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"Atmospheric Chess Pieces Align": Polar Vortex May Unleash Arctic Blast As Far As Deep South

"Atmospheric Chess Pieces Align": Polar Vortex May Unleash Arctic Blast As Far As Deep South Ever so often, the polar vortex dips south over North America from its usual perch in the Arctic and brings a blast of cold air. The next arrival appears imminent, potentially as early as the first week of December, over the eastern half of the US.  According to freelance meteorologist Mike Masco, a "monster negative NAO [North Atlantic Oscillation] signal showing the pattern will reload the cold FAST as the atmospheric chess pieces align to produce major cold & potential polar vortex into the eastern/northern USA Dec. 5 & Beyond." MONSTER NEGATIVE "NAO" SIGNAL SHOWING The pattern will reload the cold FAST as the atmospheric chess pieces align to produce major cold & potential #PolarVortex into the eastern/northern USA Dec 5 & Beyond..Consider topping off Oil/propane tanks soon if that's your heating mode pic.twitter.com/AaGvLCeiHH — Mike Masco (@MikeMasco) November 27, 2022 Masco said, "consider topping off Oil/propane tanks soon if that's your heating mode."  Others say a polar vortex will plunge temperatures below freezing across the Deep South, mainly in Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina, by Dec. 13.  Average temperatures in Washington, DC, will peak around 60 degrees Fahrenheit on Dec. 6 and begin to slide to about 26 degrees by Dec. 12.  Temperatures across North Carolina will plunge from the low 60s to sub-freezing by Dec. 12.  The same for South Carolina.  As well as Georgia.  The cold air will even pour into Florida.  On a regional basis, Midwest temperatures will average around 20 degrees by Dec. 12.  Southeast temperatures will plunge to freezing conditions.  The cold blast will be so severe that temperatures across the country, on average, will be driven down to around 35 degrees.  And look at heating degree days for the South East .... the cold blast will send heating demand through the roof.  However, Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago, told Reuters that even though "the forecast seems to suggest we are going to see this polar vortex... (traders are) pulling back some of their positions on the anticipation, the cold blast might not be as far-reaching as originally feared." Last week, Houston-based energy firm Criterion Research explained that the US "officially flipped over to withdrawal season" as heating demand begins to rise.  What appears to be an upcoming cold blast may only suggest US natural gas prices could rise even higher.  Enjoy the warm weather while it lasts -- because if forecasts hold up, a polar vortex could plunge a large swath of the US into a deep freeze.  Tyler Durden Sun, 11/27/2022 - 17:00.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeNov 27th, 2022

Global NatGas Prices Sink As Warm Weather Spreads

Global NatGas Prices Sink As Warm Weather Spreads US and European natural gas prices are sliding as warmer weather reduces demand for the heating fuel, and storage levels remain high. Risks of a global energy crisis are diminishing for now -- well -- that's until the next cold blast strikes.  The polar vortex that sent much of the Lower 48 into a deep freeze at the end of 2022 ended last week. Now, much of the US will see warmer-than-normal temperatures through mid-Jan.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's latest 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook shows that nearly all Lower 48 will experience above-average weather.  NOAA's 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook suggests the same.  Weather data via Bloomberg shows Lower 48 temperatures are expected to remain above a 30-year average through mid-month.  And this will reduce heating demand.  US NatGas storage entered into a drawing period in mid-Nov. and has been sliding since.   A weaker heating demand outlook has sent US NatGas prices down nearly 9% to $4.062 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange in early Tuesday trading. Prices are back to levels not seen since early February 2022.  Across the Atlantic, EU NatGas touched the lowest levels since the start of the Ukraine war.  "The risk of extreme market tightness that people were worried about before the winter started seems low now," BloombergNEF's Abhishek Rohatgi wrote.  Warmer weather in Europe has eased concerns about blackouts and rationing as stockpiles increase: In fact, Europe has been able to add more gas into storage in the last few days amid a mix of curbed heating needs and typically lower consumption during the holiday season. -Bloomberg EU NatGas storage increased last week.  Temperatures across Central EU are expected to hold above seasonal levels through at least the mid-month.  Sign of relief worldwide: NatGas prices slide in the US, EU, and Asia.  We noted days ago the risks of a collapsing polar vortex in the Arctic could send parts of the EU into a chill later this month. And it's only a matter of time before cold weather returns to the US.  Tyler Durden Tue, 01/03/2023 - 08:40.....»»

Category: personnelSource: nytJan 3rd, 2023

"Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event" Could Wreak Havoc Across Britain

'Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event' Could Wreak Havoc Across Britain Forecasters warn a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event could collapse a Polar vortex by mid-January across Britain and unleash ice, snow, and freezing temperatures.  British news channel GB News quoted James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, who said:  "An SSW event is now looking even more likely to occur this winter, and this could happen as soon as in the next ten days. "This will mean that the cold air over the Arctic will be given a route to cross our shores, and in addition to above-average snowfall, it could pave the way for another big freeze, leaving the cold snap earlier in December a distant memory." If an SSW event does set in, colder weather could hit Britons around the middle of January, he warned. British Weather Services' Jim Dale said an SSW event "isn't something that I will rule out, but at the moment, I am favoring a more mobile weather pattern from the Atlantic, and instead of a big snow event, we may be more likely to see a named storm during the start of 2023." "However, that does not mean it is not going to happen, and if it does, it will be more likely to affect northern parts of the country," Dale added.  British daily newspaper Cambridge News said the Met Office (United Kingdom's national weather service) forecasted the possibility of snow into mid-January, while other forecasters reported there'll be "frequent spells of cold wintry weather" next week. A two-week outlook forecast via Bloomberg shows temperatures across the UK will begin to slide by next Wednesday and average around 35 degrees Fahrenheit by mid-Janurary.  Meanwhile, European natural gas recorded the largest monthly declines due to the recent warm spell. Dutch futures are down 45%, the most since records began in 2005.  Benchmark Dutch Natgas was 12% lower at €75 a megawatt-hour.  And the good news is that the EU NatGas storage percentage slightly increased in late December as heating demand decreased.  However, if forecasters are correct about another cold blast, EU NatGas prices could soon see a bottom.  Here's what people on the Twittersphere are saying about the possibility of an SSW event: We currently have a very strong stratospheric polar vortex which has now began descending into the troposphere. Growing signals for a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) moving into January which will disrupt the vortex potentially increasing chance of significantly cold weather. pic.twitter.com/4Phns8GRoo — British Isles Weather (@nvangelder03) December 30, 2022   Tyler Durden Sat, 12/31/2022 - 07:35.....»»

Category: personnelSource: nytDec 31st, 2022

86 creative gift ideas under $100 — including last-minute options if you"re pressed for time

From a personalized photo book to a sunrise alarm clock, here are 86 gift ideas under $100 for every type of person on your gift list. When you buy through our links, Insider may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more.MoMA Store/Artifact UprisingGift-giving should be fun, but more often than not, it becomes stressful — doubly so if you're working with a budget. The good news is, a gift doesn't have to be super expensive to be meaningful to someone or last a long time.To take the guesswork out of holiday shopping, we've curated the best gifts under $100 that you can buy on your own (or split to cost with someone else). From luxury skincare products to affordable kitchen appliances, there are plenty of thoughtful, special gifts you can give within a reasonable price range.*This list includes a Sponsored Product that has been suggested by AncestryDNA. It also meets our editorial criteria in terms of quality and value.A fun board game spin on an internet sensationWordle: The Party GameThe Toy InsiderWordle: The Pary Game, available at Amazon and Target from $19.82Best for: The committed gamerIf they love Wordle, this new board game version is sure to please. 2-4 players can play against each other or in teams as they try to guess the five-letter mystery word.A DNA kit to learn more about your family historyAmazonAncestryDNA kit, available at Ancestry, $59 (originally $99)Best for: Anyone interested in family heritageCurious about family history? This AncestryDNA test tells you more about genetic ethnicity — and opens up rich conversations about family heritage and personal stories. We like Ancestry because it surveys an extensive population and links you with relatives.*Sponsored by Ancestry.A travel photo albumArtifacts UprisingHardcover Travel Photo Book, available at Artifact Uprising, from $61.20Best for: The vacation photographerThis customizable photo book takes them back to every travel adventure so they'll never forget it. Whether it's a week trip or an extended stay, the travel photo album captures every excursion with charming designs on up to 210 pages.A memorable date night optionEatwith/InstagramGift card, available at Eatwith, from $30Best for: The adventurous dinerEatwith offers cool dining experiences that bring together delicious menus, professional chefs, and interesting guests. Typically held in person, in major cities like New York, Paris, and London, Eatwith is now offering online classes you can take from anywhere that bring unique cooking experiences right into your kitchen. In addition to experiences led by professional chefs from around the world, Eatwith has recently added classes taught by MasterChef contestants.A bag made for hosting mini picnicsAmazonPicnic at Ascot Insulated Wine and Cheese Cooler Bag, available at Amazon, $49.95Best for: The picnicker Our pick for the best picnic basket for carrying bottles, this insulated bag is a great gift for those who want to have a small picnic complete with their favorite drinks and small snacks.An art-inspired chess setMoMa Design StoreKeith Haring Colorful Chess Set, available at MoMA Design Store, $55Best for: The artsy gamerThe Keith Haring Colorful Chess Set doubles as a fun leisure activity and stunning display piece. The chess pieces are inspired by Haring's favorite artworks, from the barking dog to his trademark figures.A fun and educational online cooking classCozymeal/InstagramGift card, available at Cozymeal, from $50Best for: The aspirational chefGifting experiences is on the rise. With a Cozymeal class, they'll learn how to make anything from fresh pasta to beautiful charcuterie boards. In addition to cooking classes, Cozymeal offers online mixology classes and virtual wine tastings.A game that tests their penchant for punsAmazonPun Intended Game, available at Amazon, $19.99Best for: The game night hostIt's a battle of who can devise the most clever puns in this family-friendly card game that requires a quick mind and even quicker writing skills. Game on. The outdoor game you see everyone playing at the parkAmazonSpikeball Game Set, available at Dick's Sporting Goods, $69.99Best for: The bored beach-goerIt's a gorgeous day out and you can't help but notice a few groups having fun while playing some kind of new ball game. Chances are it's Spikeball, the volleyball-esque game that your recipient can set up in any large outdoor space. It takes just 10 minutes to learn the rules. A sunrise alarm clockAmazonPhilips SmartSleep Sunrise Alarm Clock, available at Amazon, $79.95Best for: The aspirational early birdSunrise alarm clocks can help turn typically groggy wake-ups into a softer, more calm way to get out of bed, and the SmartSleep from Philips is one of our favorites. Aside from its calming alarms and beautiful sunrise effect, it also doesn't require the use of an app. An e-book reader that stores thousands of booksAmazonAmazon Kindle, available at Amazon, $99.99Best for: The traveling bookwormA Kindle brings them an easier reading experience, especially when traveling. The Kindle has 8 GB of storage, weeks of battery life, and a vast selection of books to enjoy leisurely wherever, whenever. A TV streaming stickAmazonRoku Streaming Stick +, available at Amazon, $48.88Best for: The TV fanaticRoku's Streaming Stick+ is exceptional for its 4K, HDR, and HD streaming, and long-range wireless receiver. Installing it is an easy process and starts by plugging the stick into the TV. A convenient wireless charging padAmazonAnker PowerWave Wireless Charging Pad, available on Amazon, $15.99Best for: The one who's always low on phone batteryA wireless charger is a great gift for anyone with a glass-backed smartphone that supports the feature. Our reviewer called this one "the perfect wireless charging pad." It charges quickly, looks nice, and can even accommodate thick phone cases.A waterproof outdoor speakerAmazonUltimate Ears Wonderboom 2 Portable Bluetooth Speaker, available at Amazon, Best Buy, and Walmart, from $79.99Best for: The outdoor entertainerThe surprisingly powerful speaker fits in the palm of their hand and can go swimming with them in the pool or ocean. It's also dustproof and therefore suitable for hikes and other outdoor adventures. A stylish accessory with a hidden chargerMark & GrahamPower Up Lightning to USB Tassel Keychain, available at Mark & Graham, from $34.99Best for: The sleek utilitarian The leather keychain is as functional as it is attractive: it has an iPhone lightning input and USB stick so they can charge their phone in their bag. Some colors include free monogramming while others have a $10 monogram fee. A set of trackers for lost itemsCrystal Cox/InsiderTile Pro, available at Amazon, Target, and Walmart, $24.99Best for: The person always losing their keysWhen they can't find their phone, all they have to do is click their Tile button to make their phone ring, even if it's on silent. A case that sanitizes dirty phonesPhone SoapPhoneSoap 3 Smartphone Sanitizer, available at PhoneSoap, $49.95Best for: The neat freakMost of us carry our phones with us everywhere — and we mean, everywhere. PhoneSoap kills 99.9% of common household germs, including bacteria that lead to E.Coli, Salmonella, Staph, the flu, and the common cold. Especially with the pandemic, your recipient will love knowing that their phone is squeaky clean. Their favorite specialty meals from across the countryGoldbellyMeal Kits, available at Goldbelly, from $39.95Best for: The foodieGoldbelly makes it possible to satisfy their most specific and nostalgic cravings no matter where they live in the US — a cheesecake from Junior's, deep dish pizza from Lou Malnati, and more. Browse the iconic gifts section for inspiration.A savory seasoning starter packMomofukuPantry Starter Pack, available at Momofuku, $60Best for: The spice rack re-stockerSpice up their pantry with this flavorful seasoning set. The starter pack includes spicy seasoned salts, restaurant-grade soy and tamari sauces, and chili crunch. Momofuku's site also includes several recipes to make using the ingredients from the set.A set of cocktail mixersWilliams SonomaCasamigos Cocktail Gift Set, available at Williams Sonoma, $56.95Best for: The cocktail connoisseurCo-founded by actor George Clooney, Casamigos is a favorite brand of many tequila lovers. The company's newest addition is a cocktail gift set of uniquely flavored mixers and rimmers. The mixers are exclusively available at Williams Sonoma and include blackberry basil and citrus flavors.The internet's favorite olive oilBrightland/InstagramAwake Olive Oil, available at Brightland, $37Best for: The quality EVOO enthusiastBrightland's olive oils make great gifts for cooks and anyone who loves to entertain. The white bottles protect the EVOO from light damage and look nice displayed on a countertop. International coffee delivered every monthAtlas Coffee Club/Instagram3-Month Gift Subscription, available at Atlas Coffee Club, $50Best for: The coffee loverIt's a worldwide coffee tour without the expense of airplane tickets. Atlas Coffee Club delivers single-origin coffee and always includes a postcard from the country, brewing tips, and flavor notes with each month's shipment. A delicious and unique hot sauceTruff/InstagramTruff White Truffle Hot Sauce, available at Amazon, $25.59Best for: The hot sauce collectorThis hot sauce is infused with white truffle, packing a sweet heat you'll want to add to burritos, pizza, wings, or any other dish you want to make a little more interesting. A gift card from Hello FreshHello FreshGift card, available at Hello Fresh, from $75Best for: The exhausted home cookThe best gifts are for items or services your recipient wouldn't think to purchase for themselves. A gift card from Hello Fresh checks all of these boxes, as it offers a welcome reprieve from grocery shopping and meal planning. Choose from four amounts based on your recipient's household size and needs. We also wrote a full guide to Hello Fresh that includes a breakdown of its special features, how to get started with an account, and more.Sweet treats they won't be able to stop eatingMilk BarThe Chocolatey Classic, available at Milk Bar, $89Best for: The chocolate loverInstead of the usual box of chocolates, gift some of the best-known and most delicious treats from Milk Bar. The set contains 12 soft and chewy cake truffles and an adorable mini birthday cake. Premium distilled whiskeyUncle Nearest WhiskeyUncle Nearest Whiskey, available at ReserveBar, from $60.99Best for: The old-fashioned fanFounded in Tennessee, Uncle Nearest is an award-winning, Black-owned whiskey brand that was inspired by the first known African-American master distiller, Nathan "Nearest" Green. If you're shopping for someone who enjoys a quality glass of whiskey or a whiskey-based cocktail every now and then, a bottle of Uncle Nearest won't disappoint.A flavorful seasoning collectionArtifact UprisingThe Grill & Roast Collection, available at Spicewalla, $19.99Best for: The backyard grillerA set of tasty seasonings is key to making delicious foods, especially during BBQ season. They can use the spices in this collection to add flavor to meats, seafood, vegetables, and even rice.A device that turns plain water into a sparkling beverageAmazonSodaStream Sparkling Water Maker, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The fizzy water fanA SodaStream is an amazing gift for anyone who's a fan of fizzy beverages. With this gadget, they can make sparkling water in seconds and add flavors if they want to spice things up.Ready-to-prepare meals that save them timeDaily HarvestCustom Gift Box, available at Daily Harvest, $85Best for: The healthy eaterYour recipient will be able to fill a box with smoothies (including protein smoothies for gym rats), harvest bowls, soup, and more meals that are ready to take on the go. Daily Harvest's healthy offerings are perfect for the busy, wellness-minded people in your life. A chai samplerAmazonVadham Chai Tea Reserve Set, available at Amazon, $23.99Best for: The tea drinkerThis set of loose-leaf teas made it into Oprah's Favorite Things back in 2018. It's filled with three variations of chai that any tea lover will appreciate. A box that lets them explore the exciting world of sakeTippsySake Gift Box, available at Tippsy, $59Best for: The sake drinkerWhile online wine clubs abound, Tippsy is quietly cultivating a community of sake lovers. It offers an abundance of knowledge and premium sake options to anyone who's interested in exploring this underrated alcohol further.  