in Jackson Hole
Stock fall on Thursday as investors shift their focus on the annual Federal Reserve symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo.,.....»»
U.S. yield curve: Invert, steepen, repeat
A swift steepening of the U.S. 2-year/10-year yield curve after it inverted last week may have given investors hope that the United States can escape recession. They should probably take a breath......»»
U.S. Commerce Secretary Ross downplays fears of recession
U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Monday added to a chorus of presidential officials downplaying concerns over a looming recession after the U.S. Treasury yield curve temporarily inverted last week for the first time in 12 years......»»
Forget The Yield Curve, It"s Argentina"s Collapse That Highlights The Market"s Biggest Problem
Distracted by Hong Kong social unrest and focused on yield curve inversions and negative yields worldwide, it is not surprising the 'average joe' investor is missing the real forest fire for the trees. Wit.....»»
What an inverted yield curve is and why it might signal a recession
The spread between yields on U.S. two-year and 10-year notes, a closely watched metric, is likely to invert for the first time since 2007. That would follow the inversion of another part of the yield curve earlier in the year. Here is what that means......»»
Caroline Baum: Using level of long-term rates to assess financial conditions is a mistake
Financial conditions indexes don’t give any advance warning that a recession is coming, so why do Fed officials put so much stock in them? asks Caroline Baum......»»
Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical Events + Big Bank Earnings
$BAC, $C, $JPM, $MS, $WFC, $USD, $GBP, $JPY The Fed As the US yield curve is deciding whether to invert/not Invert, investors seek reassurance that we are in a era of non-inflationary growth.....»»
RaboBank: "This Is Not A Healthy Sign As Bond Traders Know"
Submitted by Michael Every of RaboBank The US yield curve continues to invert: the 3M-.....»»
Bond Report: 10-year Treasury yield lowest since 2017 as curve continues to invert
A rally by U.S. .....»»
Fed rate cut seen nearer as yield curves invert
The Federal Reserve’s stunning about-face on rate increases along with weak economic data has left a key part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve close to levels at which the U.S. central bank has in the past been prompted to cut rates......»»
Bond Report: Treasury yield curve extends flattening as Fed officials highlight potential for further rate hikes
Treasury yields retrace their climb on Monday after speakers from the Federal Reserve appear to open the door to a steeper rate hike trajectory, a move that would flatten the so-called yield curve......»»
The yield curve looks like it could invert within the next year
AP When the yield curve — the difference between short- and long-term government bond yields — inverts, it has hist.....»»
Bullard concerned that other Fed officials are not worried about yield-curve inversion
This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news......»»
Bullard: Worried yield curve could invert as soon as September
This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news......»»
Fed Officials Debate Signal From Flattening Yield Curve
Some Federal Reserve officials are laying the groundwork to slow down the Fed’s interest-rate increases if they foresee a bond-market development that has traditionally been a harbinger of recession......»»
Goodbye inverted yield curve? Fed looks for alternative signals to guide policy
Federal Reserve officials are scouring new niches of the financial markets to find signals accurate enough to warn the central bank when it is time to stop hiking interest rates before they risk tipping the economy into a recession......»»
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process
Authored by Doug Kass via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Yield Curve Will Likely Invert by November, 2018 .....»»