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No Better Signal Than The Yield Curve

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Remember back a few years ago when all the hard-money advocates were complaining about how the Federal Reserve was distorting the economy with their zero inter.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeApr 17th, 2018

The market"s favorite recession signal is flashing red again as coronavirus fears rage

Spencer Platt/Getty Images The US Treasury yield curve — one of the most closely monitored recession indicators — brief.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderJan 29th, 2020

Countdown to recession: What an inverted yield curve means

NEW YORK - A dramatic rally in Treasuries this week led some key parts of the U.S. yield curve to reinvert, a signal that has traditionally been bearish for the U.S. economy......»»

Category: topSource: reutersJan 28th, 2020

"Code red": The Duke professor who uncovered the yield curve’s recession warning says it’s time to start preparing for another downturn

Screengrab/YouTube Duke University Professor Campbell Harvey, the inventor of the inverted yield curve as a recession indicator, said investors should pay attention to the latest signal and prepare in an interview with "The.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderOct 8th, 2019

Stocks open slightly lower as investors contend with geopolitical and growth jitters

U.S. stocks fell at the opening bell Wednesday as investors grappled with the ominous economic signal from the yield curve's inversion. The S&P 500 was down 0.3% to 2,858. The Dow Jones Ind.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 28th, 2019

Market Snapshot: Stock futures edge higher as investors watch yield curve, U.S.-China trade fight

Stock-index futures edge higher Wednesday as investors assess the potential recession signal offered by the yield curve, while also gauging the fallout of an intensifying U.S.-China trade war......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 28th, 2019

Bullard: A yield-curve inversion must be sustained to signal of recession

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 15th, 2019

Yield curve may signal recession — but don"t dump stocks, experts say

A yield curve inverts and investors lose their minds -- but should you? A yield curve inverts and investors lose their minds -- but should you?.....»»

Category: topSource: latimesAug 14th, 2019

Flash of recession signal not seen in 12 years

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted on Wednesday for the first time since June 2007, in a sign of investor concern that the world's biggest economy could be heading for recession......»»

Category: videoSource: reutersAug 14th, 2019

Dow ends around 800 points lower after bond market flashes recession signal

Stocks tumbled Wednesday after the main measure of the U.S. yield curve briefly inverted, heightening worries about a potential recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped around 801 points, or 3%, to end near 25.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 14th, 2019

What an inverted yield curve is and why it might signal a recession

The spread between yields on U.S. two-year and 10-year notes, a closely watched metric, is likely to invert for the first time since 2007. That would follow the inversion of another part of the yield curve earlier in the year. Here is what that means......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralAug 14th, 2019

Dow falls over 400 points as stocks open sharply lower following yield-curve recession warning

Stocks opened sharply lower Wednesday, pressured after the main measure of the U.S. Treasury yield curve temporarily inverted, sending a recession-warning signal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average .....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 14th, 2019

Inverted Yield Curve: A US Recession Signal?

Treasury yields indicate how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield, the better the outlookRelated Stocks: SPY,.....»»

Category: blogSource: gurufocusJun 8th, 2019

Market Extra: Muted junk-bond retreat soothes fears of ‘imminent slowdown’ from inverted yield curve

The muted selloff in the market for junk bonds offsets jittery investors rattled by the Treasury market’s signal of an impending recession......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJun 5th, 2019

Resolving The Contradictory Signal Between The Yield Curve And Housing: Watch Corporate Profits

Resolving The Contradictory Signal Between The Yield Curve And Housing: Watch Corporate Profits.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaMay 28th, 2019

Yield Curve Flashing Biggest Recession Signal Yet: Shilling Thinks It Started!

Yield Curve Flashing Biggest Recession Signal Yet: Shilling Thinks It Started!.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeMay 28th, 2019

Fed"s Kaplan says U.S. is "flirting" with yield curve inversion

U.S. bond markets are "flirting" with a yield curve inversion that could signal slower economic growth ahead, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan said on Wednesday......»»

Category: topSource: reutersMay 22nd, 2019

JPMorgan says stock traders are looking at the wrong yield curve

Equity investors have been worried about the wrong yield curve, according to a strategist at . There’s concern that the recent inversion of the is a sell signal for the market, but critically... To view the full story, click the title link......»»

Category: blogSource: crainsnewyorkApr 9th, 2019

Yield Curve A U.S. Recession Signal? Maybe Not This Time

Yield Curve A U.S. Recession Signal? Maybe Not This Time.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaMar 27th, 2019

Inverted yield curve a signal to buy: CFRA investment strategist

The markets kicked off the trading week with the spread between the 3-month and 10-yr Treasury yields inverted for the second trading day in a row......»»

Category: topSource: foxnewsMar 25th, 2019

Yield curve may be indicating increased chance for rate cut but not a recession, says former Fed Chair Yellen

Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Monday that the U.S. Treasury yield curve[s:TMUBMUSD10Y], which inverted on Friday for the first time since 2007, may signal the need .....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchMar 25th, 2019