A chic lamp that warms candles without lighting themCrystal Cox/InsiderCandle Warming Lamp, available at Amazon, $54.99Best for: The candle preserver Aside from looking cute, this TikTok-famous lamp warms candles up without lighting them. It helps your giftee enjoy their candles' scents whenever she wants without worrying about smoke or accidentally forgetting to put them out.A custom pet portraitWest & WillowCustom Pet Portrait, available at West & Willow, from $67Best for: The pet parent If their fur baby is their best friend, they'll go crazy for this custom pet portrait from West & Willow. Upload a photo of their pet, then choose the portrait style, size, frame, add their pet's name, and get ready to make their day with this A+ gift.A mini fireplaceFood52Personal Concrete Fireplace, available at Food52 and Amazon, from $78.40Best for: The fireplace fanKeep them warm and entertained this summer with this small personal fireplace, which is safe for use indoors and for cooking fun treats like s'mores. A whimsical candle from a new brandOtherland/Instagram3-Candle Set, available at Otherland, $89Best for: The fancy candle fanAs our candle-loving editor points out, "Does the world really need another fancy candle brand?" Otherland's candles are so creative and interesting that you won't be able to resist gifting at least a few. A set of monogrammed hand towelsWeeziePiped Edge Washcloths (Set of 2), available at Weezie, $36Best for: The monogram loverThe extra time and thought put into a personalized gift are worth it. You can add custom embroidery (+$10 per towel) to Weezie's fluffy and absorbent towels. A succulent to spruce up their spaceLula's GardenBliss Garden, available at Lula's Garden, $30Best for: The plant parentA small succulent is a perfect way to brighten up their desk, bookshelf, or windowsill. We love this one from Lula's Garden because it's wrapped in a ready-to-gift box. Plus, when you buy one, you support water.org, an organization that helps people all over the world get access to safe, clean water. A wine gift setAmazonIvation Wine Lovers Set with Opener and Preserver, available at Amazon, $49.98Best for: The wine appreciator Help elevate your recipient's wine experience by gifting this wine lover's set. The included wine preserver is a great gift for those that live alone or like to take their time with their wines. The sleek charging base and modern design make this a gift your recipient will be proud to display on their kitchen counter.A sleek knife blockMaterial KitchenThe Stand, available at Material Kitchen, $90Best for: The practical chefWe're big fans of Material Kitchen's minimalist approach to kitchen essentials — like this magnetic, angled knife block made from heavy-duty wood. A fresh flower bouquetUrbanStemsFlower bouquets, available at UrbanStems, from $35Best for: Any fan of flowersIf you don't know what to gift, flowers are always appreciated. A beautiful bouquet delivered right to them is the kindest way to say congrats and show you're thinking of them.A set of sustainable coastersJoanna BuchananRuffle Edge Straw Coasters, available at Joanna Buchanan, $48Best for: The meticulous table setterAdd a pop of color to their indoor and outdoor eating spaces with these colorful straw coasters. The coasters come in a set of four, are handwoven in the Philippines, and are made of sustainable materials.A compact and lightweight hand mixerAmazonKitchenaid 5-Speed Ultra Power Hand Mixer, available at Target, $44.99Best for: The bakerNot all baking tasks require a full stand mixer. KitchenAid's hand mixer doesn't take up a lot of space but gets a variety of jobs done by offering five-speed options. You'll also have fun picking out a unique color for your recipient. The perfect pillow for side sleepersCasperOriginal Casper Pillow, available at Casper, Amazon, and Target, $65Best for: The restless side sleeperThe Original Casper Pillow will help your favorite side sleeper align their neck with their spine while sleeping. We named this pillow the best for side sleepers in our guide to the best pillows. You can customize the pillow even more by choosing its size and height.A cool drink accessory worth celebratingBrumate12oz Insulated Champagne Flute, available at BrüMate, $24.99Best for: The beachside celebratorBrumate's insulated flute prevents the disappointment of bubbly that has gone warm and flat. It holds almost half a bottle of champagne and comes in 30 pretty colors.  A digital photo frameAmazonNIX 8-Inch USB Digital Photo Frame, available at Amazon, $69.99Best for: The modern nostalgistPro-tip: Include a USB stick of your favorite photo memories together with this gift. The high-tech photo frame will shuffle through and display crisp photos and videos, and it can also be mounted on a wall. If you can stretch your budget, the more popular WiFi version is the same idea but more convenient to use because it works right from your phone's gallery. A custom map of a special locationGrafomapCustom Map Poster, available at Grafomap, from $19Best for: The one who always mentions their favorite city Grafomap is the site where you can commemorate important places, be it their hometown, college town, or the city where you two met. The custom design function is easy to use and you can choose to get the final map poster framed or printed on canvas. An everyday stainless steel frying panMade InStainless Clad Frying Pan, available at Made In, $76Best for: The one who is constantly cookingPros like Tom Colicchio trust Made In's cookware to perform in some of the country's top kitchens, so rest assured it's good enough for your recipient. The quickly growing startup is behind a couple of our favorite pieces of cookware. A beautiful piece of handmade drinkwareJFR GlassAntique Silver Glass, available at JFR Glass, $45Best for: The fan of truly unique giftsEach hand-blown glass from JFR Glass is unique. The glasses aren't just pretty — they're also functional and sturdy. They're also dishwasher-safe and UV-resistant, so your recipient can enjoy the pieces forever. A cold brew coffee makerAmazonTakeya Cold Brew Coffee Maker, available at Amazon and Target, $27.99Best for: The daily cold brew consumerHelp your favorite coffee-lover stay caffeinated with this easy-to-use cold brew coffee maker. All they need to do is fill the filter with coffee, add water to the carafe, give it all a shake, and pop it in the fridge. In 12 hours, they will have a delicious cold brew that will have them reconsidering their daily trips to their favorite coffee shop.An affordable cashmere sweaterNaadamMen's and Women's The Essential Cashmere Sweater, available at Naadam, $75Best for: The one with impeccable style No wardrobe is complete without a great cashmere sweater. This one from Naadam is made of heavenly-soft 100% Mongolian cashmere and comes in over 25 colors, so there's truly a shade for everyone.A box of the best socksBombasWomen's Holiday Snowflake Ankle Sock 4-Pack Gift Box, available at Bombas, $66Best for: The appreciator of practical giftsBombas socks are some of our favorites for their arch support and durability. This box set (also available in men's and kid's sizes) features a set of subtly holiday-themed socks they'll wear all year round.A funky pair of shadesCrap EyewearThe Lucid Blur, available at Crap Eyewear, $89Best for: The trendsetterA great pair of sunglasses is a seasonless gift. Even on cold winter days, a pair of sunglasses is needed to block out the sun's glare and keep them looking stylish. If you're looking to snag them a unique pair of sunglasses, check out Crap Eyewear. The styles are fun, affordable, and totally on trend. An artistic watchMoMA Design StoreSwatch x MoMa watch, available at Moma Design Store, from $80Best for: The art enthusiastWhat better way to show off their love of art than a watch inspired by famous paintings? Swatch collaborated with New York's Museum of Modern Art to create these unique watches that resemble artworks from MoMa's collection.A pair of cozy slippersZapposUGG Scuffette II Slippers, available at Zappos, Amazon, and Nordstrom, from $94.95Best for: The comfort appreciator Help them keep their feet warm while working from home with these fuzzy slippers. These high-quality slippers are made of suede and have a sheepskin collar, making them a very useful gift that your recipient may not think to purchase for themselves.A gold bracelet that displays their zodiac signAurateZodiac Bracelet, available at Aurate, $90Best for: The chic astrology enthusiastThe delicate gold vermeil bracelet is a piece they'll want to wear every day. Aurate's beautiful gold jewelry is not only more affordable than traditional fine jewelry, but it's also ethically sourced, representing a new wave of jewelry brands to know about. A sturdy walletAmazonBellroy Slim Sleeve Leather Wallet, available at Bellroy, Amazon, and Nordstrom, $79Best for: The fan of practical giftsReplace their tired and tattered wallet with this slim leather billfold from Insider Reviews' favorite wallet brand Bellroy. It's made with ethically sourced leather that will age wonderfully and last many years.A pair of comfortable wool shoesAllbirdsWool Runners, available at Allbirds, $110Best for: The constant walkerWhile Allbirds has hinted that it's on track to become more than just a shoe brand, we'll always be partial to its original sneakers made from merino wool. We've been wearing and loving the comfortable style for more than two years, and you can't go wrong gifting a pair of these shoes. A reusable bag featuring a fun printBagguStandard Baggu, available at Baggu, $14Best for: The sustainable shopperThere are plenty of reusable nylon shopping bag options out there, but where Baggu really stands out from the crowd is its variety of quirky and colorful prints. These useful bags are the perfect gift for everyone in your life.A pretty leather travel wrap for chargersMark & GrahamLeather Charger Roll Up, available on Mark & Graham, $49Best for: The efficient packerMark & Graham's Leather Charger Roll Up is made from soft, supple leather and has three separate pockets to stash cables and chargers on the go. Get it monogrammed for free.A pair of sparkly hoopsMejuriSapphire Hoops, available at Mejuri, $58Best for: The lover of subtle jewelryTraditional hoops get an embellishment of white sapphire in this affordable piece from Mejuri. Extremely comfortable, flattering lounge pantsMeUndiesLounge Pants, available at MeUndies, $68Best for: The serious loungerThese are some of the best lounge pants we've ever tried. If they're spending more time in casual wear, they'll spend an inordinate amount of time in these. We also appreciate that the silky MicroModal and sleek cut make them perfectly acceptable for wearing in public to grab the mail.A high-quality leather band for an Apple WatchAmazonBullstrap Full-Grain Italian Leather Watch Band, available at Amazon, $95Best for: The stylish watch wearerBullstrap's Italian Leather Watch Bands are the perfect way to add some elegance to an Apple Watch. They come in several colors of leather and are compatible with all generations of the Apple Watch.A mini duffel crossbody with a distinctive lookDagne DoverExtra Small Landon Carryall, available at Dagne Dover, $93.75Best for: The one who's always on the goDagne Dover excels at making functional and versatile bags like work totes and this extra small version of its popular neoprene duffel. Inside, they'll find a compartment just large enough for the day's essentials, pockets to keep them organized, and a detachable key leash. Premium underwear that's worth every pennyTommy JohnMen's Second Skin Boxer Brief (3-Pack), available at Tommy John, $86Best for: The person who'd appreciate good underwearIt's not an exaggeration to say Tommy John could be the most comfortable boxers your recipient has ever worn. The Second Skin, in particular, is a standout — smooth, soft, stretchy, and breathable. The coziest moccasins we've ever wornL.L.BeanWomen's Wicked Good Moccasins, available at L.L.Bean, $89Best for: The winter cabin weekenderCan you practically feel the soft fluffiness of these slippers through your screen? L.L.Bean supposedly sells a pair of these cushioned sheepskin shoes every seven seconds during December, proving that they are worth the purchase.A pair of blue light-blocking glasses that look good enough to wear outside of the houseMVMTIngram Crystal Everscroll Glasses, available at MVMT, $78Best for: The one who works in front of a screen all dayHelp them protect their eyes from harsh screens with a pair of blue-light-blocking glasses. Their eyes won't feel as strained, and they might be able to drift off to sleep more quickly. A simple but luxurious body washNecessaireNecessaire The Body Wash, available at Sephora, $25Best for: The person who appreciates a good showerNew startup Necessaire formulates its body care products with vitamins A, B3, C, E, and omega-6 and omega-9. The subtly scented Body Wash will leave their skin feeling clean, soft, and nourished. A glamorous nail kitOlive and JuneThe Mani System Box, available at Olive and June, $85Best for: The DIY nail artistFrom shimmery to matte polish options, gift them this game-changing nail kit. It includes six different shades you can pick yourself, a topcoat, nail polish remover, nail tools, and even a latte mug.A hair towel that cuts drying time in halfAmazonAquis Rapid Dry Lisse Hair Towel, available at Anthropologie and Bergdorf Goodman, $30Best for: The one who takes hair care seriouslyAquis' cult-favorite hair towels have inspired a slew of rave reviews online, including one from our own team of product reviewers. The towels are made from a proprietary fabric called Aquitex that's composed of ultra-fine fibers (finer than silk) that work to reduce the amount of friction the hair experiences while in its weakest state. A silky hand creamLa Mer/InstagramLa Mer Hand Treatment, available at Nordstrom, $90Best for: The fan of smooth handsOf all La Mer's premium skincare products, the Hand Treatment is a brand favorite. This creamy formula is the perfect texture to help heal dry hands.A small skincare tool that removes 99.5% of dirt, oil, and makeup residueAmazonForeo Luna Facial Cleansing Brush, available at Amazon and Ulta, from $83.40Best for: The skincare enthusiastOur team swears by these gentle yet effective cleaning brushes. They have hygienic silicone bristles and come in five different models for different skin types. The Luna is small enough to bring on the go, so your recipient can maintain their skincare routine no matter where they are.An easy-to-use trimmerPhilips NorelcoPhilips Norelco OneBlade Face + Body Trimmer, available at Amazon, Target, and Walmart, from $39.96Best for: The person who prefers a close shaveWhat separates the Philips Norelco OneBlade from other trimmers and shavers is the unique blade. It uses a fast-moving OneBlade cutter with a protection system on both sides of the blade to prevent knicks. The base of the blade will contour to his face, allowing for a comfortable shave or trim without irritation — and it works for wet or dry shaving.A solution to their back painBest BuyUpright Go 2 Posture Trainer, available at Best Buy, $79.99Best for: The person working on their postureThis gift is for anyone who is always complaining about their back pain or poor posture. Upright Go is an innovative and discreet device that sticks to the top of their back and helps them improve their posture, day by day. A sleep mask made with high-quality mulberry silkNordstromSlip Pure Silk Sleep Mask, available at Nordstrom, $50Best for: The person who takes sleep seriouslyFew things are more luxurious than sleeping with a silk mask. Thanks to its all silk construction, your recipient's face will feel cool all night long. An electric toothbrush they won't want to hide awayGobyMoonstone Electric Toothbrush, available at Goby, $95Best for: The dental-care obsessedIn addition to its sleek design, the Goby Toothbrush stands out for its soft brush head, normal and sensitive brushing speeds, and convenient USB charging shell. A cult-favorite fragranceLe Labo/InstagramLe Labo AnOther 13 Eau de Parfum, available at Nordstrom, from $90Best for: The daily perfume userLe Labo is famous for its distinctive packaging and subtle yet inviting scents. The AnOther is musky and woodsy, but it's balanced out with ingredients like jasmine petals. A planner designed for setting goalsCrystal Cox/InsiderBestSelf Co. Self Journal, available at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and BestSelf, from $31.99 Best for: The goal-setterThe Self Journal is an undated, 13-week planner that's designed for daily use and quarterly planning. We love it because it helps break projects and goals into manageable chunks. If your giftee is working towards a big goal, this could be a really thoughtful resource — especially if it involves forming new habits in a short period of time.A high-quality yoga matMandukaManduka PROlite Yoga Mat, available at Amazon, Manduka, and REI, $99Best for: The yogi Make their sweat sessions better with the addition of a great yoga mat. The Manduka PROlite boasts supportive, dense cushioning and a no-slip grip, but it's still super lightweight for easy carrying.An instant cameraFujifilmFujifilm Instax Mini 11 Instant Camera, available at Amazon, Walmart, and Urban Outfitters, from $73.25Best for: The memory makerSure, they can snap photos on their iPhone all night long, but these days there's something particularly special about having tangible photographs. An instant camera is the perfect gift for the one who loves documenting life in photos.A gift card from BookshopCrystal Cox/InsiderGift Card, available at Bookshop, from $10Best for: The bookstore browserBookshop allows readers to support small bookstores online. The retailer sells gift cards that your recipient will be able to use to shop online from their favorite indie bookstore. The gift cards never expire and can be bought in increments from $10 to $1000.An at-home pottery kitSculpdPottery Kit, available at Sculpd, $65Best for: The crafterThis pottery kit offers a unique activity to do with your loved ones. Each kit comes with enough supplies for two people, with add-on supplies also available for purchase so that more can participate. It also includes a step-by-step instructional booklet.A sleek fitness trackerFitbitFitbit Inspire 2, available at Best Buy, Target, and Fitbit, $79.95Best for: The avid athleteFitbit's affordable Inspire 2 tracker has no shortage of useful features to keep them informed about their physical activity. The heart rate monitor lets them be more strategic about their workouts by tracking calorie burn, resting heart rate, and heart rate zones.Membership to a popular nationwide book clubBook of the Month6-Month Subscription, available at Book of the Month, $99.99Best for: The avid readerIf they prefer the incomparable feel of a hardcover book, set them up with a Book of the Month membership. It offers five curated titles, mainly from up-and-coming authors, to choose from every month. A bike horn that can honk as loud as a carPriority BicyclesPriority High Power Horn, available at Priority Bicycles, $29.99Best for: The bike commuterBorn out of a research project between Priority Bicycles and Toyota, this bike horn can get as loud as the one in a car. This is an excellent safety accessory for bikers.A gorgeous coffee table book that helps cure their travel bugAmazon"1,000 Places to See Before You Die (Deluxe Edition): The World as You've Never Seen It Before" by Patricia Schultz, available at Barnes & Noble, $50.99Best for: The aspirational travelerPatricia Schultz's original "1,000 Places" captured imaginations with its compelling curation of experiences all over the world. The newly released deluxe edition features a beautiful gold-embellished cover and more than 1,000 new photographs. An interactive state park mapUncommonGoodsState Parks Explorer Map, available at UncommonGoods, $28Best for: The hikerThis state park map is sure to come in handy whenever they venture into the outdoors. Choose from 10 maps that each list over 30 parks in states such as New York, California, and Connecticut. The map includes a sheet of gold stickers so they can mark their progress after each park visit.Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderDec 15th, 2022

