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Caroline Baum: Fed officials are playing with fire if they deliberately invert the yield curve

Some Fed officials are saying that it wouldn’t matter if the yield curve inverts, but Caroline Baum says it would mean a recession is coming......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchSep 18th, 2018

Caroline Baum: To invert or not to invert? That is the Fed’s question

The market is not persuaded that the Fed will keep to its agenda of raising rates if it means the yield curve inverts......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJul 5th, 2018

Caroline Baum: The Fed is complacent; the bond market is not

The yield curve is on the cusp of inverting again, and the Fed is comfortable with the idea that policy accommodation is appropriate......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJan 29th, 2020

Caroline Baum: Encouraging the Fed to artificially flatten the yield curve is a bad idea

Federal Reserve policy makers are searching for new tools in a crisis, but believing that a flat yield curve can stimulate the economy makes no sense......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJun 6th, 2019

Market Snapshot: U.S. stocks retreat after yield curve inverts again, two Fed officials take hawkish tone in Jackson Hole

Stock fall on Thursday as investors shift their focus on the annual Federal Reserve symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo.,.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 22nd, 2019

U.S. yield curve: Invert, steepen, repeat

A swift steepening of the U.S. 2-year/10-year yield curve after it inverted last week may have given investors hope that the United States can escape recession. They should probably take a breath......»»

Category: topSource: reutersAug 20th, 2019

U.S. Commerce Secretary Ross downplays fears of recession

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Monday added to a chorus of presidential officials downplaying concerns over a looming recession after the U.S. Treasury yield curve temporarily inverted last week for the first time in 12 years......»»

Category: topSource: reutersAug 19th, 2019

Forget The Yield Curve, It"s Argentina"s Collapse That Highlights The Market"s Biggest Problem

Distracted by Hong Kong social unrest and focused on yield curve inversions and negative yields worldwide, it is not surprising the 'average joe' investor is missing the real forest fire for the trees. Wit.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeAug 16th, 2019

What an inverted yield curve is and why it might signal a recession

The spread between yields on U.S. two-year and 10-year notes, a closely watched metric, is likely to invert for the first time since 2007. That would follow the inversion of another part of the yield curve earlier in the year. Here is what that means......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralAug 14th, 2019

Caroline Baum: Using level of long-term rates to assess financial conditions is a mistake

Financial conditions indexes don’t give any advance warning that a recession is coming, so why do Fed officials put so much stock in them? asks Caroline Baum......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJul 18th, 2019

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical Events + Big Bank Earnings

$BAC, $C, $JPM, $MS, $WFC, $USD, $GBP, $JPY The Fed As the US yield curve is deciding whether to invert/not Invert, investors seek reassurance that we are in a era of non-inflationary growth.....»»

Category: topSource: livetradingnewsApr 8th, 2019

RaboBank: "This Is Not A Healthy Sign As Bond Traders Know"

Submitted by Michael Every of RaboBank The US yield curve continues to invert: the 3M-.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeMar 26th, 2019

Bond Report: 10-year Treasury yield lowest since 2017 as curve continues to invert

A rally by U.S. .....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchMar 25th, 2019

Fed rate cut seen nearer as yield curves invert

The Federal Reserve’s stunning about-face on rate increases along with weak economic data has left a key part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve close to levels at which the U.S. central bank has in the past been prompted to cut rates......»»

Category: topSource: reutersMar 25th, 2019

Bond Report: Treasury yield curve extends flattening as Fed officials highlight potential for further rate hikes

Treasury yields retrace their climb on Monday after speakers from the Federal Reserve appear to open the door to a steeper rate hike trajectory, a move that would flatten the so-called yield curve......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchApr 16th, 2018

The yield curve looks like it could invert within the next year

AP When the yield curve — the difference between short- and long-term government bond yields — inverts, it has hist.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderMay 5th, 2018

Bullard concerned that other Fed officials are not worried about yield-curve inversion

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchMay 11th, 2018

Bullard: Worried yield curve could invert as soon as September

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchMay 11th, 2018

Fed Officials Debate Signal From Flattening Yield Curve

Some Federal Reserve officials are laying the groundwork to slow down the Fed’s interest-rate increases if they foresee a bond-market development that has traditionally been a harbinger of recession......»»

Category: smallbizSource: wsjJul 8th, 2018

Goodbye inverted yield curve? Fed looks for alternative signals to guide policy

Federal Reserve officials are scouring new niches of the financial markets to find signals accurate enough to warn the central bank when it is time to stop hiking interest rates before they risk tipping the economy into a recession......»»

Category: topSource: reutersJul 12th, 2018

Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process

Authored by Doug Kass via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Yield Curve Will Likely Invert by November, 2018 .....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeJul 31st, 2018