84 creative gift ideas for absolutely every person in your life — all under $100

From a personalized photo book to a sunrise alarm clock, here are 84 gift ideas under $100 for every type of person on your gift list. When you buy through our links, Insider may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more.MoMA Store/Artifact UprisingGift-giving should be fun. But more often than not, it becomes stressful, especially if you're working with a budget. The good news is, a gift doesn't have to be super expensive to be meaningful or last a long time.To take the guesswork out of holiday gifting, we've curated the best gifts under $100 that you can buy on your own (or split with someone else). From luxury skincare to affordable kitchen appliances, there are plenty of thoughtful, special gifts you can give within a reasonable price range.*This list includes a Sponsored Product that has been suggested by AncestryDNA. It also meets our editorial criteria in terms of quality and value.Gifts for couples, families, or groupsTech giftsFood giftsHome giftsStyle giftsBeauty and self-care giftsFitness, outdoor, and hobby giftsGifts for couples, families, or groupsA fun board game spin on an internet sensationWordle: The Party GameThe Toy InsiderWordle: The Pary Game, available at Amazon and Target from $19.82Best for: The committed gamerIf they love Wordle, this new board game version is sure to please. 2-4 players can play against each other or in teams as they try to guess the five-letter mystery word.A DNA kit to learn more about your family historyAmazonAncestryDNA kit, available at Ancestry, $59 (originally $99)Best for: Anyone interested in family heritageCurious about family history? This AncestryDNA test tells you more about genetic ethnicity — and opens up rich conversations about family heritage and personal stories. We like Ancestry because it surveys an extensive population and links you with relatives.*Sponsored by Ancestry.A travel photo albumArtifacts UprisingHardcover Travel Photo Book, available at Artifact Uprising, from $61.20Best for: The vacation photographerThis customizable photo book takes them back to every travel adventure so they'll never forget it. Whether it's a week trip or an extended stay, the travel photo album captures every excursion with charming designs on up to 210 pages.A memorable date night optionEatwith/InstagramGift card, available at Eatwith, from $30Best for: The adventurous dinerEatwith offers cool dining experiences that bring together delicious menus, professional chefs, and interesting guests. Typically held in person, in major cities like New York, Paris, and London, Eatwith is now offering online classes you can take from anywhere that bring unique cooking experiences right into your kitchen. In addition to experiences led by professional chefs from around the world, Eatwith has recently added classes taught by MasterChef contestants.A bag made for hosting mini picnicsAmazonPicnic at Ascot Insulated Wine and Cheese Cooler Bag, available at Amazon, $49.95Best for: The picnicker Our pick for the best picnic basket for carrying bottles, this insulated bag is a great gift for those who want to have a small picnic complete with their favorite drinks and small snacks.An art-inspired chess setMoMa Design StoreKeith Haring Colorful Chess Set, available at MoMA Design Store, $55Best for: The artsy gamerThe Keith Haring Colorful Chess Set doubles as a fun leisure activity and stunning display piece. The chess pieces are inspired by Haring's favorite artworks, from the barking dog to his trademark figures.A fun and educational online cooking classCozymeal/InstagramGift card, available at Cozymeal, from $50Best for: The aspirational chefGifting experiences is on the rise. With a Cozymeal class, they'll learn how to make anything from fresh pasta to beautiful charcuterie boards. In addition to cooking classes, Cozymeal offers online mixology classes and virtual wine tastings.A game that tests their penchant for punsAmazonPun Intended Game, available at Amazon, $19.99Best for: The game night hostIt's a battle of who can devise the most clever puns in this family-friendly card game that requires a quick mind and even quicker writing skills. Game on. The outdoor game you see everyone playing at the parkAmazonSpikeball Game Set, available at Dick's Sporting Goods, $69.99Best for: The bored beach-goerIt's a gorgeous day out and you can't help but notice a few groups having fun while playing some kind of new ball game. Chances are it's Spikeball, the volleyball-esque game that your recipient can set up in any large outdoor space. It takes just 10 minutes to learn the rules. Tech giftsA sunrise alarm clockAmazonPhilips SmartSleep Sunrise Alarm Clock, available at Amazon, $79.95Best for: The aspirational early birdSunrise alarm clocks can help turn typically groggy wake-ups into a softer, more calm way to get out of bed, and the SmartSleep from Philips is one of our favorites. Aside from its calming alarms and beautiful sunrise effect, it also doesn't require the use of an app. An e-book reader that stores thousands of booksAmazonAmazon Kindle, available at Amazon, $99.99Best for: The traveling bookwormA Kindle brings them an easier reading experience, especially when traveling. The Kindle has 8 GB of storage, weeks of battery life, and a vast selection of books to enjoy leisurely wherever, whenever. A TV streaming stickAmazonRoku Streaming Stick +, available at Amazon, $48.88Best for: The TV fanaticRoku's Streaming Stick+ is exceptional for its 4K, HDR, and HD streaming, and long-range wireless receiver. Installing it is an easy process and starts by plugging the stick into the TV. A convenient wireless charging padAmazonAnker PowerWave Wireless Charging Pad, available on Amazon, $15.99Best for: The one who's always low on phone batteryA wireless charger is a great gift for anyone with a glass-backed smartphone that supports the feature. Our reviewer called this one "the perfect wireless charging pad." It charges quickly, looks nice, and can even accommodate thick phone cases.A waterproof outdoor speakerAmazonUltimate Ears Wonderboom 2 Portable Bluetooth Speaker, available at Amazon, Best Buy, and Walmart, from $79.99Best for: The outdoor entertainerThe surprisingly powerful speaker fits in the palm of their hand and can go swimming with them in the pool or ocean. It's also dustproof and therefore suitable for hikes and other outdoor adventures. A stylish accessory with a hidden chargerMark & GrahamPower Up Lightning to USB Tassel Keychain, available at Mark & Graham, from $34.99Best for: The sleek utilitarian The leather keychain is as functional as it is attractive: it has an iPhone lightning input and USB stick so they can charge their phone in their bag. Some colors include free monogramming while others have a $10 monogram fee. A set of trackers for lost itemsCrystal Cox/InsiderTile Pro, available at Amazon, Target, and Walmart, $24.99Best for: The person always losing their keysWhen they can't find their phone, all they have to do is click their Tile button to make their phone ring, even if it's on silent. A case that sanitizes dirty phonesPhone SoapPhoneSoap 3 Smartphone Sanitizer, available at PhoneSoap, $49.95Best for: The neat freakMost of us carry our phones with us everywhere — and we mean, everywhere. PhoneSoap kills 99.9% of common household germs, including bacteria that lead to E.Coli, Salmonella, Staph, the flu, and the common cold. Especially with the pandemic, your recipient will love knowing that their phone is squeaky clean. Food giftsTheir favorite specialty meals from across the countryGoldbellyMeal Kits, available at Goldbelly, from $39.95Best for: The foodieGoldbelly makes it possible to satisfy their most specific and nostalgic cravings no matter where they live in the US — a cheesecake from Junior's, deep dish pizza from Lou Malnati, and more. Browse the iconic gifts section for inspiration.A savory seasoning starter packMomofukuPantry Starter Pack, available at Momofuku, $60Best for: The spice rack re-stockerSpice up their pantry with this flavorful seasoning set. The starter pack includes spicy seasoned salts, restaurant-grade soy and tamari sauces, and chili crunch. Momofuku's site also includes several recipes to make using the ingredients from the set.A set of cocktail mixersWilliams SonomaCasamigos Cocktail Gift Set, available at Williams Sonoma, $56.95Best for: The cocktail connoisseurCo-founded by actor George Clooney, Casamigos is a favorite brand of many tequila lovers. The company's newest addition is a cocktail gift set of uniquely flavored mixers and rimmers. The mixers are exclusively available at Williams Sonoma and include blackberry basil and citrus flavors.The internet's favorite olive oilBrightland/InstagramAwake Olive Oil, available at Brightland, $37Best for: The quality EVOO enthusiastBrightland's olive oils make great gifts for cooks and anyone who loves to entertain. The white bottles protect the EVOO from light damage and look nice displayed on a countertop. International coffee delivered every monthAtlas Coffee Club/Instagram3-Month Gift Subscription, available at Atlas Coffee Club, $50Best for: The coffee loverIt's a worldwide coffee tour without the expense of airplane tickets. Atlas Coffee Club delivers single-origin coffee and always includes a postcard from the country, brewing tips, and flavor notes with each month's shipment. A delicious and unique hot sauceTruff/InstagramTruff White Truffle Hot Sauce, available at Amazon, $25.59Best for: The hot sauce collectorThis hot sauce is infused with white truffle, packing a sweet heat you'll want to add to burritos, pizza, wings, or any other dish you want to make a little more interesting. A gift card from Hello FreshHello FreshGift card, available at Hello Fresh, from $75Best for: The exhausted home cookThe best gifts are for items or services your recipient wouldn't think to purchase for themselves. A gift card from Hello Fresh checks all of these boxes, as it offers a welcome reprieve from grocery shopping and meal planning. Choose from four amounts based on your recipient's household size and needs. We also wrote a full guide to Hello Fresh that includes a breakdown of its special features, how to get started with an account, and more.Sweet treats they won't be able to stop eatingMilk BarThe Chocolatey Classic, available at Milk Bar, $89Best for: The chocolate loverInstead of the usual box of chocolates, gift some of the best-known and most delicious treats from Milk Bar. The set contains 12 soft and chewy cake truffles and an adorable mini birthday cake. Premium distilled whiskeyUncle Nearest WhiskeyUncle Nearest Whiskey, available at ReserveBar, from $60.99Best for: The old-fashioned fanFounded in Tennessee, Uncle Nearest is an award-winning, Black-owned whiskey brand that was inspired by the first known African-American master distiller, Nathan "Nearest" Green. If you're shopping for someone who enjoys a quality glass of whiskey or a whiskey-based cocktail every now and then, a bottle of Uncle Nearest won't disappoint.A flavorful seasoning collectionArtifact UprisingThe Grill & Roast Collection, available at Spicewalla, $19.99Best for: The backyard grillerA set of tasty seasonings is key to making delicious foods, especially during BBQ season. They can use the spices in this collection to add flavor to meats, seafood, vegetables, and even rice.A device that turns plain water into a sparkling beverageAmazonSodaStream Sparkling Water Maker, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The fizzy water fanA SodaStream is an amazing gift for anyone who's a fan of fizzy beverages. With this gadget, they can make sparkling water in seconds and add flavors if they want to spice things up.Ready-to-prepare meals that save them timeDaily HarvestCustom Gift Box, available at Daily Harvest, $85Best for: The healthy eaterYour recipient will be able to fill a box with smoothies (including protein smoothies for gym rats), harvest bowls, soup, and more meals that are ready to take on the go. Daily Harvest's healthy offerings are perfect for the busy, wellness-minded people in your life. A chai samplerAmazonVadham Chai Tea Reserve Set, available at Amazon, $23.99Best for: The tea drinkerThis set of loose-leaf teas made it into Oprah's Favorite Things back in 2018. It's filled with three variations of chai that any tea lover will appreciate. A box that lets them explore the exciting world of sakeTippsySake Gift Box, available at Tippsy, $59Best for: The sake drinkerWhile online wine clubs abound, Tippsy is quietly cultivating a community of sake lovers. It offers an abundance of knowledge and premium sake options to anyone who's interested in exploring this underrated alcohol further.  Home giftsA mini fireplaceFood52Personal Concrete Fireplace, available at Food52 and Amazon, from $78.40Best for: The fireplace fanKeep them warm and entertained this summer with this small personal fireplace, which is safe for use indoors and for cooking fun treats like s'mores. A custom pet portraitWest & WillowCustom Pet Portrait, available at West & Willow, from $67Best for: The pet parent If their fur baby is their best friend, they'll go crazy for this custom pet portrait from West & Willow. Upload a photo of their pet, then choose the portrait style, size, frame, add their pet's name, and get ready to make their day with this A+ gift.A whimsical candle from a new brandOtherland/Instagram3-Candle Set, available at Otherland, $89Best for: The fancy candle fanAs our candle-loving editor points out, "Does the world really need another fancy candle brand?" Otherland's candles are so creative and interesting that you won't be able to resist gifting at least a few. A succulent to spruce up their spaceLula's GardenBliss Garden, available at Lula's Garden, $30Best for: The plant parentA small succulent is a perfect way to brighten up their desk, bookshelf, or windowsill. We love this one from Lula's Garden because it's wrapped in a ready-to-gift box. Plus, when you buy one, you support water.org, an organization that helps people all over the world get access to safe, clean water. A wine gift setAmazonIvation Wine Lovers Set with Opener and Preserver, available at Amazon, $49.98Best for: The wine appreciator Help elevate your recipient's wine experience by gifting this wine lover's set. The included wine preserver is a great gift for those that live alone or like to take their time with their wines. The sleek charging base and modern design make this a gift your recipient will be proud to display on their kitchen counter.A sleek knife blockMaterial KitchenThe Stand, available at Material Kitchen, $90Best for: The practical chefWe're big fans of Material Kitchen's minimalist approach to kitchen essentials — like this magnetic, angled knife block made from heavy-duty wood. A fresh flower bouquetUrbanStemsFlower bouquets, available at UrbanStems, from $35Best for: Any fan of flowersIf you don't know what to gift, flowers are always appreciated. A beautiful bouquet delivered right to them is the kindest way to say congrats and show you're thinking of them.A set of sustainable coastersJoanna BuchananRuffle Edge Straw Coasters, available at Joanna Buchanan, $48Best for: The meticulous table setterAdd a pop of color to their indoor and outdoor eating spaces with these colorful straw coasters. The coasters come in a set of four, are handwoven in the Philippines, and are made of sustainable materials.A set of monogrammed hand towelsWeeziePiped Edge Washcloths (Set of 2), available at Weezie, $36Best for: The monogram loverThe extra time and thought put into a personalized gift are worth it. You can add custom embroidery (+$15 per towel) to Weezie's fluffy and absorbent towels. A compact and lightweight hand mixerAmazonKitchenaid 5-Speed Ultra Power Hand Mixer, available at Target, $44.99Best for: The bakerNot all baking tasks require a full stand mixer. KitchenAid's hand mixer doesn't take up a lot of space but gets a variety of jobs done by offering five-speed options. You'll also have fun picking out a unique color for your recipient. The perfect pillow for side sleepersCasperOriginal Casper Pillow, available at Casper, Amazon, and Target, $65Best for: The restless side sleeperThe Original Casper Pillow will help your favorite side sleeper align their neck with their spine while sleeping. We named this pillow the best for side sleepers in our guide to the best pillows. You can customize the pillow even more by choosing its size and height.A cool drink accessory worth celebratingBrumate12oz Insulated Champagne Flute, available at BrüMate, $24.99Best for: The beachside celebratorBrumate's insulated flute prevents the disappointment of bubbly that has gone warm and flat. It holds almost half a bottle of champagne and comes in 30 pretty colors.  A digital photo frameAmazonNIX 8-Inch USB Digital Photo Frame, available at Amazon, $69.99Best for: The modern nostalgistPro-tip: Include a USB stick of your favorite photo memories together with this gift. The high-tech photo frame will shuffle through and display crisp photos and videos, and it can also be mounted on a wall. If you can stretch your budget, the more popular WiFi version is the same idea but more convenient to use because it works right from your phone's gallery. A custom map of a special locationGrafomapCustom Map Poster, available at Grafomap, from $19Best for: The one who always mentions their favorite city Grafomap is the site where you can commemorate important places, be it their hometown, college town, or the city where you two met. The custom design function is easy to use and you can choose to get the final map poster framed or printed on canvas. An everyday stainless steel frying panMade InStainless Clad Frying Pan, available at Made In, $76Best for: The one who is constantly cookingPros like Tom Colicchio trust Made In's cookware to perform in some of the country's top kitchens, so rest assured it's good enough for your recipient. The quickly growing startup is behind a couple of our favorite pieces of cookware. A beautiful piece of handmade drinkwareJFR GlassAntique Silver Glass, available at JFR Glass, $45Best for: The fan of truly unique giftsEach hand-blown glass from JFR Glass is unique. The glasses aren't just pretty — they're also functional and sturdy. They're also dishwasher-safe and UV-resistant, so your recipient can enjoy the pieces forever. A cold brew coffee makerAmazonTakeya Cold Brew Coffee Maker, available at Amazon and Target, $27.99Best for: The daily cold brew consumerHelp your favorite coffee-lover stay caffeinated with this easy-to-use cold brew coffee maker. All they need to do is fill the filter with coffee, add water to the carafe, give it all a shake, and pop it in the fridge. In 12 hours, they will have a delicious cold brew that will have them reconsidering their daily trips to their favorite coffee shop.Style giftsAn affordable cashmere sweaterNaadamMen's and Women's The Essential Cashmere Sweater, available at Naadam, $75Best for: The one with impeccable style No wardrobe is complete without a great cashmere sweater. This one from Naadam is made of heavenly-soft 100% Mongolian cashmere and comes in over 25 colors, so there's truly a shade for everyone.A box of the best socksBombasWomen's Holiday Snowflake Ankle Sock 4-Pack Gift Box, available at Bombas, $66Best for: The appreciator of practical giftsBombas socks are some of our favorites for their arch support and durability. This box set (also available in men's and kid's sizes) features a set of subtly holiday-themed socks they'll wear all year round.A funky pair of shadesCrap EyewearThe Lucid Blur, available at Crap Eyewear, $89Best for: The trendsetterA great pair of sunglasses is a seasonless gift. Even on cold winter days, a pair of sunglasses is needed to block out the sun's glare and keep them looking stylish. If you're looking to snag them a unique pair of sunglasses, check out Crap Eyewear. The styles are fun, affordable, and totally on trend. An artistic watchMoMA Design StoreSwatch x MoMa watch, available at Moma Design Store, from $80Best for: The art enthusiastWhat better way to show off their love of art than a watch inspired by famous paintings? Swatch collaborated with New York's Museum of Modern Art to create these unique watches that resemble artworks from MoMa's collection.A pair of cozy slippersZapposUGG Scuffette II Slippers, available at Zappos, Amazon, and Nordstrom, from $94.95Best for: The comfort appreciator Help them keep their feet warm while working from home with these fuzzy slippers. These high-quality slippers are made of suede and have a sheepskin collar, making them a very useful gift that your recipient may not think to purchase for themselves.A gold bracelet that displays their zodiac signAurateZodiac Bracelet, available at Aurate, $90Best for: The chic astrology enthusiastThe delicate gold vermeil bracelet is a piece they'll want to wear every day. Aurate's beautiful gold jewelry is not only more affordable than traditional fine jewelry, but it's also ethically sourced, representing a new wave of jewelry brands to know about. A sturdy walletAmazonBellroy Slim Sleeve Leather Wallet, available at Bellroy, Amazon, and Nordstrom, $79Best for: The fan of practical giftsReplace their tired and tattered wallet with this slim leather billfold from Insider Reviews' favorite wallet brand Bellroy. It's made with ethically sourced leather that will age wonderfully and last many years.A pair of comfortable wool shoesAllbirdsWool Runners, available at Allbirds, $110Best for: The constant walkerWhile Allbirds has hinted that it's on track to become more than just a shoe brand, we'll always be partial to its original sneakers made from merino wool. We've been wearing and loving the comfortable style for more than two years, and you can't go wrong gifting a pair of these shoes. A reusable bag featuring a fun printBagguStandard Baggu, available at Baggu, $14Best for: The sustainable shopperThere are plenty of reusable nylon shopping bag options out there, but where Baggu really stands out from the crowd is its variety of quirky and colorful prints. These useful bags are the perfect gift for everyone in your life.A pretty leather travel wrap for chargersMark & GrahamLeather Charger Roll Up, available on Mark & Graham, $49Best for: The efficient packerMark & Graham's Leather Charger Roll Up is made from soft, supple leather and has three separate pockets to stash cables and chargers on the go. Get it monogrammed for free.A pair of sparkly hoopsMejuriSapphire Hoops, available at Mejuri, $58Best for: The lover of subtle jewelryTraditional hoops get an embellishment of white sapphire in this affordable piece from Mejuri. Extremely comfortable, flattering lounge pantsMeUndiesLounge Pants, available at MeUndies, $68Best for: The serious loungerThese are some of the best lounge pants we've ever tried. If they're spending more time in casual wear, they'll spend an inordinate amount of time in these. We also appreciate that the silky MicroModal and sleek cut make them perfectly acceptable for wearing in public to grab the mail.A high-quality leather band for an Apple WatchAmazonBullstrap Full-Grain Italian Leather Watch Band, available at Amazon, $95Best for: The stylish watch wearerBullstrap's Italian Leather Watch Bands are the perfect way to add some elegance to an Apple Watch. They come in several colors of leather and are compatible with all generations of the Apple Watch.A mini duffel crossbody with a distinctive lookDagne DoverExtra Small Landon Carryall, available at Dagne Dover, $93.75Best for: The one who's always on the goDagne Dover excels at making functional and versatile bags like work totes and this extra small version of its popular neoprene duffel. Inside, they'll find a compartment just large enough for the day's essentials, pockets to keep them organized, and a detachable key leash. Premium underwear that's worth every pennyTommy JohnMen's Second Skin Boxer Brief (3-Pack), available at Tommy John, $86Best for: The person who'd appreciate good underwearIt's not an exaggeration to say Tommy John could be the most comfortable boxers your recipient has ever worn. The Second Skin, in particular, is a standout — smooth, soft, stretchy, and breathable. The coziest moccasins we've ever wornL.L.BeanWomen's Wicked Good Moccasins, available at L.L.Bean, $89Best for: The winter cabin weekenderCan you practically feel the soft fluffiness of these slippers through your screen? L.L.Bean supposedly sells a pair of these cushioned sheepskin shoes every seven seconds during December, proving that they are worth the purchase.A pair of blue light-blocking glasses that look good enough to wear outside of the houseMVMTIngram Crystal Everscroll Glasses, available at MVMT, $78Best for: The one who works in front of a screen all dayHelp them protect their eyes from harsh screens with a pair of blue-light-blocking glasses. Their eyes won't feel as strained, and they might be able to drift off to sleep more quickly. Beauty and self-care giftsA simple but luxurious body washNecessaireNecessaire The Body Wash, available at Sephora, $25Best for: The person who appreciates a good showerNew startup Necessaire formulates its body care products with vitamins A, B3, C, E, and omega-6 and omega-9. The subtly scented Body Wash will leave their skin feeling clean, soft, and nourished. A glamorous nail kitOlive and JuneThe Mani System Box, available at Olive and June, $85Best for: The DIY nail artistFrom shimmery to matte polish options, gift them this game-changing nail kit. It includes six different shades you can pick yourself, a topcoat, nail polish remover, nail tools, and even a latte mug.A hair towel that cuts drying time in halfAmazonAquis Rapid Dry Lisse Hair Towel, available at Anthropologie and Bergdorf Goodman, $30Best for: The one who takes hair care seriouslyAquis' cult-favorite hair towels have inspired a slew of rave reviews online, including one from our own team of product reviewers. The towels are made from a proprietary fabric called Aquitex that's composed of ultra-fine fibers (finer than silk) that work to reduce the amount of friction the hair experiences while in its weakest state. A silky hand creamLa Mer/InstagramLa Mer Hand Treatment, available at Nordstrom, $90Best for: The fan of smooth handsOf all La Mer's premium skincare products, the Hand Treatment is a brand favorite. This creamy formula is the perfect texture to help heal dry hands.A small skincare tool that removes 99.5% of dirt, oil, and makeup residueAmazonForeo Luna Facial Cleansing Brush, available at Amazon and Ulta, from $83.40Best for: The skincare enthusiastOur team swears by these gentle yet effective cleaning brushes. They have hygienic silicone bristles and come in five different models for different skin types. The Luna is small enough to bring on the go, so your recipient can maintain their skincare routine no matter where they are.An easy-to-use trimmerPhilips NorelcoPhilips Norelco OneBlade Face + Body Trimmer, available at Amazon, Target, and Walmart, from $39.96Best for: The person who prefers a close shaveWhat separates the Philips Norelco OneBlade from other trimmers and shavers is the unique blade. It uses a fast-moving OneBlade cutter with a protection system on both sides of the blade to prevent knicks. The base of the blade will contour to his face, allowing for a comfortable shave or trim without irritation — and it works for wet or dry shaving.A solution to their back painBest BuyUpright Go 2 Posture Trainer, available at Best Buy, $79.99Best for: The person working on their postureThis gift is for anyone who is always complaining about their back pain or poor posture. Upright Go is an innovative and discreet device that sticks to the top of their back and helps them improve their posture, day by day. A sleep mask made with high-quality mulberry silkNordstromSlip Pure Silk Sleep Mask, available at Nordstrom, $50Best for: The person who takes sleep seriouslyFew things are more luxurious than sleeping with a silk mask. Thanks to its all silk construction, your recipient's face will feel cool all night long. An electric toothbrush they won't want to hide awayGobyMoonstone Electric Toothbrush, available at Goby, $95Best for: The dental-care obsessedIn addition to its sleek design, the Goby Toothbrush stands out for its soft brush head, normal and sensitive brushing speeds, and convenient USB charging shell. A cult-favorite fragranceLe Labo/InstagramLe Labo AnOther 13 Eau de Parfum, available at Nordstrom, from $90Best for: The daily perfume userLe Labo is famous for its distinctive packaging and subtle yet inviting scents. The AnOther is musky and woodsy, but it's balanced out with ingredients like jasmine petals. Fitness, outdoor, and hobby giftsA high-quality yoga matMandukaManduka PROlite Yoga Mat, available at Amazon, Manduka, and REI, $99Best for: The yogi Make their sweat sessions better with the addition of a great yoga mat. The Manduka PROlite boasts supportive, dense cushioning and a no-slip grip, but it's still super lightweight for easy carrying.An instant cameraFujifilmFujifilm Instax Mini 11 Instant Camera, available at Amazon, Walmart, and Urban Outfitters, from $73.25Best for: The memory makerSure, they can snap photos on their iPhone all night long, but these days there's something particularly special about having tangible photographs. An instant camera is the perfect gift for the one who loves documenting life in photos.A gift card from BookshopCrystal Cox/InsiderGift Card, available at Bookshop, from $10Best for: The bookstore browserBookshop allows readers to support small bookstores online. The retailer sells gift cards that your recipient will be able to use to shop online from their favorite indie bookstore. The gift cards never expire and can be bought in increments from $10 to $1000.An at-home pottery kitSculpdPottery Kit, available at Sculpd, $65Best for: The crafterThis pottery kit offers a unique activity to do with your loved ones. Each kit comes with enough supplies for two people, with add-on supplies also available for purchase so that more can participate. It also includes a step-by-step instructional booklet.A sleek fitness trackerFitbitFitbit Inspire 2, available at Best Buy, Target, and Fitbit, $79.95Best for: The avid athleteFitbit's affordable Inspire 2 tracker has no shortage of useful features to keep them informed about their physical activity. The heart rate monitor lets them be more strategic about their workouts by tracking calorie burn, resting heart rate, and heart rate zones.Membership to a popular nationwide book clubBook of the Month6-Month Subscription, available at Book of the Month, $99.99Best for: The avid readerIf they prefer the incomparable feel of a hardcover book, set them up with a Book of the Month membership. It offers five curated titles, mainly from up-and-coming authors, to choose from every month. A bike horn that can honk as loud as a carPriority BicyclesPriority High Power Horn, available at Priority Bicycles, $29.99Best for: The bike commuterBorn out of a research project between Priority Bicycles and Toyota, this bike horn can get as loud as the one in a car. This is an excellent safety accessory for bikers.A gorgeous coffee table book that helps cure their travel bugAmazon"1,000 Places to See Before You Die (Deluxe Edition): The World as You've Never Seen It Before" by Patricia Schultz, available at Barnes & Noble, $50.99Best for: The aspirational travelerPatricia Schultz's original "1,000 Places" captured imaginations with its compelling curation of experiences all over the world. The newly released deluxe edition features a beautiful gold-embellished cover and more than 1,000 new photographs. An interactive state park mapUncommonGoodsState Parks Explorer Map, available at UncommonGoods, $28Best for: The hikerThis state park map is sure to come in handy whenever they venture into the outdoors. Choose from 10 maps that each list over 30 parks in states such as New York, California, and Connecticut. The map includes a sheet of gold stickers so they can mark their progress after each park visit.Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: smallbizSource: nytDec 5th, 2022

80 thoughtful gift ideas under $100

From a personalized photo book to a sunrise alarm clock, here are 80 gift ideas under $100 for every type of person on your gift list. When you buy through our links, Insider may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more.MoMA Store/Artifact UprisingThere's no greater feeling than knowing you gave someone a gift they truly love. If you're the kind of person who counts gift-giving as their love language, you know that it's pretty easy to go over your budget in your quest to find the perfect gift. With a $100 budget, you can find great gifts that cater to their interests, fulfill a need, or offer them something new to try. No matter the occasion, we're confident that these gifts are sure to impress. From the latest and greatest kitchen gadgets to luxury beauty products, we've rounded up 80 gift ideas you can snag for $100 or less. We also have guides for gifts under $25 and gifts under $50. If you're not shopping by budget, we also have gift guides that cover many price points and interests. *This list includes a Sponsored Product that has been suggested by AncestryDNA. It also meets our editorial criteria in terms of quality and value.A succulent to spruce up their spaceLula's GardenBliss Garden, available at Lula's Garden, $30Best for: The plant parentA small succulent is a perfect way to brighten up their desk, bookshelf, or windowsill. We love this one from Lula's Garden because it's wrapped in a ready-to-gift box. Plus, when you buy one, you support water.org, an organization that helps people all over the world get access to safe, clean water. A mini fireplaceFood52Personal Concrete Fireplace, available at Food52, $98Best for: The fireplace fanKeep them warm and entertained this summer with this small personal fireplace, which is safe for use indoors and for cooking fun treats like s'mores. A DNA kit to learn more about your family historyAmazonAncestryDNA kit, available at Ancestry, $59Curious about family history? This AncestryDNA test tells you more about genetic ethnicity — and opens up rich conversations about family heritage and personal stories. We like Ancestry because it surveys an extensive population and links you with relatives.*Sponsored by Ancestry.A sunrise alarm clockAmazonPhilips SmartSleep Sunrise Alarm Clock, available at Amazon, $79.95Best for: The aspirational early birdSunrise alarm clocks can help turn typically groggy wake-ups into a softer, more calm way to get out of bed, and the SmartSleep from Philips is one of our favorites. Aside from its calming alarms and beautiful sunrise effect, it also doesn't require the use of an app. A creative Keith Haring-inspired chess setMoMa Design StoreKeith Haring Colorful Chess Set, available at MoMA Design Store, $55Best for: The artsy gamerThe Keith Haring Colorful Chess Set doubles as a fun leisure activity and stunning display piece. The chess pieces are inspired by Haring's favorite artworks, from the barking dog to his trademark figures.A glamorous nail kitOlive and JuneThe Mani System Box, available at Olive and June, $85Best for: The DIY nail artistFrom shimmery to matte polish options, gift them this game-changing nail kit. It includes six different shades you can pick yourself, a topcoat, nail polish remover, nail tools, and even a latte mug.An e-book reader that stores thousands of booksAmazonKindle, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The traveling bookwormA Kindle brings them an easier reading experience, especially when traveling. The Kindle has 8 GB of storage, weeks of battery life, and a vast selection of books to enjoy leisurely wherever, whenever. An artistic watchMoMA Design StoreSwatch x MoMa watch, available at Moma Design Store, from $80Best for: The art enthusiastWhat better way to show off their love of art than a watch inspired by famous paintings? Swatch collaborated with New York's Museum of Modern Art to create these unique watches that resemble artworks from MoMa's collection.A travel photo albumArtifacts UprisingHardcover Travel Photo Book, available at Artifact Uprising, from $72Best for: The vacation photographerThis customizable photo book takes them back to every travel adventure so they'll never forget it. Whether it's a week trip or an extended stay, the travel photo album captures every excursion with charming designs on up to 210 pages.A fresh flower bouquetUrbanStemsFlower bouquets, available at UrbanStems, from $32Best for: Any fan of flowersIf you don't know what to gift, flowers are always appreciated. A beautiful bouquet delivered right to them is the kindest way to say congrats and show you're thinking of them.The perfect pillow for side sleepersCasperOriginal Casper Pillow, available at Casper, $65Best for: The restless side sleeperThe Original Casper Pillow will help your favorite side sleeper align their neck with their spine while sleeping. We named this pillow the best for side sleepers in our guide to the best pillows. You can customize the pillow even more by choosing its size and height.A gift card from BookshopCrystal Cox/InsiderGift card, available at Bookshop, from $10Best for: The bookstore browserBookshop allows readers to support small bookstores online. The retailer sells gift cards that your recipient will be able to use to shop online from their favorite indie bookstore. The gift cards never expire and can be bought in increments from $10 to $1000.An at-home pottery kitSculpdPottery Kit, available at Sculpd, $65Best for: The crafterThis pottery kit offers a unique activity to do with your loved ones. Each kit comes with enough supplies for two people, with add-on supplies also available for purchase so that more can participate. It also includes a step-by-step instructional booklet.A set of cocktail mixers that taste like summerWilliams SonomaCasamigos Cocktail Gift Set, available at Williams Sonoma, $56.95Best for: The cocktail connoisseurCo-founded by actor George Clooney, Casamigos is a favorite brand of many tequila lovers. The company's newest addition is a cocktail gift set of uniquely flavored mixers and rimmers. The mixers are exclusively available at Williams Sonoma and include blackberry basil and citrus flavors.A gift card from Hello FreshHello FreshGift card, available at Hello Fresh, from $75Best for: The exhausted home cookThe best gifts are for items or services your recipient wouldn't think to purchase for themselves. A gift card from Hello Fresh checks all of these boxes, as it offers a welcome reprieve from grocery shopping and meal planning. Choose from four amounts based on your recipient's household size and needs. We also wrote a full guide to Hello Fresh that includes a breakdown of its special features, how to get started with an account, and more.A bag made for hosting mini picnicsAmazonPicnic at Ascot Insulated Wine and Cheese Cooler Bag, available at Amazon, $49Best for: The picnicker Our pick for the best picnic basket for carrying bottles, this insulated bag is a great gift for those who want to have a small picnic complete with their favorite drinks and small snacks.A set of sustainable coastersJoanna BuchananRuffle Edge Straw Coasters, available at Joanna Buchanan, $48Best for: The meticulous table setterAdd a pop of color to their indoor and outdoor eating spaces with these colorful straw coasters. The coasters come in a set of four, are handwoven in the Philippines, and are made of sustainable materials.A savory seasoning starter packMomofukuPantry Starter Pack, available at Momofuku, $60Best for: The spice rack re-stockerSpice up their pantry with this flavorful seasoning set. The starter pack includes spicy seasoned salts, restaurant-grade soy and tamari sauces, and chili crunch. Momofuku's site also includes several recipes to make using the ingredients from the set.A pair of cozy slippersZapposUGG Scuffette II Slippers, available at Zappos, $94.95Best for: The comfort appreciator Help them keep their feet warm while working from home with these fuzzy slippers. These high-quality slippers are made of suede and have a sheepskin collar, making them a very useful gift that your recipient may not think to purchase for themselves.A wine gift setAmazonIvation Wine Lovers Set with Opener and Preserver, available at Amazon, $49.98Best for: The wine appreciator Help elevate your recipient's wine experience by gifting this wine lover's set. The included wine preserver is a great gift for those that live alone or like to take their time with their wines. The sleek charging base and modern design make this a gift your recipient will be proud to display on their kitchen counter.A device that turns plain water into a sparkling beverageAmazonSodaStream Sparkling Water Maker, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The fizzy water fanA SodaStream is an amazing gift for anyone who's a fan of fizzy beverages. With this gadget, they can make sparkling water in seconds and add flavors if they want to spice things up.A sturdy walletAmazonBellroy Slim Sleeve Leather Wallet, available at Bellroy, $79Best for: The fan of practical giftsReplace their tired and tattered wallet with this slim leather billfold from Insider Reviews' favorite wallet brand Bellroy. It's made with ethically sourced leather that will age wonderfully and last many years.A sleek fitness tracker that includes heart rate monitoringFitbitFitbit Inspire 2, available at Best Buy, $69.95Best for: The avid athleteFitbit's affordable Inspire 2 tracker has no shortage of useful features to keep them informed about their physical activity. The heart rate monitor lets them be more strategic about their workouts by tracking calorie burn, resting heart rate, and heart rate zones.A hair towel that cuts drying time in halfAmazonAquis Original Microfiber Hair Turban, available at Amazon, $20.49Best for: The one who takes hair care seriouslyAquis' cult-favorite hair towels have inspired a slew of rave reviews online, including one from our own team of product reviewers. The towels are made from a proprietary fabric called Aquitex that's composed of ultra-fine fibers (finer than silk) that work to reduce the amount of friction the hair experiences while in its weakest state. A memorable date night optionEatwith/InstagramGift card, available at Eatwith, from $30Best for: The adventurous dinerEatwith offers cool dining experiences that bring together delicious menus, professional chefs, and interesting guests. Typically held in person, in major cities like New York, Paris, and London, Eatwith is now offering online classes you can take from anywhere that bring unique cooking experiences right into your kitchen. In addition to experiences led by professional chefs from around the world, Eatwith has recently added classes taught by MasterChef contestants.A pair of comfortable wool shoesAllbirdsWool Runners, available at Allbirds, $110Best for: The constant walkerWhile Allbirds has hinted that it's on track to become more than just a shoe brand, we'll always be partial to its original sneakers made from merino wool. We've been wearing and loving the comfortable style for more than two years, and you can't go wrong gifting a pair of these shoes. Coffee from a different country, delivered every monthAtlas Coffee Club/Instagram3-Month Gift Subscription, available at Atlas Coffee Club, $55Best for: The coffee loverIt's a worldwide coffee tour without the expense of airplane tickets. Atlas Coffee Club delivers single-origin coffee and always includes a postcard from the country, brewing tips, and flavor notes with each month's shipment. A small skincare tool that removes 99.5% of dirt, oil, and makeup residueAmazonForeo Luna Facial Cleansing Brush, available at Amazon, $66.52Best for: The skincare enthusiastOur team swears by these gentle yet effective cleaning brushes. They have hygienic silicone bristles and come in five different models for different skin types. The Luna is small enough to bring on the go, so your recipient can maintain their skincare routine no matter where they are.A digital photo frameAmazonNIX 8-Inch USB Digital Photo Frame, available at Amazon, $69.99Best for: The modern nostalgistPro-tip: Include a USB stick of your favorite photo memories together with this gift. The high-tech photo frame will shuffle through and display crisp photos and videos, and it can also be mounted on a wall. If you can stretch your budget, the more popular WiFi version is the same idea but more convenient to use because it works right from your phone's gallery. An easy-to-use trimmerPhilips NorelcoPhilips Norelco OneBlade Face + Body Trimmer, available at Amazon, $47.75Best for: The person who prefers a close shaveWhat separates the Philips Norelco OneBlade from other trimmers and shavers is the unique blade. It uses a fast-moving OneBlade cutter with a protection system on both sides of the blade to prevent knicks. The base of the blade will contour to his face, allowing for a comfortable shave or trim without irritation — and it works for wet or dry shaving.A convenient wireless charging padAmazonAnker PowerWave Wireless Charging Pad, available on Amazon, $13.99Best for: The one who's always low on phone batteryA wireless charger is a great gift for anyone with a glass-backed smartphone that supports the feature. Our reviewer called this one "the perfect wireless charging pad." It charges quickly, looks nice, and can even accommodate thick phone cases.Membership to a popular nationwide book clubBook of the Month6-Month Subscription, available at Book of the Month, $99.99Best for: The avid readerIf they prefer the incomparable feel of a hardcover book, set them up with a Book of the Month membership. It offers five curated titles, mainly from up-and-coming authors, to choose from every month. A solution to their back painBest BuyUpright Go 2 Posture Trainer, available at Best Buy, $79.99Best for: The person working on their postureThis gift is for anyone who is always complaining about their back pain or poor posture. Upright Go is an innovative and discreet device that sticks to the top of their back and helps them improve their posture, day by day. A fan-favorite cookbook with original illustrationsAmazon"Salt, Fat, Acid, Heat" by Samin Nosrat, available at Amazon, $16.65Best for: The experimental cookThis is the perfect cookbook for those just getting into cooking. Chef and New York Times columnist Samin Nosrat outlines the foundations of cooking and presents it in a fun, engaging way alongside original illustrations. Their favorite specialty meals, no matter where they areGoldbellyMeal kits, available at Goldbelly, from $25Best for: The foodieGoldbelly makes it possible to satisfy their most specific and nostalgic cravings no matter where they live in the US — a cheesecake from Junior's, deep dish pizza from Lou Malnati, and more. Browse the iconic gifts section for inspiration.A stylish accessory with a hidden chargerMark & GrahamPower Up Lightning to USB Tassel Keychain, available at Mark & Graham, from $49Best for: The sleek utilitarian The leather keychain is as functional as it is attractive: it has an iPhone lightning input and USB stick so they can charge their phone in their bag. Some colors include free monogramming while others have a $10 monogram fee. A cold brew coffee makerAmazonTakeya Cold Brew Maker, available at Amazon, $27.99Best for: The daily cold brew consumerHelp your favorite coffee-lover stay caffeinated with this easy-to-use cold brew coffee maker. All they need to do is fill the filter with coffee, add water to the carafe, give it all a shake, and pop it in the fridge. In 12 hours, they will have a delicious cold brew that will have them reconsidering their daily trips to their favorite coffee shop.A reusable bag featuring a fun printBagguStandard Baggu, available at Baggu, $14Best for: The sustainable shopperThere are plenty of reusable nylon shopping bag options out there, but where Baggu really stands out from the crowd is its variety of quirky and colorful prints. These useful bags are the perfect gift for everyone in your life.A fun and educational online cooking classCozymeal/InstagramGift card, available at Cozymeal, from $50Best for: The aspirational chefGifting experiences is on the rise. With a Cozymeal class, they'll learn how to make anything from fresh pasta to beautiful charcuterie boards. In addition to cooking classes, Cozymeal offers online mixology classes and virtual wine tastings.A set of trackers for the absent-mindedAmazonTile Pro (2-Pack), available at Amazon, $47.99Best for: The person always losing their keysWhen they can't find their phone, all they have to do is click their Tile button to make their phone ring, even if it's on silent. An electric toothbrush they won't want to hide awayGobyMoonstone Electric Toothbrush, available at Goby, $95Best for: The dental-care obsessedIn addition to its sleek design, the Goby Toothbrush stands out for its soft brush head, normal and sensitive brushing speeds, and convenient USB charging shell. Ready-to-prepare meals that save them timeDaily HarvestThe 9-Item Gift Card, available at Daily Harvest, $75Best for: The healthy eaterYour recipient will be able to fill a box with smoothies (including protein smoothies for gym rats), harvest bowls, soup, and more meals that are ready to take on the go. Daily Harvest's healthy offerings are perfect for the busy, wellness-minded people in your life. A case that sanitizes dirty phonesPhone SoapPhoneSoap 3 Smartphone Sanitizer, available at PhoneSoap, $79.95Best for: The neat freakMost of us carry our phones with us everywhere — and we mean, everywhere. PhoneSoap kills 99.9% of common household germs, including bacteria that lead to E.Coli, Salmonella, Staph, the flu, and the common cold. Especially with the pandemic, your recipient will love knowing that their phone is squeaky clean. A pretty leather wrap for taking chargers and cables on the goMark & GrahamLeather Charger Roll Up, available on Mark & Graham, from $24.99Best for: The efficient packerMark & Graham's Leather Charger Roll Up is made from soft, supple leather and has three separate pockets to stash cables and chargers on the go. Get it monogrammed for free.A delicious and unique hot sauceTruff/InstagramTruff White Truffle Hot Sauce, available at Amazon, $26.99Best for: The hot sauce collectorThis hot sauce is infused with white truffle, packing a sweet heat you'll want to add to burritos, pizza, wings, or any other dish you want to make a little more interesting. Extremely comfortable, flattering lounge pantsMeUndiesLounge Pants, available at MeUndies, $68Best for: The serious loungerThese are some of the best lounge pants we've ever tried. If they're spending more time in casual wear, they'll spend an inordinate amount of time in these. We also appreciate that the silky MicroModal and sleek cut make them perfectly acceptable for wearing in public to grab the mail.A bike horn that can honk as loud as a carPriority BicyclesPriority High Power Horn, available at Priority Bicycles, $29.99Best for: The bike commuterBorn out of a research project between Priority Bicycles and Toyota, this bike horn can get as loud as the one in a car. This is an excellent safety accessory for bikers.A silky hand creamLa Mer/InstagramLa Mer Hand Treatment, available at Nordstrom, $90Best for: The fan of smooth handsOf all La Mer's premium skincare products, the Hand Treatment is a brand favorite. This creamy formula is the perfect texture to help heal dry hands.The internet's favorite olive oilBrightland/InstagramAwake Olive Oil, available at Brightland, $37Best for: The quality EVOO enthusiastBrightland's olive oils make great gifts for cooks and anyone who loves to entertain. The white bottles protect the EVOO from light damage and look nice displayed on a countertop. Premium distilled whiskeyUncle Nearest WhiskeyUncle Nearest Whiskey, available at ReserveBar, from $56Best for: The old-fashioned fanFounded in Tennessee, Uncle Nearest is an award-winning, Black-owned whiskey brand that was inspired by the first known African-American master distiller, Nathan "Nearest" Green. If you're shopping for someone who enjoys a quality glass of whiskey or a whiskey-based cocktail every now and then, a bottle of Uncle Nearest won't disappoint.A sleek knife blockMaterial KitchenThe Stand, available at Material Kitchen, $90Best for: The practical chefWe're big fans of Material Kitchen's minimalist approach to kitchen essentials — like this magnetic, angled knife block made from heavy-duty wood. A simple but luxurious body washNecessaireNecessaire The Body Wash, available at Sephora, $25Best for: The person who appreciates a good showerNew startup Necessaire formulates its body care products with vitamins A, B3, C, E, and omega-6 and omega-9. The subtly scented Body Wash will leave their skin feeling clean, soft, and nourished. A high-quality leather band for an Apple WatchAmazonBullstrap Full-Grain Italian Leather Watch Band, available at Amazon, $95Best for: The stylish watch wearerBullstrap's Italian Leather Watch Bands are the perfect way to add some elegance to an Apple Watch. They come in several colors of leather and are compatible with all generations of the Apple Watch.A pair of sparkly hoopsMejuriSapphire Hoops, available at Mejuri, $58Best for: The lover of subtle jewelryTraditional hoops get an embellishment of white sapphire in this affordable piece from Mejuri. Premium underwear that's worth every pennyTommy JohnMen's Second Skin Boxer Brief 3-Pack, available at Tommy John, $97Best for: The person who'd appreciate good underwearIt's not an exaggeration to say Tommy John could be the most comfortable boxers your recipient has ever worn. The Second Skin, in particular, is a standout — smooth, soft, stretchy, and breathable. A cool drink accessory worth celebratingBrumate12oz Insulated Champagne Flute, available at BrüMate, from $24.99Best for: The beachside celebratorBrumate's insulated flute prevents the disappointment of bubbly that has gone warm and flat. It holds almost half a bottle of champagne and comes in 30 pretty colors.  A whimsical candle from a new brandOtherland/Instagram3-Candle Set, available at Otherland, $89Best for: The fancy candle fanAs our candle-loving editor points out, "Does the world really need another fancy candle brand?" Otherland's candles are so creative and interesting that you won't be able to resist gifting at least a few. A gold bracelet that displays their zodiac signAurateZodiac Bracelet, available at Aurate, $90Best for: The chic astrology enthusiastThe delicate gold vermeil bracelet is a piece they'll want to wear every day. Aurate's beautiful gold jewelry is not only more affordable than traditional fine jewelry, but it's also ethically sourced, representing a new wave of jewelry brands to know about. A mini duffel crossbody with a distinctive lookDagne DoverExtra Small Landon Carryall, available at Dagne Dover, $110Best for: The one who's always on the goDagne Dover excels at making functional and versatile bags like work totes and this extra small version of its popular neoprene duffel. Inside, they'll find a compartment just large enough for the day's essentials, pockets to keep them organized, and a detachable key leash. A streaming stick that gives them access to more than 500,000 movies and TV episodesAmazonRoku Streaming Stick +, available at Amazon, $48.25Best for: The TV fanaticRoku's Streaming Stick+ is exceptional for its 4K, HDR, and HD streaming, and long-range wireless receiver. Installing it is an easy process and starts by plugging the stick into the TV. Sweet treats they won't be able to stop eatingMilk BarThe Chocolatey Classic, available at Milk Bar, $89Best for: The chocolate loverInstead of the usual box of chocolates, gift some of the best-known and most delicious treats from Milk Bar. The set contains 12 soft and chewy cake truffles and an adorable mini birthday cake. A box that lets them explore the exciting world of sakeTippsySake Gift Box, available at Tippsy, $59Best for: The sake drinkerWhile online wine clubs abound, Tippsy is quietly cultivating a community of sake lovers. It offers an abundance of knowledge and premium sake options to anyone who's interested in exploring this underrated alcohol further.  A compact and lightweight hand mixerAmazonKitchenaid 5-Speed Ultra Power Hand Mixer, available at Target, $54.99Best for: The bakerNot all baking tasks require a full stand mixer. KitchenAid's hand mixer doesn't take up a lot of space but gets a variety of jobs done by offering five-speed options. You'll also have fun picking out a unique color for your recipient. A game that tests their penchant for punsAmazonPun Intended Game, available at Amazon, $24.99Best for: The game night hostIt's a battle of who can devise the most clever puns in this family-friendly card game that requires a quick mind and even quicker writing skills. Game on. A custom map of a special locationGrafomapCustom Map Poster, available at Grafomap, from $19Best for: The one who always mentions their favorite city Grafomap is the site where you can commemorate important places, be it their hometown, college town, or the city where you two met. The custom design function is easy to use and you can choose to get the final map poster framed or printed on canvas. A waterproof outdoor speakerAmazonUltimate Ears Wonderboom Speaker, available at Amazon, from $93.97Best for: The outdoor entertainerThe surprisingly powerful speaker fits in the palm of their hand and can go swimming with them in the pool or ocean. It's also dustproof and therefore suitable for hikes and other outdoor adventures. A sleep mask made with high-quality mulberry silkNordstromSlip Pure Silk Sleep Mask, available at Nordstrom, $50Best for: The person who takes sleep seriouslyFew things are more luxurious than sleeping with a silk mask. Thanks to its all silk construction, your recipient's face will feel cool all night long. A plush bathrobeParachuteClassic Bathrobe, available at Parachute, $109Best for: The fan of pure comfortIt's all too tempting to stay wrapped up in this Turkish cotton bathrobe long after they've stepped out of the shower. The thick robe is our pick for the best bathrobe you can buy. A chai samplerAmazonVadham Chai Tea Reserve Set, available at Amazon, $29.99Best for: The tea drinkerThis set of loose-leaf teas made it into Oprah's Favorite Things back in 2018. It's filled with three variations of chai that any tea lover will appreciate. A cult-favorite fragranceLe Labo/InstagramLe Labo AnOther 13 Eau de Parfum, available at Nordstrom, from $215Best for: The daily perfume userLe Labo is famous for its distinctive packaging and subtle yet inviting scents. The AnOther is musky and woodsy, but it's balanced out with ingredients like jasmine petals. The outdoor game you see everyone playing at the parkAmazonSpikeball Game Set, available at Dick's Sporting Goods, $69.99Best for: The bored beach-goerIt's a gorgeous day out and you can't help but notice a few groups having fun while playing some kind of new ball game. Chances are it's Spikeball, the volleyball-esque game that your recipient can set up in any large outdoor space. It takes just 10 minutes to learn the rules. A pair of blue light-blocking glasses that look good enough to wear outside of the houseMVMTIngram Crystal Everscroll Glasses, available at MVMT, $78Best for: The one who works in front of a screen all dayHelp them protect their eyes from harsh screens with a pair of blue-light-blocking glasses. Their eyes won't feel as strained, and they might be able to drift off to sleep more quickly. A set of monogrammed hand towelsWeeziePiped Edge Washcloths (Set of 2), available at Weezie, $36Best for: The monogram loverThe extra time and thought put into a personalized gift are worth it. You can add custom embroidery (+$15 per towel) to Weezie's fluffy and absorbent towels. A flavorful seasoning collectionArtifact UprisingThe Grill & Roast Collection, available at Spicewalla, $19.99Best for: The backyard grillerA set of tasty seasonings is key to making delicious foods, especially during BBQ season. They can use the spices in this collection to add flavor to meats, seafood, vegetables, and even rice.The coziest moccasins we've ever wornL.L.BeanWomen's Wicked Good Moccasins, available at L.L.Bean, $89Best for: The winter cabin weekenderCan you practically feel the soft fluffiness of these slippers through your screen? L.L.Bean supposedly sells a pair of these cushioned sheepskin shoes every seven seconds during December, proving that they are worth the purchase.An everyday stainless steel frying pan that professional cooks loveMade InFrying Pan, available at Made In, $79Best for: The one who is constantly cookingPros like Tom Colicchio trust Made In's cookware to perform in some of the country's top kitchens, so rest assured it's good enough for your recipient. The quickly growing startup is behind a couple of our favorite pieces of cookware. A gorgeous coffee table book that helps cure their travel bugAmazon"1,000 Places to See Before You Die (Deluxe Edition): The World as You've Never Seen It Before" by Patricia Schultz, available at Barnes & Noble, $50.99Best for: The aspirational travelerPatricia Schultz's original "1,000 Places" captured imaginations with its compelling curation of experiences all over the world. The newly released deluxe edition features a beautiful gold-embellished cover and more than 1,000 new photographs. A fun, cult-favorite board gameAmazonSettlers of Catan Board Game, available at Walmart, $47.49Best for: The committed gamerThe Settlers of Catan relies upon strategy and sometimes luck to build civilizations — and it can last for hours. A beautiful piece of handmade drinkwareJFR GlassAntique Silver Glass, available at JFR Glass, $45Best for: The fan of truly unique giftsEach hand-blown glass from JFR Glass is unique. The glasses aren't just pretty — they're also functional and sturdy. They're also dishwasher-safe and UV-resistant, so your recipient can enjoy the pieces forever. An interactive state park mapUncommonGoodsState Parks Explorer Map, available at UncommonGoods, $28Best for: The hikerThis state park map is sure to come in handy whenever they venture into the outdoors. Choose from 10 maps that each list over 30 parks in states such as New York, California, and Connecticut. The map includes a sheet of gold stickers so they can mark their progress after each park visit.Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderNov 3rd, 2022

Ukraine"s Top General Doesn"t Rule Out "Limited" Nuclear War

Ukraine's Top General Doesn't Rule Out "Limited" Nuclear War Ukraine’s top military chief has warned that Russia could unleash nukes if its army is against the ropes in Ukraine. The comments were issued Wednesday amid an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south and east which both Kiev and Washington say has so far had "success". Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Gen. Valery Zaluzhny stated "There is a direct threat of the use, under certain circumstances, of tactical nuclear weapons by the Russian armed forces." He wrote this in an op-ed published by state run outlet Ukrinform, with the alarming words being picked up by The Washington Post and others. Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Valery Zaluzhny, image via The Odessa Journal. "It is also impossible to completely rule out the possibility of the direct involvement of the world’s leading countries in a 'limited' nuclear conflict, in which the prospect of World War III is already directly visible," Zaluzhny added.  The top commander further issued his first official confirmation that the unprecedented large strikes on Russia's Crimea bases and an arms depot widely reported in August were Ukrainian operations. The initial early August huge Saki air base explosion had previously only been acknowledged as a Ukrainian strike via anonymous leaks to Western media outlets by senior Kiev officials. At around the same time as those opening Crimea attacks, which have continued sporadically since then, President Zelensky vowed to "liberate" the Russian-held territory, which the Kremlin gained control of after a 2014 popular referendum, which wasn't recognized by Europe or the US. According to Gen. Zaluzhny's words as featured in The Washington Post:  With the fighting all but certain to continue into 2023, Ukraine has to make the war "even sharper and more tangible for the Russians and for other occupied regions, despite the massive distance to the targets," Zaluzhny wrote. He called the Crimean strikes a "convincing example" of Kyiv’s calls for allies to send longer-range weapons for its outgunned soldiers. Moscow, he said, can hit 20 times farther. Moscow for its part has also expressed alarm over the potential for nuclear-armed confrontation with the West over Ukraine, given Washington's steadily growing involvement - especially the billions of dollars in weapons and military aid being poured into the Ukrainian side. It has also rejected charges that it is prepared to use nukes. The Saki base blast, deep inside Crimea, on Aug.9. During a speech to the United Nations early last month, Russian diplomat Alexander Trofimov rejected "utterly unfounded, detached from reality and unacceptable speculations that Russia allegedly threatens to use nuclear weapons, particularly in Ukraine." Per Reuters, he stressed Russia's official position, explaining that nuclear arms could only be used in "response to weapons of mass destruction or a conventional weapons attack that threatened the existence of the Russian state." Tyler Durden Fri, 09/09/2022 - 06:55.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeSep 9th, 2022

79 thoughtful gift ideas under $100

From a personalized photo book to a sunrise alarm clock, here are 79 gift ideas under $100 for every type of person on your gift list. When you buy through our links, Insider may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more.MoMA Store/Artifact UprisingThere's no greater feeling than knowing you gave someone a gift they truly love. If you're the kind of person who counts gift-giving as their love language, you know that it's pretty easy to go over your budget in your quest to find the perfect gift. With a $100 budget, you can find great gifts that cater to their interests, fulfill a need, or offer them something new to try. No matter the occasion, we're confident that these gifts are sure to impress. From the latest and greatest kitchen gadgets to luxury beauty products, we've rounded up over 79 gift ideas you can snag for $100 or less. We also have guides for gifts under $25 and gifts under $50. If you're not shopping by budget, we also have gift guides that cover many price points and interests. Shop the 79 best under-$100 gift ideas below:A succulent to spruce up their spaceLula's GardenBliss Garden, available at Lula's Garden, $30Best for: The plant parentA small succulent is a perfect way to brighten up their desk, bookshelf, or windowsill. We love this one from Lula's Garden because it's wrapped in a ready-to-gift box. Plus, when you buy one, you support water.org, an organization that helps people all over the world get access to safe, clean water. A mini fireplaceFood52Personal Concrete Fireplace, available at Food52, $98Best for: The fireplace fanKeep them warm and entertained this summer with this small personal fireplace, which is safe for use indoors and for cooking fun treats like s'mores. A sunrise alarm clockAmazonPhilips SmartSleep Sunrise Alarm Clock, available at Amazon, $79.95Best for: The aspirational early birdSunrise alarm clocks can help turn typically groggy wake-ups into a softer, more calm way to get out of bed, and the SmartSleep from Philips is one of our favorites. Aside from its calming alarms and beautiful sunrise effect, it also doesn't require the use of an app. A creative Keith Haring-inspired chess setMoMa Design StoreKeith Haring Colorful Chess Set, available at MoMA Design Store, $55Best for: The artsy gamerThe Keith Haring Colorful Chess Set doubles as a fun leisure activity and stunning display piece. The chess pieces are inspired by Haring's favorite artworks, from the barking dog to his trademark figures.A glamorous nail kitOlive and JuneThe Mani System Box, available at Olive and June, $85Best for: The DIY nail artistFrom shimmery to matte polish options, gift them this game-changing nail kit. It includes six different shades you can pick yourself, a topcoat, nail polish remover, nail tools, and even a latte mug.An e-book reader that stores thousands of booksAmazonKindle, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The traveling bookwormA Kindle brings them an easier reading experience, especially when traveling. The Kindle has 8 GB of storage, weeks of battery life, and a vast selection of books to enjoy leisurely wherever, whenever. An artistic watchMoMA Design StoreSwatch x MoMa watch, available at Moma Design Store, from $80Best for: The art enthusiastWhat better way to show off their love of art than a watch inspired by famous paintings? Swatch collaborated with New York's Museum of Modern Art to create these unique watches that resemble artworks from MoMa's collection.A travel photo albumArtifacts UprisingHardcover Travel Photo Book, available at Artifact Uprising, from $72Best for: The vacation photographerThis customizable photo book takes them back to every travel adventure so they'll never forget it. Whether it's a week trip or an extended stay, the travel photo album captures every excursion with charming designs on up to 210 pages.A fresh flower bouquetUrbanStemsFlower bouquets, available at UrbanStems, from $32Best for: Any fan of flowersIf you don't know what to gift, flowers are always appreciated. A beautiful bouquet delivered right to them is the kindest way to say congrats and show you're thinking of them.The perfect pillow for side sleepersCasperOriginal Casper Pillow, available at Casper, $65Best for: The restless side sleeperThe Original Casper Pillow will help your favorite side sleeper align their neck with their spine while sleeping. We named this pillow the best for side sleepers in our guide to the best pillows. You can customize the pillow even more by choosing its size and height.A gift card from BookshopCrystal Cox/InsiderGift card, available at Bookshop, from $10Best for: The bookstore browserBookshop allows readers to support small bookstores online. The retailer sells gift cards that your recipient will be able to use to shop online from their favorite indie bookstore. The gift cards never expire and can be bought in increments from $10 to $1000.An at-home pottery kitSculpdPottery Kit, available at Sculpd, $65Best for: The crafterThis pottery kit offers a unique activity to do with your loved ones. Each kit comes with enough supplies for two people, with add-on supplies also available for purchase so that more can participate. It also includes a step-by-step instructional booklet.A set of cocktail mixers that taste like summerWilliams SonomaCasamigos Cocktail Gift Set, available at Williams Sonoma, $56.95Best for: The cocktail connoisseurCo-founded by actor George Clooney, Casamigos is a favorite brand of many tequila lovers. The company's newest addition is a cocktail gift set of uniquely flavored mixers and rimmers. The mixers are exclusively available at Williams Sonoma and include blackberry basil and citrus flavors.A gift card from Hello FreshHello FreshGift card, available at Hello Fresh, from $75Best for: The exhausted home cookThe best gifts are for items or services your recipient wouldn't think to purchase for themselves. A gift card from Hello Fresh checks all of these boxes, as it offers a welcome reprieve from grocery shopping and meal planning. Choose from four amounts based on your recipient's household size and needs. We also wrote a full guide to Hello Fresh that includes a breakdown of its special features, how to get started with an account, and more.A bag made for hosting mini picnicsAmazonPicnic at Ascot Insulated Wine and Cheese Cooler Bag, available at Amazon, $49Best for: The picnicker Our pick for the best picnic basket for carrying bottles, this insulated bag is a great gift for those who want to have a small picnic complete with their favorite drinks and small snacks.A set of sustainable coastersJoanna BuchananRuffle Edge Straw Coasters, available at Joanna Buchanan, $48Best for: The meticulous table setterAdd a pop of color to their indoor and outdoor eating spaces with these colorful straw coasters. The coasters come in a set of four, are handwoven in the Philippines, and are made of sustainable materials.A savory seasoning starter packMomofukuPantry Starter Pack, available at Momofuku, $60Best for: The spice rack re-stockerSpice up their pantry with this flavorful seasoning set. The starter pack includes spicy seasoned salts, restaurant-grade soy and tamari sauces, and chili crunch. Momofuku's site also includes several recipes to make using the ingredients from the set.A pair of cozy slippersZapposUGG Scuffette II Slippers, available at Zappos, $94.95Best for: The comfort appreciator Help them keep their feet warm while working from home with these fuzzy slippers. These high-quality slippers are made of suede and have a sheepskin collar, making them a very useful gift that your recipient may not think to purchase for themselves.A wine gift setAmazonIvation Wine Lovers Set with Opener and Preserver, available at Amazon, $49.98Best for: The wine appreciator Help elevate your recipient's wine experience by gifting this wine lover's set. The included wine preserver is a great gift for those that live alone or like to take their time with their wines. The sleek charging base and modern design make this a gift your recipient will be proud to display on their kitchen counter.A device that turns plain water into a sparkling beverageAmazonSodaStream Sparkling Water Maker, available at Amazon, $89.99Best for: The fizzy water fanA SodaStream is an amazing gift for anyone who's a fan of fizzy beverages. With this gadget, they can make sparkling water in seconds and add flavors if they want to spice things up.A sturdy walletAmazonBellroy Slim Sleeve Leather Wallet, available at Bellroy, $79Best for: The fan of practical giftsReplace their tired and tattered wallet with this slim leather billfold from Insider Reviews' favorite wallet brand Bellroy. It's made with ethically sourced leather that will age wonderfully and last many years.A sleek fitness tracker that includes heart rate monitoringFitbitFitbit Inspire 2, available at Best Buy, $69.95Best for: The avid athleteFitbit's affordable Inspire 2 tracker has no shortage of useful features to keep them informed about their physical activity. The heart rate monitor lets them be more strategic about their workouts by tracking calorie burn, resting heart rate, and heart rate zones.A hair towel that cuts drying time in halfAmazonAquis Original Microfiber Hair Turban, available at Amazon, $20.49Best for: The one who takes hair care seriouslyAquis' cult-favorite hair towels have inspired a slew of rave reviews online, including one from our own team of product reviewers. The towels are made from a proprietary fabric called Aquitex that's composed of ultra-fine fibers (finer than silk) that work to reduce the amount of friction the hair experiences while in its weakest state. A memorable date night optionEatwith/InstagramGift card, available at Eatwith, from $30Best for: The adventurous dinerEatwith offers cool dining experiences that bring together delicious menus, professional chefs, and interesting guests. Typically held in person, in major cities like New York, Paris, and London, Eatwith is now offering online classes you can take from anywhere that bring unique cooking experiences right into your kitchen. In addition to experiences led by professional chefs from around the world, Eatwith has recently added classes taught by MasterChef contestants.A pair of comfortable wool shoesAllbirdsWool Runners, available at Allbirds, $110Best for: The constant walkerWhile Allbirds has hinted that it's on track to become more than just a shoe brand, we'll always be partial to its original sneakers made from merino wool. We've been wearing and loving the comfortable style for more than two years, and you can't go wrong gifting a pair of these shoes. Coffee from a different country, delivered every monthAtlas Coffee Club/Instagram3-Month Gift Subscription, available at Atlas Coffee Club, $55Best for: The coffee loverIt's a worldwide coffee tour without the expense of airplane tickets. Atlas Coffee Club delivers single-origin coffee and always includes a postcard from the country, brewing tips, and flavor notes with each month's shipment. A small skincare tool that removes 99.5% of dirt, oil, and makeup residueAmazonForeo Luna Facial Cleansing Brush, available at Amazon, $66.52Best for: The skincare enthusiastOur team swears by these gentle yet effective cleaning brushes. They have hygienic silicone bristles and come in five different models for different skin types. The Luna is small enough to bring on the go, so your recipient can maintain their skincare routine no matter where they are.A digital photo frameAmazonNIX 8-Inch USB Digital Photo Frame, available at Amazon, $69.99Best for: The modern nostalgistPro-tip: Include a USB stick of your favorite photo memories together with this gift. The high-tech photo frame will shuffle through and display crisp photos and videos, and it can also be mounted on a wall. If you can stretch your budget, the more popular WiFi version is the same idea but more convenient to use because it works right from your phone's gallery. An easy-to-use trimmerPhilips NorelcoPhilips Norelco OneBlade Face + Body Trimmer, available at Amazon, $47.75Best for: The person who prefers a close shaveWhat separates the Philips Norelco OneBlade from other trimmers and shavers is the unique blade. It uses a fast-moving OneBlade cutter with a protection system on both sides of the blade to prevent knicks. The base of the blade will contour to his face, allowing for a comfortable shave or trim without irritation — and it works for wet or dry shaving.A convenient wireless charging padAmazonAnker PowerWave Wireless Charging Pad, available on Amazon, $13.99Best for: The one who's always low on phone batteryA wireless charger is a great gift for anyone with a glass-backed smartphone that supports the feature. Our reviewer called this one "the perfect wireless charging pad." It charges quickly, looks nice, and can even accommodate thick phone cases.Membership to a popular nationwide book clubBook of the Month6-Month Subscription, available at Book of the Month, $99.99Best for: The avid readerIf they prefer the incomparable feel of a hardcover book, set them up with a Book of the Month membership. It offers five curated titles, mainly from up-and-coming authors, to choose from every month. A solution to their back painBest BuyUpright Go 2 Posture Trainer, available at Best Buy, $79.99Best for: The person working on their postureThis gift is for anyone who is always complaining about their back pain or poor posture. Upright Go is an innovative and discreet device that sticks to the top of their back and helps them improve their posture, day by day. A fan-favorite cookbook with original illustrationsAmazon"Salt, Fat, Acid, Heat" by Samin Nosrat, available at Amazon, $16.65Best for: The experimental cookThis is the perfect cookbook for those just getting into cooking. Chef and New York Times columnist Samin Nosrat outlines the foundations of cooking and presents it in a fun, engaging way alongside original illustrations. Their favorite specialty meals, no matter where they areGoldbellyMeal kits, available at Goldbelly, from $25Best for: The foodieGoldbelly makes it possible to satisfy their most specific and nostalgic cravings no matter where they live in the US — a cheesecake from Junior's, deep dish pizza from Lou Malnati, and more. Browse the iconic gifts section for inspiration.A stylish accessory with a hidden chargerMark & GrahamPower Up Lightning to USB Tassel Keychain, available at Mark & Graham, from $49Best for: The sleek utilitarian The leather keychain is as functional as it is attractive: it has an iPhone lightning input and USB stick so they can charge their phone in their bag. Some colors include free monogramming while others have a $10 monogram fee. A cold brew coffee makerAmazonTakeya Cold Brew Maker, available at Amazon, $27.99Best for: The daily cold brew consumerHelp your favorite coffee-lover stay caffeinated with this easy-to-use cold brew coffee maker. All they need to do is fill the filter with coffee, add water to the carafe, give it all a shake, and pop it in the fridge. In 12 hours, they will have a delicious cold brew that will have them reconsidering their daily trips to their favorite coffee shop.A reusable bag featuring a fun printBagguStandard Baggu, available at Baggu, $14Best for: The sustainable shopperThere are plenty of reusable nylon shopping bag options out there, but where Baggu really stands out from the crowd is its variety of quirky and colorful prints. These useful bags are the perfect gift for everyone in your life.A fun and educational online cooking classCozymeal/InstagramGift card, available at Cozymeal, from $50Best for: The aspirational chefGifting experiences is on the rise. With a Cozymeal class, they'll learn how to make anything from fresh pasta to beautiful charcuterie boards. In addition to cooking classes, Cozymeal offers online mixology classes and virtual wine tastings.A set of trackers for the absent-mindedAmazonTile Pro (2-Pack), available at Amazon, $47.99Best for: The person always losing their keysWhen they can't find their phone, all they have to do is click their Tile button to make their phone ring, even if it's on silent. An electric toothbrush they won't want to hide awayGobyMoonstone Electric Toothbrush, available at Goby, $95Best for: The dental-care obsessedIn addition to its sleek design, the Goby Toothbrush stands out for its soft brush head, normal and sensitive brushing speeds, and convenient USB charging shell. Ready-to-prepare meals that save them timeDaily HarvestThe 9-Item Gift Card, available at Daily Harvest, $75Best for: The healthy eaterYour recipient will be able to fill a box with smoothies (including protein smoothies for gym rats), harvest bowls, soup, and more meals that are ready to take on the go. Daily Harvest's healthy offerings are perfect for the busy, wellness-minded people in your life. A case that sanitizes dirty phonesPhone SoapPhoneSoap 3 Smartphone Sanitizer, available at PhoneSoap, $79.95Best for: The neat freakMost of us carry our phones with us everywhere — and we mean, everywhere. PhoneSoap kills 99.9% of common household germs, including bacteria that lead to E.Coli, Salmonella, Staph, the flu, and the common cold. Especially with the pandemic, your recipient will love knowing that their phone is squeaky clean. A pretty leather wrap for taking chargers and cables on the goMark & GrahamLeather Charger Roll Up, available on Mark & Graham, from $24.99Best for: The efficient packerMark & Graham's Leather Charger Roll Up is made from soft, supple leather and has three separate pockets to stash cables and chargers on the go. Get it monogrammed for free.A delicious and unique hot sauceTruff/InstagramTruff White Truffle Hot Sauce, available at Amazon, $26.99Best for: The hot sauce collectorThis hot sauce is infused with white truffle, packing a sweet heat you'll want to add to burritos, pizza, wings, or any other dish you want to make a little more interesting. Extremely comfortable, flattering lounge pantsMeUndiesLounge Pants, available at MeUndies, $68Best for: The serious loungerThese are some of the best lounge pants we've ever tried. If they're spending more time in casual wear, they'll spend an inordinate amount of time in these. We also appreciate that the silky MicroModal and sleek cut make them perfectly acceptable for wearing in public to grab the mail.A bike horn that can honk as loud as a carPriority BicyclesPriority High Power Horn, available at Priority Bicycles, $29.99Best for: The bike commuterBorn out of a research project between Priority Bicycles and Toyota, this bike horn can get as loud as the one in a car. This is an excellent safety accessory for bikers.A silky hand creamLa Mer/InstagramLa Mer Hand Treatment, available at Nordstrom, $90Best for: The fan of smooth handsOf all La Mer's premium skincare products, the Hand Treatment is a brand favorite. This creamy formula is the perfect texture to help heal dry hands.The internet's favorite olive oilBrightland/InstagramAwake Olive Oil, available at Brightland, $37Best for: The quality EVOO enthusiastBrightland's olive oils make great gifts for cooks and anyone who loves to entertain. The white bottles protect the EVOO from light damage and look nice displayed on a countertop. Premium distilled whiskeyUncle Nearest WhiskeyUncle Nearest Whiskey, available at ReserveBar, from $56Best for: The old-fashioned fanFounded in Tennessee, Uncle Nearest is an award-winning, Black-owned whiskey brand that was inspired by the first known African-American master distiller, Nathan "Nearest" Green. If you're shopping for someone who enjoys a quality glass of whiskey or a whiskey-based cocktail every now and then, a bottle of Uncle Nearest won't disappoint.A sleek knife blockMaterial KitchenThe Stand, available at Material Kitchen, $90Best for: The practical chefWe're big fans of Material Kitchen's minimalist approach to kitchen essentials — like this magnetic, angled knife block made from heavy-duty wood. A simple but luxurious body washNecessaireNecessaire The Body Wash, available at Sephora, $25Best for: The person who appreciates a good showerNew startup Necessaire formulates its body care products with vitamins A, B3, C, E, and omega-6 and omega-9. The subtly scented Body Wash will leave their skin feeling clean, soft, and nourished. A high-quality leather band for an Apple WatchAmazonBullstrap Full-Grain Italian Leather Watch Band, available at Amazon, $95Best for: The stylish watch wearerBullstrap's Italian Leather Watch Bands are the perfect way to add some elegance to an Apple Watch. They come in several colors of leather and are compatible with all generations of the Apple Watch.A pair of sparkly hoopsMejuriSapphire Hoops, available at Mejuri, $58Best for: The lover of subtle jewelryTraditional hoops get an embellishment of white sapphire in this affordable piece from Mejuri. Premium underwear that's worth every pennyTommy JohnMen's Second Skin Boxer Brief 3-Pack, available at Tommy John, $97Best for: The person who'd appreciate good underwearIt's not an exaggeration to say Tommy John could be the most comfortable boxers your recipient has ever worn. The Second Skin, in particular, is a standout — smooth, soft, stretchy, and breathable. A cool drink accessory worth celebratingBrumate12oz Insulated Champagne Flute, available at BrüMate, from $24.99Best for: The beachside celebratorBrumate's insulated flute prevents the disappointment of bubbly that has gone warm and flat. It holds almost half a bottle of champagne and comes in 30 pretty colors.  A whimsical candle from a new brandOtherland/Instagram3-Candle Set, available at Otherland, $89Best for: The fancy candle fanAs our candle-loving editor points out, "Does the world really need another fancy candle brand?" Otherland's candles are so creative and interesting that you won't be able to resist gifting at least a few. A gold bracelet that displays their zodiac signAurateZodiac Bracelet, available at Aurate, $90Best for: The chic astrology enthusiastThe delicate gold vermeil bracelet is a piece they'll want to wear every day. Aurate's beautiful gold jewelry is not only more affordable than traditional fine jewelry, but it's also ethically sourced, representing a new wave of jewelry brands to know about. A mini duffel crossbody with a distinctive lookDagne DoverExtra Small Landon Carryall, available at Dagne Dover, $110Best for: The one who's always on the goDagne Dover excels at making functional and versatile bags like work totes and this extra small version of its popular neoprene duffel. Inside, they'll find a compartment just large enough for the day's essentials, pockets to keep them organized, and a detachable key leash. A streaming stick that gives them access to more than 500,000 movies and TV episodesAmazonRoku Streaming Stick +, available at Amazon, $48.25Best for: The TV fanaticRoku's Streaming Stick+ is exceptional for its 4K, HDR, and HD streaming, and long-range wireless receiver. Installing it is an easy process and starts by plugging the stick into the TV. Sweet treats they won't be able to stop eatingMilk BarThe Chocolatey Classic, available at Milk Bar, $89Best for: The chocolate loverInstead of the usual box of chocolates, gift some of the best-known and most delicious treats from Milk Bar. The set contains 12 soft and chewy cake truffles and an adorable mini birthday cake. A box that lets them explore the exciting world of sakeTippsySake Gift Box, available at Tippsy, $59Best for: The sake drinkerWhile online wine clubs abound, Tippsy is quietly cultivating a community of sake lovers. It offers an abundance of knowledge and premium sake options to anyone who's interested in exploring this underrated alcohol further.  A compact and lightweight hand mixerAmazonKitchenaid 5-Speed Ultra Power Hand Mixer, available at Target, $54.99Best for: The bakerNot all baking tasks require a full stand mixer. KitchenAid's hand mixer doesn't take up a lot of space but gets a variety of jobs done by offering five-speed options. You'll also have fun picking out a unique color for your recipient. A game that tests their penchant for punsAmazonPun Intended Game, available at Amazon, $24.99Best for: The game night hostIt's a battle of who can devise the most clever puns in this family-friendly card game that requires a quick mind and even quicker writing skills. Game on. A custom map of a special locationGrafomapCustom Map Poster, available at Grafomap, from $19Best for: The one who always mentions their favorite city Grafomap is the site where you can commemorate important places, be it their hometown, college town, or the city where you two met. The custom design function is easy to use and you can choose to get the final map poster framed or printed on canvas. A waterproof outdoor speakerAmazonUltimate Ears Wonderboom Speaker, available at Amazon, from $93.97Best for: The outdoor entertainerThe surprisingly powerful speaker fits in the palm of their hand and can go swimming with them in the pool or ocean. It's also dustproof and therefore suitable for hikes and other outdoor adventures. A sleep mask made with high-quality mulberry silkNordstromSlip Pure Silk Sleep Mask, available at Nordstrom, $50Best for: The person who takes sleep seriouslyFew things are more luxurious than sleeping with a silk mask. Thanks to its all silk construction, your recipient's face will feel cool all night long. A plush bathrobeParachuteClassic Bathrobe, available at Parachute, $109Best for: The fan of pure comfortIt's all too tempting to stay wrapped up in this Turkish cotton bathrobe long after they've stepped out of the shower. 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L.L.Bean supposedly sells a pair of these cushioned sheepskin shoes every seven seconds during December, proving that they are worth the purchase.An everyday stainless steel frying pan that professional cooks loveMade InFrying Pan, available at Made In, $79Best for: The one who is constantly cookingPros like Tom Colicchio trust Made In's cookware to perform in some of the country's top kitchens, so rest assured it's good enough for your recipient. The quickly growing startup is behind a couple of our favorite pieces of cookware. A gorgeous coffee table book that helps cure their travel bugAmazon"1,000 Places to See Before You Die (Deluxe Edition): The World as You've Never Seen It Before" by Patricia Schultz, available at Barnes & Noble, $50.99Best for: The aspirational travelerPatricia Schultz's original "1,000 Places" captured imaginations with its compelling curation of experiences all over the world. The newly released deluxe edition features a beautiful gold-embellished cover and more than 1,000 new photographs. A fun, cult-favorite board gameAmazonSettlers of Catan Board Game, available at Walmart, $47.49Best for: The committed gamerThe Settlers of Catan relies upon strategy and sometimes luck to build civilizations — and it can last for hours. A beautiful piece of handmade drinkwareJFR GlassAntique Silver Glass, available at JFR Glass, $45Best for: The fan of truly unique giftsEach hand-blown glass from JFR Glass is unique. The glasses aren't just pretty — they're also functional and sturdy. They're also dishwasher-safe and UV-resistant, so your recipient can enjoy the pieces forever. An interactive state park mapUncommonGoodsState Parks Explorer Map, available at UncommonGoods, $28Best for: The hikerThis state park map is sure to come in handy whenever they venture into the outdoors. Choose from 10 maps that each list over 30 parks in states such as New York, California, and Connecticut. The map includes a sheet of gold stickers so they can mark their progress after each park visit.Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderAug 23rd, 2022

Disaster on Denali: What happens when adventure-seekers are in over their heads?

What really happened on Denali, North America's tallest peak, on the day a 31-year-old mountaineer from Canada fell 1,000 feet? Hokyoung Kim for InsiderNone of them noticed the fall. One moment, Adam Rawski was with them on the mountain. The next, he was gone.It was May 24, 2021, around Day 15 of their trek up Denali, North America's tallest peak. There was Grant Wilson and Sarah Maynard, Alaska natives and close friends since high school who were now in their early 20s; Rawski, a 31-year-old clean technology executive from Canada, who had befriended them on the mountain a week earlier; and Dr. Jason Lance, a 48-year-old radiologist from Utah who had paired up with Rawski at the last minute after both of their climbing partners turned back.The four had hoped to summit that day. But Rawski was exhausted and showing signs of altitude sickness. He couldn't go any further. Just over a thousand feet from the summit, they had no choice but to stop and turn back.Now on the descent, at around 18,200 feet, they had just crossed Denali Pass, a relatively flat, open snowfield with sweeping views of the Alaska Range and surrounding wilderness. In front of them lay the Autobahn, a notoriously dangerous icy slope that descends 1,000 feet. At least 13 deadly falls have been recorded here since 1980.The Autobahn's terrain can vary from rock solid ice to several feet of snow. If climbers lose their footing and fall, there's nothing to slow their momentum and prevent a fast and almost certainly fatal tumble down the slope. It's said some German climbers died at this spot years ago, which is how it became known as the Autobahn — as in, Germany's highway with no speed limit.Perhaps the most dangerous thing about the Autobahn is that it doesn't look very dangerous. It's steep enough to cause climbers to fall with great speed, but not so steep that all climbers exercise proper caution. The park service strongly encourages roping up with protection at this spot, but every year, teams ignore that advice. If the slope was just a bit steeper, it's likely fewer climbers would take the risk.Most falls on the Autobahn happen on the descent, when climbers are exhausted, having just pushed for the summit after two weeks on the unforgiving mountain, perhaps slightly impaired by the effects of altitude, and quite possibly a little cocky from having made it this far. Despite his condition, Rawski was not roped up. Standing at the top of the Autobahn, the others had scattered a bit. Wilson had stepped out of sight for a bathroom break. Maynard was slightly downhill from Lance. And then, Rawski was gone.As Maynard would tell me later, her mind raced through the possibilities: "Is he so hypoxic that he is taking his clothes off and wandering around? Is he so delusional that he's going for another summit attempt? Does his stomach hurt so bad that he's puking somewhere or just huddled up?"Then she heard Lance: "Oh, fuck." She followed his eyes down to the bottom of the Autobahn, 1000 feet below. There, Rawski's body in his bright blue puffer was lying, motionless.It was quiet, with no wind. But Maynard hadn't heard a thing. "That's what was so spooky and haunting," she said. "I didn't hear his ice axe hit the ground. I didn't hear his body tumble. I didn't hear a yelp from him."Maynard and Wilson huddled under a rock, all but certain their friend was dead. They held each other, and cried.Amazingly, Rawski didn't die that day. He's one of the only climbers known to have survived a fall down the Autobahn. But that's not where the story ends. What none of them knew then was that five months later, one of them would be criminally charged and brought before a judge — and they'd all have to relive the worst day of their lives.The Great OutdoorsWhen throngs of novice adventurers take on challenges without the proper training or expertise, disaster often follows — which is part of the story of what happened on Denali last May.Visits to America's national parks have exploded in recent years as more and more people seek out wild, majestic places to visit and color their Instagram feeds. More than 600,000 people came to Denali National Park in 2019, a 65% increase from 2000. Things were quiet in 2020 due to COVID-19, but by 2021 the mountain was nearly as busy as before the pandemic, with 1,007 climbers attempting to summit.Shortly after Rawski's fall, Denali's park rangers, all of them expert mountaineers, took the extraordinary step of publishing a finger-wagging report. "We have seen a disturbing amount of overconfidence paired with inexperience in the Alaska Range," they said, warning climbers that mountaineering in the Lower 48 doesn't necessarily prepare you for the high-altitude and extreme conditions of the Alaskan wilderness.A clear morning view of Denali from inside the national park.C. Fredrickson Photography/Getty ImagesDenali soars 20,310 feet above sea level and, for some mountaineers, is considered a stepping stone to Mount Everest (though without the help of Sherpas). Its official title was changed from Mt. McKinley in 2015, when Denali, the name given to the mountain by Alaskan Natives — meaning "the tall one" or "the great one" — was restored.The peak is located among 6 million acres of protected wilderness. To reach the mountain, climbers hop on a small plane in Talkeetna, a tiny town south of the park, and fly over 75 miles of terrain that changes from lush greenery to jagged granite and snow-covered slopes.They're dropped off at Denali's base camp, located on the Kahiltna Glacier, at 7,200 feet elevation — already 1,000 feet higher than Mount Washington, the tallest peak of New Hampshire's White Mountains. From there, the expedition to the summit and back usually takes 17 to 21 days.Typically only about half of the climbers attempting Denali every year will reach the summit. Determining whether or not a climber is prepared to take on Denali is difficult even for rangers and guides.Temperatures can dip below -40 degrees Fahrenheit. Climbers face snow storms, freezing rain, 100 mph winds, and blazing sunlight. The gear weighs over 100 pounds and includes clothes, tents, stoves, skis, or snowshoes, crampons, protective equipment, and a sled to haul it all. Climbers take on steep vertical grades and glacier travel, during which they can encounter crevasses that go hundreds of feet deep into the ice — and that's all on top of the sheer physical challenge of climbing a mountain at an altitude few humans ever experience.Base Camp on the Kahiltna Glacier in Denali National Park. Mountaineers climbing Denali, the highest mountain in North America, are dropped off here by ski planes, visible in photo.Getty ImagesThere are specific skill sets climbers should have, like snow and ice climbing, glacier travel, cold-weather camping, and exceptional cardiovascular fitness. But even then, it is hard to gauge if a person is ready.The most basic measure for whether or not a climber is prepared — physically, technically, psychologically — for a Denali expedition is straightforward: Would you attempt what you are doing if you were alone on this mountain?If the answer is no, you shouldn't be there.A shared passionMaynard and Wilson teamed up to tackle Denali in late 2020.The two were high school classmates in Fairbanks, the largest and coldest city in Alaska's Interior region and the closest city to Denali. It's known for being one of the best places to see the northern lights, and for long summer days when the sun never sets.They both ran cross country, traveling with the team to faraway meets on weekends, and were part of a large friend group of cross country skiers. But they bonded most over their shared passion for mountaineering.They stayed close even after Maynard moved to Montana to get a degree in exercise science and work as a ski instructor, keeping up with each other's adventures through texts and social media, and planned excursions whenever their schedules aligned. Whenever Maynard returned home to Alaska, she'd check in with Wilson. "I'm always trying to get invited on his adventures because he stays busy," she said. Wilson has lived in Alaska his whole life. When not climbing, skiing, surfing, or recreating outdoors in some capacity, he worked as a commercial fisherman in Bristol Bay."I grew up winter camping with my family and doing wintertime hunting and all these things that I feel like was preparation leading up to this Denali climb," Wilson told me. They had both skied pristine backcountry landscapes and conquered peaks in Alaska and elsewhere. They had lots of training with rope systems, including on past climbs and through courses. Neither had much experience above 14,000 feet.But having grown up in Alaska, Denali always loomed large. It's a famously challenging expedition for any mountaineer, but, more than that, it's their home mountain."My grandpa used to take me out of school on bluebird days" — clear, sunny days that follow a night of snowfall, Maynard told me. "He's a pilot and he would fly me around Denali.""One time he got close enough that you could see the climbers. And I remember that moment just being like, 'Wow.'"Base CampIn early May of 2021, Maynard and Wilson finally stepped out onto Kahiltna Glacier.The plan was to tackle the West Buttress, Denali's most popular, and least technical, route. It's a 15-mile journey to the summit, gaining more than 13,000 feet in elevation along the way. As with the other camps higher up the mountain, base camp has room for dozens of tents but no physical infrastructure.From camp to camp, climbers make their way up the mountain in strategic bursts. Moving too quickly can be dangerous. Climbers will take full days to wait out bad weather, rest, and acclimatize to the higher altitudes as the air gets thinner and thinner.There's also some essential backtracking. To lighten the load they're carrying, climbers will bury some of their gear in the snow, marking it with a flag, and then double back for it once they've set up camp higher up the mountain.  When the mountain is busy, especially in late spring when there's near round-the-clock sunlight, the camps come alive, forming makeshift towns. Killing time at the camps is part of the experience, and can involve kicking around a hacky sack, doing yoga, or getting to know other climbers.One morning, still early on the route, Maynard and Wilson were flying kites when they first met Adam Rawski. Rawski, tall with dark hair, was about a decade older and lived on Canada's west coast. He worked as the VP of finance at a clean technology company in Vancouver, and spent as much time as he could in the wilderness. "Backcountry skiing, downhill mountain biking, rock climbing, ice climbing," he would tell me later. "You name it, I would do it." After climbing most major peaks in the Pacific Northwest — including Mount Rainier, which at 14,417 feet, is considered a precursor to Denali — he decided to take on "the great one." He had come to Alaska with a fellow climber from back home. Rawski was a friendly presence at the camps, going out of his way to meet other climbers. "I would just walk around and say hi to people," he said.  He and his partner started out around the same time as Maynard and Wilson, so the teams were moving up the mountain at a similar pace. During rest periods, Rawski would join them for a game of cards. One day, when Maynard and Wilson needed butter, Rawski gave them some of his. "We made friends with him pretty quickly," Maynard told me.When they reached 14 Camp — one of two potential launching pads to take the summit — there was a problem: Rawski's partner had decided to pull out.A new partner for the upper mountainAt 14,200 feet — just shy of the height of Mount Whitney, the highest peak in the Lower 48 — 14 Camp marks the start of what rangers call the upper mountain. From here, the weather gets even more unpredictable and climbers are more likely to face relentless whiteout conditions — as well as unbearable wind, altitude sickness, frostbite, or hypothermia.Many climbers reach 14 Camp and decide not to go any further. Others, eager to minimize the time spent lugging heavy equipment in this increasingly desolate and punishing environment, store their gear here and — skipping the final resting spot, High Camp, at 17,200 feet — make their final push to the summit. This goes against park rangers' recommendation. Climbers who do not have prior experience above 14,000 feet in arctic conditions have "no real conception of how their body will respond to such stresses," they explained in the report published days after Rawski's fall. "There are very few mountaineers capable of moving fast enough to accomplish this safely." Setting up camp at High Camp gives climbers more time to acclimate to the higher elevation and makes for a shorter trek to and from Denali's summit. Despite this, the report said, more climbers were choosing the more dangerous route of trying to summit from 14 Camp.Sarah Maynard making her way along the 16,000 ft ridge of Denali during an early morning attempt to reach the summit.Grant WilsonThe issue had been compounded, the rangers said, by the reshuffling that's all too common at 14 Camp. Climbers who want to continue even after their teammates bow out end up forming new teams. (The risk of a crevasse fall, sickness, or serious accident are too high to make solo climbing a safe option.)But team dynamics is one of the biggest factors impacting safety and success on a Denali expedition. Strangers won't know the skill level or risk tolerance of their teammates, or be able to spot when the other person is sick or exhausted. "In many cases, these determined climbers end up forming loose coalitions with other individuals who they have just met for the first time and who are equally summit-driven," the report said."Collectively, this is a recipe for disaster."This was the position that Rawski found himself in that day. He heard that Jason Lance, a military vet who had served in Afghanistan and a father of four from Mountain Green, Utah, was also looking for a partner. The two teamed up and decided to push for the summit the next day. (Lance declined multiple interview requests from Insider and did not respond to a detailed list of questions.)"It was a very last-minute, hasty decision," Rawski later said."In hindsight, probably not the best idea."Summit day: 'Push through it and get by'A few hours after midnight on May 24, Rawski and Lance left 14 Camp and set off for the summit. Aided by the almost constant daylight, they figured the early start would give them enough time to summit and capitalize on the clear weather.A couple hours later, Maynard and Wilson also set off from 14 Camp. At around 9 a.m., they stopped to rest at High Camp and ran into Rawski and Lance.Immediately it was clear to them that Rawski was not himself. He was quiet, dehydrated, and had diarrhea. Another team that was staying at High Camp was boiling snow into potable water for Rawski to drink.Rawski told me he remembers being dehydrated and exhausted, but at the time didn't think his condition was especially worrisome. "I've been tired in that sort of situation before in the past. So I was sort of like, 'Push through it and get by.'"Maynard and Wilson — who were meeting Lance for the first time — both said they wondered if Rawski was better off turning back, but decided it wasn't their place to push it."When somebody's that sick, you don't continue with the original plan." Wilson told me later. "Jason Lance, as his partner that day, should have made some serious adjustments to their plan knowing how dehydrated Adam was."After some time resting at High Camp, Lance and Rawski resumed the climb, as did Maynard and Wilson.Adam Rawski finishing a dangerously exposed portion of the climb known as the Autobahn.Grant WilsonAt 18,200 feet, Maynard and Wilson stopped at Denali Pass and took a minute to enjoy the breathtaking views. "We were kind of geeking out, looking around and going, 'Oh my gosh, there's the Hayes Range' and 'Oh, there's Hunter,'" Maynard said. "It was really cool, being from Alaska, to just kind of be on top and see all the ranges that we recreate in."A short while later, Maynard and Wilson caught up to Rawski and Lance. Lance motioned to them to huddle up. Turning to Maynard, he suggested that she and Rawski turn back together, and that Lance and Wilson continue up the mountain as a pair. As Maynard remembers it, Lance said, "Sarah, I see you've slowed down. Why don't you take Adam down? Why don't you guide him down and Grant and I can go for the summit."She and Wilson were incredulous. This was their mountain. Who was Lance, not even an Alaskan, to boss them around, Wilson told me later. "It was like, dude, look, we're young, but we're not idiots here."But even as they shut the idea down, they were getting increasingly concerned about Rawski. He was clearly out of it but still saying he wanted to keep going. "Was I experiencing symptoms of altitude sickness? Maybe, I just couldn't realize it myself," Rawski told me later.So, they kept going, letting Rawski set the pace. Wilson later described it as a "zombie march."Then, according to Maynard and Wilson, Lance started moving faster, slowly pushing ahead of the group. "We stayed on either side of Adam, and Jason just got farther and farther and farther ahead, until he disappeared over a little pass," Wilson said. "It wasn't verbalized. There was no discussion involved. It was quite obvious what was going on." Lance was ditching them with his partner and going for a solo summit attempt.Lance later disputed this account, saying he went up ahead in hopes of waving down another team, climbers Maynard knew from Montana. But Maynard said he didn't say that at the time and, in any event, she was in radio contact with her friends.I asked Rawski about whether or not he felt Lance had abandoned him. "I don't really feel like he abandoned me too much," Rawski said. Lance, he said, "just felt like more of that sort of lone wolf who wanted to make it to the summit, no matter how, whether it be solo or with the group." At 19,200 feet, .2 miles from the summit, Maynard and Wilson decided they had to turn back. Lance was out of sight, Rawski was in bad shape, and they too were starting to slow down.But first, the three of them paused to look around and take it all in, their high point on Denali. "For the first time in the day, Adam kind of seemed like himself for a little bit. He asked us to take some videos of him," Wilson said.Rawski wanted to take a video for his girlfriend. Maynard remembered him playfully shouting out his love from the highest point on the continent."I was able to look back and see my hometown, where I've seen Denali on the horizon for most of my life," Wilson said. "That was a really amazing feeling."The fallMaynard guided Rawski as the three climbers began their descent. Around every 100 feet, Rawski would have to sit down, and his stomach hurt so badly that he wasn't able to eat or drink anything, Maynard and Wilson said.By the time they reached Denali Pass, Lance — having apparently abandoned his own summit attempt — caught back up with them. Maynard and Wilson figured they would return to their original configuration: Maynard and Wilson, Rawski and Lance.Ahead of them lay the Autobahn.To catch themselves in the case of a fall, climbers jam long, T-shaped pieces of metal called pickets several feet into the ice or snow. They secure a carabiner to the picket, run a rope through it, and attach the rope to their harness. If they trip, the rope goes taught and breaks the fall.Once again, they were going against the advice of Denali's park rangers. Maynard and Wilson planned to ski down the Autobahn, during which they would not use ropes. But Lance and Rawski planned to down climb it, traversing at a downward angle. They were not roped into protection."We had the rope. We had the pickets. We had our carabiners. We had everything," Rawski said. "But from what I recall, Jason was in a bit more of a rush to get down there. So I think we decided to opt out of roping up." In hindsight, he said, this was clearly a mistake. At the time he weighed the benefits and risks and decided not to waste time arguing.Climbers taking on the exposed headwall above 14 Camp. Rangers and volunteers fix lines for climbers to offer protection. In the event that a climber stumbles, the lines will arrest the fall.Grant WilsonIronically, it's the less experienced climbers on Denali who are more likely to descend the Autobahn without the protection of ropes.Tucker Chenoweth, Denali's South District ranger who oversees rescues on Denali, told me he would never do that section of the climb without protection. In his experience, climbers who have mastered rope skills won't think twice about using them "because it's not a hindrance to them.""But if you're not good at it, then it's a pain," he said. Indeed, no one who has died on the Autobahn was roped up with protection.There was also the matter of altitude. "Altitude can give you a somewhat intoxicated feeling, where things don't seem as important as they are," Chenoweth told me. "Even if you're climatized, you're feeling the effects of altitude sickness that challenges not only your physical ability, but your decision-making ability." At this point, Maynard was positioned slightly lower on the pass than Lance. She clipped herself into a picket before grabbing her skis. Wilson was briefly out of sight after just stepping away from the group to go to the bathroom.Lance was standing a bit higher and around a slight ledge.Maynard was pulling on her skis when all of a sudden Lance shouted down to her: "Where's Adam?""I thought he was climbing up to you," Maynard said. At first they thought maybe he had also gone to the bathroom, but when Wilson returned a few minutes later he was alone."That's the hard part about splitting partners," Wilson would tell me. "It's like, 'Whose problem is this incapacitated climber? We're handing him back off now, who's taking care of him?'"They started calling out for Rawski: "Adam! Adam! Where'd you go?"Lance was the one who spotted him, lying at the bottom of the Autobahn some 1,000 feet below. It didn't seem possible that he could have survived. Wilson thought he was going to puke.Lance was carrying Rawski's Garmin inReach, a satellite communications device, and used it to request a rescue crew.From the top of the Autobahn, there was nothing more they could do for Rawski. And they still had to get themselves down safely.A risky rescueGuides at High Camp who saw the fall alerted the park service within seconds of Rawski landing at the bottom of the Autobahn. Helicopter pilot Andy Hermansky was sitting at Base Camp, twiddling his thumbs, when he got the call. He wouldn't normally be there. The helicopter would normally be parked in Talkeetna. But he had flown a team of scientists up to take some glacial samples and was just waiting for them.Hermansky made a quick stop at 14 Camp to pick up Chris Erickson, a Denali ranger and law enforcement officer who was on the mountain. In the more than ten years they worked together on Denali, the two teamed up on many rescues. They'd become close friends, hanging out even in the off-season and attending each other's birthday parties.The average response time for a rescue helicopter can be several hours. But between the good luck of Rawski falling in full view of High Camp, the helicopter being close by, and the skilled maneuvering of the rescue team, this rescue happened with extraordinary speed — which is very likely why Rawski is alive to talk about it. A ranger waiting to be picked up by a helicopter in Denali National Park. Rangers patrol the mountain between Base Camp and the summit. Helicopter rescues are called only if there's a direct threat to life, limb, or eyesight.Menno Boermans/Getty ImagesThe environment on the upper mountain is inherently dangerous for helicopters, and there wasn't a flat surface close to Rawski to allow for a regular landing. Instead, Hermansky decided to try a high-risk maneuver that's common in snowy mountain terrains.Hovering near Rawski, Hermansky carefully lowered the helicopter so only the front part of the skids were touching the ground, while the back parts remained in the air. The helicopter blades chopped through the air just a few feet from the ground. Hermansky gave Erickson a quick nod, signaling conditions were safe enough to go through with the rescue.With the helicopter in that position, Erickson slowly crawled out onto the skids, careful not to make a sudden weight transfer that would cause Hermansky to lose control, and then onto the ground.Within 30 minutes of Rawski's fall, Erickson was at his side — "frankly shocked," Erickson would tell me later, to find Rawski alive."I fully expected him to be dead," Erickson said. He motioned to a mountain guide — also a friend of his — who had seen the fall from High Camp and trekked over. Together, the two of them did an overhead body press and were able to load Rawski into the helicopter. Erickson carefully climbed back in, and they were off."I've dealt with colder rescues. I've dealt with windier rescues, I've dealt with rescues at a higher elevation," Erickson would say later.But the thing that made this rescue exceptional? Time.'Can't descend safely. Patients in shock.'Up at the top of the Autobahn, time was working against Rawski's climbing companions. Around 16 hours had now passed since Maynard and Wilson set off from 14 Camp, which was a long time to spend at such high altitude. They were exhausted. As Wilson, Maynard, and Lance watched the rescue from atop Denali Pass, they were also in a state of disbelief. Wilson remembers thinking that the helicopter, hovering so far below, almost looked like a toy. "We were just trying to comprehend that they were loading our friend's body onto a helicopter," he said.When Lance proposed calling in another rescue — this one for the three of them — Maynard and Wilson said they considered it. "Of course we were like, 'Yeah, I want a rescue. We just watched someone die. Maybe the slope is too unsafe to down climb,'" Maynard said.But they quickly snapped out of it. "No one's coming for us," she remembers Wilson saying, with so much emotion. "We have to get ourselves down."Lance was set on a rescue. "I paid the climbing fee. I paid for this rescue," he kept saying, according to Maynard and Wilson. (A permit to climb Denali costs $395. The fee goes towards training and maintaining ranger and volunteer patrols on the mountain, providing critical mountaineering information to climbers, and keeping the area clean.) Lance sent a message to a third-party emergency response service, saying that, while none of them were injured, they didn't have the necessary equipment to descend. Rawski had fallen with the pickets. (The park service unofficially maintains pickets on the Autobahn, but climbers are told not to rely on them and be prepared to place their own.)A reply came back, saying he should contact the park service directly. He did that next. "The helicopter cannot come to your location and is not flying any more tonight," the park service replied. "Do you have a rope with you? Your only option tonight is descent." Lance persisted. "Cant decend safely," he wrote. "Patients in shock. Early hypothermia. Cant you land east of pass?"This wasn't true. Neither Maynard and Wilson were in medical shock or hypothermic, and they said they never suggested to Lance that they were. They were getting colder, especially after standing around for so long, and wanted to start descending, but Lance refused. Maynard and Wilson have estimated that they spent a total of three hours in that spot, trying to convince Lance to down climb with them. When they finally said they were leaving, with or without Lance, he agreed to go.From High Camp, guides could see the trio descending and radioed Erickson.Lance's message had in fact gotten the rangers' attention. The park service is explicit that climbers must be self-sufficient and stresses that a rescue should only be requested in the case of a direct threat to life, limb, or eyesight. Even then, a rescue is not guaranteed, as rescuer safety is a top priority. It's not uncommon for the park service to turn down a rescue request.But Lance's message made their situation sound like a true emergency, since medical shock can be fatal. Lance, a radiologist, would likely know that.It was too dangerous to attempt a helicopter rescue at the top of the Autobahn, so Erickson had dispatched a helicopter to drop off supplies for them to set up camp where they were.Unbeknownst to Lance, Maynard, and Wilson, a helicopter was on its way when they finally budged from their location. But since rangers' protocol is that climbers are never told to expect a helicopter — doing so could make a dangerous situation worse, and climbers have died waiting around for a promised rescue — they assumed all they could do was start down climbing.Maynard and Wilson described the two hours the group spent descending the Autobahn essentially as a rescue of Lance. They both said he didn't appear to have a handle on rope skills, and that he kept leaving far too much slack in the lines in between them. Maynard, concerned for their safety, kept shouting at Lance to keep the rope tight.When they finally arrived at High Camp sometime after 10 p.m., Denali guides greeted them with food and camping gear. But the next chapter of their ordeal was just beginning.Maynard and Wilson said they listened, flabbergasted, as Lance told the guides how the two Alaskans had been in serious need of a rescue. But, between their exhaustion and the fact that they still had to share a tent with him that night, they didn't bother correcting him.Jason Lance in the tent with mountain guides who had provided him, Sarah Maynard, and Grant Wilson with food and shelter at High Camp after their ordeal.Grant WilsonThe next day, Erickson met them at 14 Camp and questioned them about what had happened. Maynard and Wilson said they were not in shock or hypothermic on Denali Pass. When Erickson asked Lance about this, Lance — according to Erickson — insisted that as a doctor he would recognize signs of hypothermia before the climbers and that he "did not need to be lectured on hypothermia."When Erickson asked Lance to hand over Rawski's personal items, including his inReach device, Lance retreated into his tent. It would later be alleged that Lance had used this time to delete the original message where he said the group required equipment, but not medical attention. After several requests from Erickson, Lance eventually handed over the device.The three were told they were free to return to the base of the mountain. Maynard and Wilson avoided Lance the rest of the descent.Lance's storyOn November 9 — six months after the climb — Lance was charged with three misdemeanor counts: violating a lawful order of a government employee, interfering with a rescue operation, and making a false report.The prosecutor said Lance's actions displayed a "selfishness and indifference to the scarcity of public safety and rescue resources that is unacceptable anywhere, let alone on the tallest peak in North America."In April, in exchange for pleading guilty to the first count, the other two charges were dropped. Lance was banned from Denali for five years and ordered to pay $10,000 — half to the government, half as a charitable donation to the nonprofit Denali Rescue Volunteers.Appearing in court on the day of Lance's sentencing, Wilson and Erickson both gave extensive testimony about everything that happened that day on Denali — how Lance had pushed ahead, how he'd behaved toward Rawski, despite his fragile state. Even though the charges related to Lance's actions after Rawski's fall, it was clear that Lance's behavior throughout the last leg of their climb was of interest to the court.Finally, it was Lance's turn to address the court. And, naturally, he painted a very different picture of himself than the one the others had presented. He opened by saying the day's events had been "life-changing" – "You know, life-changing for me and, you know, tragic in Adam's case."Lance insisted he always had the group's safety at top of mind. When he separated from the others on the ascent, he said he was just trying to get a good vantage point to wave down another team for help."I had no intention of summiting and ditching the party," he said.After Rawski's fall, and as they tried to collect themselves atop Denali Pass, he said that the three of them, himself included, were experiencing emotional trauma. It reminded him of being in Afghanistan during his 14 years in the military."We would see people come in being shot or witnessing bombings, IED explosions, and whatnot. And it was not uncommon to see people who had witnessed a traumatic event go into psychological shock. And that's clearly what was going on here," he said.His immediate concern was that Rawski had fallen with the pickets, and said that was why he had first radioed for help. He said communicating on the clunky satellite device was like typing into a cell phone from the 1990s. As the hours passed, he said, his concerns about shock and hypothermia were genuine."I had to make a choice, based on what information we had," Lance said, adding that Maynard and Wilson are the same age as his kids. "If my kids were up here with somebody else, what would I have them do? I was reluctant to make that descent until I had exhausted every other means of getting us safely off there."Ultimately, Lance realized the helicopter wasn't coming, and that they could either sit there and freeze to death or make a risky descent. "Make no mistake, that descent was unsafe," he said.When I asked Erickson what he made of Lance's defense, or the idea that his decision-making at that altitude could not be trusted, he didn't buy it. He said rangers work in those conditions everyday, often making high-stakes decisions."We're not superheroes," he said. "We don't acclimatize better or worse than anyone else."As for the charge he pleaded guilty to — violating Erickson's order to hand over the inReach device — Lance said it wasn't clear to him it was an official request and that, either way, he felt he needed it for the remainder of his descent, for safety reasons, even though the device was Rawski's.Lance claimed his interactions with Erickson amounted to a clash of personalities, and that Erickson simply wasn't interested in hearing his thoughts on how the park service could handle things better. "I was tired. I was stressed. And, frankly, I just — I didn't want to really talk to him," Lance said.While Lance stopped short of apologizing, he said he hopes in the future in situations like this he "would have kind of a cooler head."Early morning sunrise on the Alaska Range. Denali's "summit shadow" (left) casting over the Kahiltna and Mt. Foraker (right), North America's sixth tallest peak.Grant WilsonThe aftermathWhen they made it off Denali, Maynard and Wilson visited the hospital in Anchorage. Rawski was unconscious in the ICU and it fell on them to tell his loved ones what happened. Instead of flowers, they left a stick of butter at his bedside — a wink at how Rawski had helped them out early in the climb.Rawski was in a coma for two months. He had broken ribs, collapsed lungs, fractured spinal bones, a broken talus and humerus, and nerve damage in his arm. When he finally emerged from the coma and learned what happened — he says he can remember everything up to about five minutes before the fall — he felt like he was reading about another person. "You're like, 'Oh, what an amateur. They didn't know what they were doing,'" he told me. "'The Adam I know would never do that.'"After seven months in the hospital, he was released in December, but the road to recovery is long.In the months since, his walking has improved substantially, and he can even muster a "very awkward jog." He hopes to get back to being the active, outdoorsy person he was before the fall, but he's not sure what exactly that will look like."I think the most difficult thing was, in the past year, my whole identity was changed," he said, again switching into the third person narrator of his story: "The biggest thing was just sort of accepting that changed identity and trying to pretty much redefine who Adam should be."Maynard and Wilson have also spent the last 14 months working through what went wrong on the mountain that day."I was passionate about guiding before and now, more than ever," Wilson said. "I feel called to be on the mountain… making sure that the same things don't happen that happened to Adam."Maynard went through months of therapy to confront the guilt she felt over not hearing Rawski fall or making sure he was roped up. "Even now, every day I relive it," she said. "It's the exact same moment of clipping myself into the picket at the Autobahn, and then looking over and Adam's gone."Despite the many things she thinks Lance did wrong, she says she can't help but sympathize with him.She chalked up Lance's actions to an "ignorance of climber responsibility and his heightened sense of self importance.""I came across a photo of him in one of the reports that has come out recently and I honestly didn't recognize him without the look of desperation on his face," she said. "He was definitely just trying anything and everything to find the magic words to get off the mountain."Rawski's fall was just one of about 20 search and rescue efforts the park service completed on Denali in the 2021 season, mostly for frostbite or extreme altitude sickness. Two incidents were fatal. Chenoweth said the outdoor climbing boom has resulted in a noticeable shift in the types of people arriving at Denali — more summit chasers, fewer wilderness seekers. It's easy for climbers to forget that in remote corners of the earth like Denali, more often than not, you're on your own. Though Denali is an extreme example, it highlights a disconnect that often exists when humans flee from the comforts and safety of modern society and head outdoors. The places we visit are still wild. And while that doesn't mean we shouldn't go, we should treat them with the reverence they deserve when we do.Climbers typically fly to Alaska on a commercial airplane. They take a shuttle to a hotel and go grocery shopping for supplies. They hop on a smaller plane and get dropped off in the wilderness. Even when they arrive, there are other climbers on the glacier, fostering a deceiving sense of safety in numbers. Better and cheaper satellite communications devices have also helped create a "false sense of security."Most climbers taking on Denali wouldn't be able to get back to civilization if the plane never came back to pick them up, Chenoweth said."They lose this sense of scale and I think people don't quite recognize how deep in the wilderness they are."Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderJul 22nd, 2022

NASA"s Hubble Space Telescope captured photos of cyclones, changing colors, and seasons on 4 distant planets

NASA's most powerful space telescope peers across the solar system to spy new storms on Jupiter and seasons on Uranus. The photos are stunning. A picture of Jupiter taken by NASA's Hubble Space Telescope on September 4, 2021.NASA, ESA, Amy Simon (NASA-GSFC), Michael H. Wong (UC Berkeley), Joseph DePasquale (STScI) NASA's Hubble Space Telescope snaps annual portraits of the largest planets in our solar system. This year's stunning photos of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune show changing weather and colors. Jupiter features new cyclones. Saturn has a blue South Pole. Uranus and Neptune sport new hues. It's school picture day for our solar system's distant planets. Every year, NASA's Hubble Space Telescope spends a few days shooting photos of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune, and this year's portraits don't disappoint. The images capture mysterious changes in the planets' weather and colors — both exciting scientists and sometimes leaving them scratching their heads.Hubble, which launched into Earth's orbit in 1990, is the world's most powerful space telescope. It has photographed the births and deaths of stars, spotted new moons circling Pluto, and tracked interstellar objects zipping through our solar system. Its observations have allowed astronomers to calculate the age and expansion of the universe and to peer at galaxies formed shortly after the Big Bang.Hubble's portraits, published by NASA on Thursday, depict visible changes in each planet's atmosphere. These outer worlds continually morph as tumultuous bands of gases and gargantuan storms rise, fall, change color, and reverse directions over months or years. The latest images, shot by Hubble in September and October, capture those changes in real time.Planetary scientist Michael Wong said he loves how dynamic the distant planets are. There can be different, but equally good explanations behind those atmospheric changes, Wong, who studies Hubble data on outer planets at the University of California, Berkeley, told Insider in an email.Hubble spots new storms and changing seasons across the solar systemHubble orbiting Earth in 1997.NASAThe telescope's sharp bright portrait of Jupiter revealed a series of new storms in the planet's northern hemisphere.Since 2018, Jupiter's equator has darkened to a deep orange hue, visible in the newest portrait. The planet's middle belt is usually white or beige, but this is not the first time the Jovian equator's color has shifted."We think this may all be part of a climate cycle on Jupiter that repeats every six to eight years," Wong said. "Equatorial reddening events typically last three years."Pictures of Jupiter taken by Hubble in 2020 (left) and 2021 (right). Arrows indicate storm vortexes.NASA/InsiderAs in previous years, Hubble's Jupiter portrait captures its Great Red Spot in vibrant color. The spot, a raging storm that astronomers have observed on Jupiter for about 200 years, is up to 310 miles deep, according to measurements that NASA's Jupiter-orbiting Juno spacecraft took in 2019.Saturn's colorful bands pop against the blackness of space. Peeking from below its rings, the planet's southern hemisphere appears blue, indicating that it was winter in the south when the photo was taken.Hubble took this photo of Saturn on September 12, 2021.NASA, ESA, Amy Simon (NASA-GSFC), Michael H. Wong (UC Berkeley), Alyssa Pagan (STScI)The image also captured four of Saturn's 82 moons. Those pictured — Tethys, Mimas, Enceladus, and Dione — are among its largest satellites.Hubble's portrait of Saturn, annotated by NASA, depicts four of its moons: Tethys, Mimas, Enceladus, and Dione.ESA, NASA, Amy Simon (NASA-GSFC), Michael H. Wong (UC Berkeley), Alyssa Pagan (STScI)Because Uranus and Neptune are much farther from Earth than Saturn or Jupiter, their portraits are less crisp. But scientists can still see interesting, sometimes puzzling, changes in their atmospheres.Uranus's northern polar region appeared to be brightening in its springtime, when the northern region receives more UV radiation from the sun.Hubble took this photo of Uranus on October 25, 2021.NASA, ESA, Amy Simon (NASA-GSFC), Michael H. Wong (UC Berkeley), Alyssa Pagan (STScI)Although scientists don't fully understand Uranus's seasonal brightening, researchers are studying it. The shift in color may be related to changes in Uranus's atmospheric flow or the concentration of methane in the air.Neptune's northern regions, on the other hand, are darkening in its 2021 portrait. The solar system's bluest marble appears to be growing even bluer.Neptune's signature storm, the Dark Spot, appears on the upper left side of the planet's snapshot. It's not yet clear what makes Neptune's dark areas so dark."We are working on a paper suggesting that some of these planet-encircling dark areas are related to the dark spots somehow. But other dark areas may not be related, so it's uncertain," Wong said.Hubble took this photo of Neptune on September 7, 2021.NASA, ESA, Amy Simon (NASA-GSFC), Michael H. Wong (UC Berkeley), Alyssa Pagan (STScI)Last year, Hubble data revealed that the Dark Spot, which is wider than the Atlantic Ocean, had abruptly switched directions. It was inching south, where Neptune's biggest storms go to die, but suddenly changed course and moved north again in August 2020. Scientists aren't sure why that is."A lot of these questions could be answered by actually sending probes to the giant planets and making measurements inside the atmosphere," Wong said. "However, NASA's budget is limited, so even a single probe most likely would not have all the instruments needed to really measure cloud particles in detail."Private space companies with bigger budgets haven't shown much interest in exploring the outer planets. SpaceX and its competitor Blue Origin — which flew founder Jeff Bezos to the edge of space in July — are aiming to build human settlements closer to Earth."I think Jeff Bezos' personal net worth of $200-plus billion would be enough to send 20 to 50 atmospheric entry probes EACH to Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune. Instead, our nation has only been able to afford one probe to Jupiter," Wong said, adding, "We are trying to answer as much as we can with the data available to us."Read the original article on Business Insider.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderNov 23rd, 2021

Polar Vortex Set to Drop Arctic-Cold Temperatures on Chicago, Minneapolis

The temperature will fall to minus 26 in Chicago. In Minneapolis, it will fall as low as minus 31. The polar vortex that’s sending a blast of extreme arctic cold air down to the Midwest this wee.....»»

Category: europeSource: fortuneJan 29th, 2019

French And German Power Prices Soar As Cold Sweeps Europe

French And German Power Prices Soar As Cold Sweeps Europe Update (0713ET):  After a mild start to the year, cold weather sweeping across western Germany, France, and the UK led to a surge in electricity prices on Tuesday.  French day-ahead power prices jumped to 135 euros a megawatt-hour, a 42% increase versus the rolling two-week average. The cause of the price spike is a surge in heating demand and delays in restarting nuclear plants.  Day-ahead prices in Germany, Europe's largest economy, increased as much as 16% Tuesday. "Cold is expected to grip areas from the mid-continent to west, including in western Germany, France and the UK where average departures from normal range anywhere between 2-6 degrees Celsius below normal," Matthew Dross, a meteorologist at Maxar Technologies, told Bloomberg.  Dross said the cold spell "will increase heating demand for those regions to above normal levels."  Despite colder weather and increasing heating demand, Dutch front-month natural gas futures, Europe's benchmark, slid as much as 7.3% after rising 4.6%. Prices have clawed back some losses after tagging 16-month lows.  Mild temperatures are expected to return next week, denting demand once more. Morgan Stanley recently wrote that Europe's NatGas consumption in the year to October could be as low as 16% below the five-year average.  "Even if it makes gas-fired power plants increasingly competitive with coal-fired power plants, it does not lead to an increase in gas demand for power generation because" other cheaper power generation sources will be used first, Engie SA's EnergyScan wrote in a note.  *   *   *  Record warmth spread across Europe in the first half of January. Temperatures in the energy-stricken continent felt more like spring as several metropolitan areas recorded the warmest temperatures on record. Now a pattern shift is underway as parts of northwest Europe brace for a cold snap starting Monday.  The latest runs for global weather models, including GFS Operational and ECMWF Operational, show what appears to be a downward shift in temperatures for northwest Europe. Average temps are expected to average in the low 30s degrees Fahrenheit this week, below 5,10, and 30-year averages.  GFS and ECMWF models show temperatures in London could decline to the low 30s by tomorrow -- well below average for this time of year.  A similar cold spell in Paris is slated for early this week.  As well as colder temperatures in Berlin.  Freezing temperatures across northwest Europe for the second half of the month will push up heating demand.   Mild temperatures curbed heating demand and allowed for injections into natural gas storage at a time when supplies should be drawing. But that could change with the return of winter.  The return of freezing conditions did very little to boost EU nature gas prices, which fell to the lowest level since September 2021 as the supply outlook remained robust.  "There currently appears to be no end to the losses on the European gas market," analysts at trading firm Energi Danmark A/S wrote in a note. They added:  "The panic-like situation from last year has been replaced by confidence that Europe will get through this winter without any supply issues." Still, some are warning winter isn't over: #natgas Weather models are cooling by the day. European snow cover is forecast over half of Europe including Greece, Italy, Turkey, even Lebanon and North Africa reaching 3 foot of snow. #natgas pic.twitter.com/L5hjnXWgbW — Heinrich Leopold (@LeopoldHeinrich) January 16, 2023 forecast #polarvortex pic.twitter.com/2rqHLgNv9N — PV-Forecast (@PvForecast) January 16, 2023 #natgas To the astonishment of weather forecasters models (Jan17,23,31) are becoming colder and colder in Europe. This is exactly what the weakening of the polar vortex suggests. This will intensify as an historic strong vortex has accumulated a record amount of arctic cold air. pic.twitter.com/jI9txxPD8n — Heinrich Leopold (@LeopoldHeinrich) January 15, 2023 Tyler Durden Tue, 01/17/2023 - 07:13.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeJan 17th, 2023

Winter Returns To Northwest Europe This Week

Winter Returns To Northwest Europe This Week Record warmth spread across Europe in the first half of January. Temperatures in the energy-stricken continent felt more like spring as several metropolitan areas recorded the warmest temperatures on record. Now a pattern shift is underway as parts of northwest Europe brace for a cold snap starting Monday.  The latest runs for global weather models, including GFS Operational and ECMWF Operational, show what appears to be a downward shift in temperatures for northwest Europe. Average temps are expected to average in the low 30s degrees Fahrenheit this week, below 5,10, and 30-year averages.  GFS and ECMWF models show temperatures in London could decline to the low 30s by tomorrow -- well below average for this time of year.  A similar cold spell in Paris is slated for early this week.  As well as colder temperatures in Berlin.  Freezing temperatures across northwest Europe for the second half of the month will push up heating demand.   Mild temperatures curbed heating demand and allowed for injections into natural gas storage at a time when supplies should be drawing. But that could change with the return of winter.  The return of freezing conditions did very little to boost EU nature gas prices, which fell to the lowest level since September 2021 as the supply outlook remained robust.  "There currently appears to be no end to the losses on the European gas market," analysts at trading firm Energi Danmark A/S wrote in a note. They added:  "The panic-like situation from last year has been replaced by confidence that Europe will get through this winter without any supply issues." Still, some are warning winter isn't over: #natgas Weather models are cooling by the day. European snow cover is forecast over half of Europe including Greece, Italy, Turkey, even Lebanon and North Africa reaching 3 foot of snow. #natgas pic.twitter.com/L5hjnXWgbW — Heinrich Leopold (@LeopoldHeinrich) January 16, 2023 forecast #polarvortex pic.twitter.com/2rqHLgNv9N — PV-Forecast (@PvForecast) January 16, 2023 #natgas To the astonishment of weather forecasters models (Jan17,23,31) are becoming colder and colder in Europe. This is exactly what the weakening of the polar vortex suggests. This will intensify as an historic strong vortex has accumulated a record amount of arctic cold air. pic.twitter.com/jI9txxPD8n — Heinrich Leopold (@LeopoldHeinrich) January 15, 2023 Tyler Durden Tue, 01/17/2023 - 02:45.....»»

Category: worldSource: nytJan 17th, 2023

DeepMind’s CEO Helped Take AI Mainstream. Now He’s Urging Caution

Demis Hassabis helped to bring artificial intelligence mainstream. Now he is issuing a warning Demis Hassabis stands halfway up a spiral staircase, surveying the cathedral he built. Behind him, light glints off the rungs of a golden helix rising up through the staircase’s airy well. The DNA sculpture, spanning three floors, is the centerpiece of DeepMind’s recently opened London headquarters. It’s an artistic representation of the code embedded in the nucleus of nearly every cell in the human body. “Although we work on making machines smart, we wanted to keep humanity at the center of what we’re doing here,” Hassabis, DeepMind’s CEO and co-founder, tells TIME. This building, he says, is a “cathedral to knowledge.” Each meeting room is named after a famous scientist or philosopher; we meet in the one dedicated to James Clerk Maxwell, the man who first theorized electromagnetic radiation. “I’ve always thought of DeepMind as an ode to intelligence,” Hassabis says. [time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”] Hassabis, 46, has always been obsessed with intelligence: what it is, the possibilities it unlocks, and how to acquire more of it. He was the second-best chess player in the world for his age when he was 12, and he graduated from high school a year early. As an adult he strikes a somewhat diminutive figure, but his intellectual presence fills the room. “I want to understand the big questions, the really big ones that you normally go into philosophy or physics if you’re interested in,” he says. “I thought building AI would be the fastest route to answer some of those questions.” DeepMind—a subsidiary of Google’s parent company, Alphabet—is one of the world’s leading artificial intelligence labs. Last summer it announced that one of its algorithms, AlphaFold, had predicted the 3D structures of nearly all the proteins known to humanity, and that the company was making the technology behind it freely available. Scientists had long been familiar with the sequences of amino acids that make up proteins, the building blocks of life, but had never cracked how they fold up into the complex 3D shapes so crucial to their behavior in the human body. AlphaFold has already been a force multiplier for hundreds of thousands of scientists working on efforts such as developing malaria vaccines, fighting antibiotic resistance, and tackling plastic pollution, the company says. Now DeepMind is applying similar machine-learning techniques to the puzzle of nuclear fusion, hoping it helps yield an abundant source of cheap, zero-carbon energy that could wean the global economy off fossil fuels at a critical juncture in the climate crisis. Hassabis says these efforts are just the beginning. He and his colleagues have been working toward a much grander ambition: creating artificial general intelligence, or AGI, by building machines that can think, learn, and be set to solve humanity’s toughest problems. Today’s AI is narrow, brittle, and often not very intelligent at all. But AGI, Hassabis believes, will be an “epoch-defining” technology—like the harnessing of electricity—that will change the very fabric of human life. If he’s right, it could earn him a place in history that would relegate the namesakes of his meeting rooms to mere footnotes. But with AI’s promise also comes peril. In recent months, researchers building an AI system to design new drugs revealed that their tool could be easily repurposed to make deadly new chemicals. A separate AI model trained to spew out toxic hate speech went viral, exemplifying the risk to vulnerable communities online. And inside AI labs around the world, policy experts were grappling with near-term questions like what to do when an AI has the potential to be commandeered by rogue states to mount widespread hacking campaigns or infer state-level nuclear secrets. In December 2022, ChatGPT, a chatbot designed by DeepMind’s rival OpenAI, went viral for its seeming ability to write almost like a human—but faced criticism for its susceptibility to racism and misinformation. So did the tiny company Prisma Labs, for its Lensa app’s AI-enhanced selfies. But many users complained Lensa sexualized their images, revealing biases in its training data. What was once a field of a few deep-pocketed tech companies is becoming increasingly accessible. As computing power becomes cheaper and AI techniques become better known, you no longer need a high-walled cathedral to perform cutting-edge research. Read More: The Price of Your AI-Generated Selfie It is in this uncertain climate that Hassabis agrees to a rare interview, to issue a stark warning about his growing concerns. “I would advocate not moving fast and breaking things,” he says, referring to an old Facebook motto that encouraged engineers to release their technologies into the world first and fix any problems that arose later. The phrase has since become synonymous with disruption. That culture, subsequently emulated by a generation of startups, helped Facebook rocket to 3 billion users. But it also left the company entirely unprepared when disinformation, hate speech, and even incitement to genocide began appearing on its platform. Hassabis sees a similarly worrying trend developing with AI. He says AI is now “on the cusp” of being able to make tools that could be deeply damaging to human civilization, and urges his competitors to proceed with more caution than before. “When it comes to very powerful technologies—and obviously AI is going to be one of the most powerful ever—we need to be careful,” he says. “Not everybody is thinking about those things. It’s like experimentalists, many of whom don’t realize they’re holding dangerous material.” Worse still, Hassabis points out, we are the guinea pigs. Hassabis was just 15 when he walked into the Bullfrog video-game studios in Guildford, in the rolling green hills just southwest of London. As a child he had always been obsessed with games. Not just chess—the main source of his expanding trophy cabinet—but the kinds you could play on early computers, too. Now he wanted to help make them. He had entered a competition in a video-game magazine to win an internship at the prestigious studio. His program—a Space Invaders-style game where players shot at chess pieces descending from the top of the screen—came in second place. He had to settle for a week’s work experience. Courtesy Demis HassabisHassabis, left, captaining the England under-11s chess team at the age of 9 Peter Molyneux, Bullfrog’s co-founder, still remembers first seeing Hassabis. “He looked like an elf from Lord of the Rings,” Molyneux says. “This little slender kid came in, who you would probably just walk past in the street and not even notice. But there was a sparkle in his eyes: the sparkle of intelligence.” In a chance conversation on the bus to Bullfrog’s Christmas party, the teenager captivated Molyneux. “The whole of the journey there, and the whole of the journey back, was the most intellectually stimulating conversation,” he recalls. They talked about the philosophy of games, what it is about the human psyche that makes winning so appealing, and whether you could imbue those same traits in a machine. “All the time I’m thinking, This is just a kid!” He knew then this young man was destined for great things. The pair became fast friends. Hassabis returned to Bullfrog in the summer before he left for the University of Cambridge, and spent much of that time with Molyneux playing board and computer games. Molyneux recalls a fierce competitive streak. “I beat him at almost all the computer games, especially the strategy games,” Molyneux says. “He is an incredibly competitive person.” But Molyneux’s bragging rights were short-lived. Together, in pursuit of interesting game dynamics that might be the seed of the next hit video game, they invented a card-game they called Dummy. Hassabis beat Molyneux 35 times in a row. After graduating from Cambridge, Hassabis returned to Bullfrog to help Molyneux build his most popular game to date: Theme Park, a simulation game giving the player a God’s-eye view of an expanding fairground business. Hassabis went on to establish his own game company before later deciding to study for a Ph.D. in neuroscience. He wanted to understand the algorithmic level of the brain: not the interactions between microscopic neurons but the larger architectures that seemed to give rise to humanity’s powerful intelligence. “The mind is the most intriguing object in the universe,” Hassabis says. He was trying to understand how it worked in preparation for his life’s quest. “Without understanding that I had in mind AI the whole time, it looks like a random path,” Hassabis says of his career trajectory: chess, video games, neuroscience. “But I used every single scrap of that experience.” By 2013, when DeepMind was three years old, Google came knocking. A team of Google executives flew to London in a private jet, and Hassabis wowed them by showing them a prototype AI his team had taught to play the computer game Breakout. DeepMind’s signature technique behind the algorithm, reinforcement learning, was something Google wasn’t doing at the time. It was inspired by how the human brain learns, an understanding Hassabis had developed during his time as a neuroscientist. The AI would play the game millions of times, and was rewarded every time it scored some points. Through a process of points-based reinforcement, it would learn the optimum strategy. Hassabis and his colleagues fervently believed in training AI in game environments, and the dividends of the approach impressed the Google executives. “I loved them immediately,” says Alan Eustace, a former senior vice president at Google who led the scouting trip. Hassabis’ focus on the dangers of AI was evident from his first conversation with Eustace. “He was thoughtful enough to understand that the technology had long-term societal implications, and he wanted to understand those before the technology was invented, not after the technology was deployed,” Eustace says. “It’s like chess. What’s the endgame? How is it going to develop, not just two steps ahead, but 20 steps ahead?” Eustace assured Hassabis that Google shared those concerns, and that DeepMind’s interests were aligned with its own. Google’s mission, Eustace said, was to index all of humanity’s knowledge, make it accessible, and ultimately raise the IQ of the world. “I think that resonated,” he says. The following year, Google acquired DeepMind for some $500 million. Hassabis turned down a bigger offer from Facebook. One reason, he says, was that, unlike Facebook, Google was “very happy to accept” DeepMind’s ethical red lines “as part of the acquisition.” (There were reports at the time that Google agreed to set up an independent ethics board to ensure these lines were not crossed.) The founders of the fledgling AI lab also reasoned that the megacorporation’s deep pockets would allow them access to talent and computing power that they otherwise couldn’t afford. In a glass cabinet spanning the far wall of the lobby at DeepMind’s London headquarters, among other memorabilia from the first 12 years of the company’s life, sits a large square of wood daubed with black scribbles. It’s a souvenir from DeepMind’s first major coup. Soon after the Google acquisition, the company had set itself the challenge of designing an algorithm that could beat the best player in the world at the ancient Chinese board game Go. Chess had long ago been conquered by brute-force computer programming, but Go was far more complex; the best AI algorithms were still no match for top human players. DeepMind tackled the problem the same way they’d cracked Breakout. It built a program that, after being taught the rules of the game by observing human play, would play virtually against itself millions of times. Through reinforcement learning, the algorithm would update itself, reducing the “weights” of decisions that made it more likely to lose the game, and increasing the “weights” that made it more likely to win. At a tournament in Korea in March 2016, the algorithm—called AlphaGo—went up against Lee Sedol, one of the world’s top Go players. AlphaGo beat him four games to one. With a black marker pen, the defeated Lee scrawled his signature on the back of the Go board on which the fateful game had been played. Hassabis signed on behalf of AlphaGo, and DeepMind kept the board as a trophy. Forecasters had not expected the milestone to be passed for a decade. It was a vindication of Hassabis’ pitch to Google: that the best way to push the frontier of AI was to focus on reinforcement learning in game environments. But just as DeepMind was scaling new heights, things were beginning to get complicated. In 2015, two of its earliest investors, billionaires Peter Thiel and Elon Musk, symbolically turned their backs on DeepMind by funding rival startup OpenAI. That lab, subsequently bankrolled by $1 billion from Microsoft, also believed in the possibility of AGI, but it had a very different philosophy for how to get there. It wasn’t as interested in games. Much of its research focused not on reinforcement learning but on unsupervised learning, a different technique that involves scraping vast quantities of data from the internet and pumping it through neural networks. As computers became more powerful and data more abundant, those techniques appeared to be making huge strides in capability. While DeepMind, Google, and other AI labs had been working on similar research behind closed doors, OpenAI was more willing to let the public use its tools. In late 2022 it launched DALL·E 2, which can generate an image of almost any search term imaginable, and the chatbot ChatGPT. Because both of these tools were trained on data scraped from the internet, they were plagued by structural biases and inaccuracies. DALL·E 2 is likely to illustrate “lawyers” as old white men and “flight attendants” as young beautiful women, while ChatGPT is prone to confident assertions of false information. In the wrong hands, a 2021 DeepMind research paper says, language-generation tools like ChatGPT and its predecessor GPT-3 could turbocharge the spread of disinformation, facilitate government censorship or surveillance, and perpetuate harmful stereotypes under the guise of objectivity. (OpenAI acknowledges its apps have limitations, including biases, but says that it’s working to minimize them and that its mission is to build safe AGI to benefit humanity.) But despite Hassabis’s calls for the AI race to slow down, it appears DeepMind is not immune from the competitive pressures. In early 2022, the company published a blueprint for a faster engine. The piece of research, called Chinchilla, showed that many of the industry’s most cutting-edge models had been trained inefficiently, and explained how they could deliver more capability with the same level of computing power. Hassabis says DeepMind’s internal ethics board discussed whether releasing the research would be unethical given the risk that it could allow less scrupulous firms to release more powerful technologies without firm guardrails. One of the reasons they decided to publish it anyway was because “we weren’t the only people to know” about the phenomenon. He says that DeepMind is also considering releasing its own chatbot, called Sparrow, for a “private beta” some time in 2023. (The delay is in order for DeepMind to work on reinforcement learning-based features that ChatGPT lacks, like citing its sources. “It’s right to be cautious on that front,” Hassabis says.) But he admits that the company may soon need to change its calculus. “We’re getting into an era where we have to start thinking about the freeloaders, or people who are reading but not contributing to that information base,” he says. “And that includes nation states as well.” He declines to name which states he means—“it’s pretty obvious, who you might think”—but he suggests that the AI industry’s culture of publishing its findings openly may soon need to end. Lee Jin-man—APHassabis celebrates DeepMind’s victory over Go player Lee Sedol, right, in South Korea in 2016 Hassabis wants the world to see DeepMind as a standard bearer of safe and ethical AI research, leading by example in a field full of others focused on speed. DeepMind has published “red lines” against unethical uses of its technology, including surveillance and weaponry. But neither DeepMind nor Alphabet has publicly shared what legal power DeepMind has to prevent its parent—a surveillance empire that has dabbled in Pentagon contracts—from pursuing those goals with the AI DeepMind builds. In 2021, Alphabet ended yearslong talks with DeepMind about the subsidiary’s setting up an independent legal structure that would prevent its AI being controlled by a single corporate entity, the Wall Street Journal reported. Hassabis doesn’t deny DeepMind made these attempts, but downplays any suggestion that he is concerned about the current structure being unsafe. When asked to confirm or deny whether the independent ethics board rumored to have been set up as part of the Google acquisition actually exists, he says he can’t, because it’s “all confidential.” But he adds that DeepMind’s ethics structure has “evolved” since the acquisition “into the structures that we have now.” Hassabis says both DeepMind and Alphabet have committed to public ethical frameworks and build safety into their tools from the very beginning. DeepMind has its own internal ethics board, the Institutional Review Committee (IRC), with representatives from all areas of the company, chaired by its chief operating officer, Lila Ibrahim. The IRC meets regularly, Ibrahim says, and any disagreements are escalated to DeepMind’s executive leaders for a final decision. “We operate with a lot of freedom,” she says. “We have a separate review process: we have our own internal ethics review committee; we collaborate on best practices and learnings.” When asked what happens if DeepMind’s leadership team disagrees with Alphabet’s, or if its “red lines” are crossed, Ibrahim only says, “We haven’t had that issue yet.” One of Hassabis’ favorite games right now is a strategy game called Polytopia. The aim is to grow a small village into a world-dominating empire through gradual technological advances. Fishing, for example, opens the door to seafaring, which leads eventually to navies of your ships firing cannons and traversing oceans. By the end of the game, if you’ve directed your technological progress astutely, you’ll sit atop a shining, sophisticated empire with your enemies dead at your feet. (Elon Musk, Hassabis says, is a fan too. The last time the pair spoke, a few months ago, Polytopia was the main subject of their conversation. “We both like that game a lot,” Hassabis says.) While Hassabis’ worldview is much more nuanced—and cautious—it’s easy to see why the game’s ethos resonates with him. He still appears to believe that technological advancement is inherently good for humanity, and that under capitalism it’s possible to predict and mitigate AI’s risks. “Advances in science and technology: that’s what drives civilization,” he says. James Day for TIMEDemis Hassabis at DeepMind’s headquarters in London on Nov. 3, 2022 Hassabis believes the wealth from AGI, if it arrives, should be redistributed. “I think we need to make sure that the benefits accrue to as many people as possible—to all of humanity, ideally.” He likes the ideas of universal basic income, under which every citizen is given a monthly stipend from the government, and universal basic services, where the state pays for basic living standards like transportation or housing. He says an AGI-driven future should be more economically equal than today’s world, without explaining how that system would work. “If you’re in a [world of] radical abundance, there should be less room for that inequality and less ways that could come about. So that’s one of the positive consequences of the AGI vision, if it gets realized.” Others are less optimistic that this utopian future will come to pass—given that the past several decades of growth in the tech industry have coincided with huge increases in wealth inequality. “Major corporations, including the major corporation that owns DeepMind, have to ensure they maximize value to shareholders; are not focused really on addressing the climate crisis unless there is a profit in it; and are certainly not interested in redistributing wealth when the whole goal of the company is to accumulate further wealth and distribute it to shareholders,” says Paris Marx, host of the podcast Tech Won’t Save Us. “Not recognizing those things is really failing to fully consider the potential impacts of the technology.” Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta were among the 20 corporations that spent the most money lobbying U.S. lawmakers in 2022, according to transparency watchdog Open Secrets. “What we lack is not the technology to address the climate crisis, or to redistribute wealth,” Marx says. “What we lack is the political will. And it’s hard to see how just creating a new technology is going to create the political will to actually have these more structural transformations of society.” Back at DeepMind’s spiral staircase, an employee explains that the DNA sculpture is designed to rotate, but today the motor is broken. Closer inspection shows some of the rungs of the helix are askew. At the bottom of the staircase there’s a notice on a wooden stool in front of this giant metaphor for humanity. “Please don’t touch,” it reads. “It’s very fragile and could easily be damaged.” —With reporting by Mariah Espada and Solcyre Burga.....»»

Category: topSource: timeJan 12th, 2023

$54M Braemar luxury senior residence breaks ground in Montebello, NY

Owner/developers FilBen Group and RSF Partners, general contractor McAlpine Contracting, and designer H2M Architects + Engineers broke ground for Braemar at Montebello, a new 200-resident, 133,675-square foot, four-level luxury assisted living residence located on 6.2 bucolic Lower Hudson Valley acres at 250 Lafayette Avenue in Montebello. The property is close... The post $54M Braemar luxury senior residence breaks ground in Montebello, NY appeared first on Real Estate Weekly. Owner/developers FilBen Group and RSF Partners, general contractor McAlpine Contracting, and designer H2M Architects + Engineers broke ground for Braemar at Montebello, a new 200-resident, 133,675-square foot, four-level luxury assisted living residence located on 6.2 bucolic Lower Hudson Valley acres at 250 Lafayette Avenue in Montebello. The property is close to Harriman State Park in Rockland County and offers breathtaking views of adjacent woods, large private properties, meadows, and rolling hills. The parcel is adjacent to a larger site that includes the Montebello commercial center, which will offer Braemar’s residents access to retail, entertainment, dining, and medical services within close proximity of their home. The Braemar property also neighbors the Good Samaritan Hospital – Suffern in Montebello, a part of Bon Secours Charity Health System (BSCHS), a member of the Westchester Medical Center Health Network (WMC Health). Braemar is a brand of FilBen-owned and operated senior living communities. The first property, the Braemar at Medford in Medford, NY, opened its doors in 2008. The Braemar at Wallkill in Middletown, NY, the second property to open under the brand, welcomed its first residents in 2015. The Montebello community will be the third Braemar-branded residence when it opens in 2024. FilBen plans to begin construction of its fourth property, a 152-bed assisted living community in Carmel, NY, in early 2023. “We expect senior residents of Rockland County, the Lower Hudson Valley, as well as the greater New York area and northern New Jersey, to be drawn to the active lifestyle that this community will offer,” said Jessica Cotellese, Manager of Development for FilBen Group. “This $54 million project will add a beautiful, high quality senior care residence for the Montebello and Rockland County communities,” said McAlpine Vice President John Nolan. “Because of the location of the future building on a sloping site, which will offer breathtaking views to the residents, the project presents several technical and logistical challenges to the construction and design team. For example, construction of foundations and the structural system will proceed in a phased, staggered manner to accelerate theschedule, while addressing access and site engineering complexities,” he added. The total development cost of the project is $54 million, including $36 million in construction cost. The owner/developer is a partnership between FilBen Group and RSF Partners, a private equity firm based in Dallas, TX. M&T Bank provided a $34.8 million construction loan. The Montebello site is long, narrow, and sloped, which created design challenges as well. “The building footprint is elongated and fairly shallow to match the property configuration,” shared Mark McKee, AIA, H2M Senior Architect. “Large areas of glazing will draw natural light into all of the interiors and will offer grander views than are typical available in other senior residences.” H2M designed the Braemer Wallkill property and is currently working with FilBen on the design of the Carmel development. Additional team members include site engineer Booker Engineering, landscape designer Robert G. Torgersen, LA; mechanical/electrical/plumbing (MEP) engineer Fellenzer Engineering LLP; and structural engineer Mulhern+Kulp Residential Structural Engineering. Project design drawn from site and local architectural influences“The property slopes significantly from a high point at the south toward a low point at the north, and the linear building plan will be placed perpendicular to the line of the slope, with three levels above grade to the south and an additional lower level above grade to the north,” explained Nolan. The building plan will have a central section and two symmetrical wings that will bend from that section toward the north. A port cochere and circular vehicular drop off will be centered in the south façade on the main level, on grade with the main parking lot to the south and a staff parking lot and service entrance to the east. Activeoutdoor resident areas will be located at both the north and south building facades, while hiking paths will span the grounds. Victorian-era buildings in the surrounding area provided the design inspiration for the building façade. Simulated wood look horizontal beveled siding in a neutral palette will be combined with stone veneers at the main level facing the outdoor patios and on the upper levels above the entrance. Columns with stone veneer bases will support the pitched roof of the porte-cochère. Windows will be in a traditional double-hung style. The roof will feature pitched mansard sections on the perimeter and reverse gables with decorative trim to invoke a Victorian aesthetic. Proactive construction modifications will expedite project schedule and reduce costsMcAlpine has developed a phased process of excavation, starting at the east and moving west, in order to accelerate the project. A poured concrete foundation will support exterior load bearing concrete masonry unit (CMU) walls, concrete plank floors and roof, and light gauge metal stud interior walls. The slope will need to be excavated in order to place the structure. “The first section will be excavated, and foundations will be poured. As the structure above that foundation section is installed, excavation will continue on the next section, and the process will be repeated down the length of the building footprint,” explained Alan Hajtler, Executive Oversight at McAlpine. By applying this logistical solution, McAlpine expects to shorten project completion by four weeks. “Several façade and structural systems were considered for the project. The McAlpine team worked with H2M to select the most economical solution that would also be impervious to supply chain delays. The joined teams selected bearing concrete masonry unit (CMU) walls and concrete plank floors to meet the budget and to expedite the construction schedule,” shared McAlpine Project Manager Vitrag Shah. Interior spaces are designed for interactive community livingThe building will feature shared public spaces on the main, second, and third levels. A total of 143 residential units – 54 private, one-person studio units of approximately 400-square feet each and 57 two- bedroom semi-private “Friendship” units of approximately 600-square feet each – will be located on these levels, while additional 12 private and 10 Friendship units will be located on the lower level in a memory care section. The private units are studios with kitchenettes and private baths. The Friendship units have two bedrooms that share a kitchenette and bathroom. All kitchenettes and bathrooms are barrier-free and include roll-in showers. The visitor entrance on the main level will lead from the south parking lot into a two-story, 22-foot high cathedral-ceilinged atrium with a stone and wood reception desk, a tiled fireplace, and comfortable seating. Behind the desk, a feature wall in a curved wood pattern will evoke the Braemar logo. Beyond the reception area, a C-shaped grand staircase with metal balusters in a geometric pattern, a wood handrail, decorative trimwork and wall art will extend to the second level. A corridor will lead past the grand stair to the main double loaded corridor that bisects the floor. Two passenger elevators, one service elevator, andtwo additional stairs will provide vertical access and emergency egress to all levels. Administrative offices will be located adjacent to the reception area, but the majority of the remaining spaces in the central section and east wing of the main level will be occupied by common spaces. The primary public space is the 3,500-square foot main dining room that extends out from the north façade to offer stunning 180-degree views of the surrounding vistas. A private dining room will also be available for celebrations and private dinners. Along the south façade, a 1,200 square-foot pub and game room will offer lounge seating, game tables, a fireplace, televisions, and direct access to a billiard room. The pub will open onto the south terrace, where residents will be able to enjoy outdoor seating surrounded by a pergola, gazebo, and raised planting beds; stroll along walking paths; and even play a game of giant chess. Additional shared spaces include a billiard room, café, business lounge, general store, arts and crafts room with a sink and art tables, family loungewith an adjacent kids’ room, beauty salon, and coffee shop. The fitness center will be located adjacent to the wellness center, which will be equipped with a waiting area, exam room, medication room, offices for the director and staff, and a records storage room. The east wing will also include a commercial kitchen and food preparation area that services the entire property, as well as a receiving area for deliveries, a service lobby, and a staff lounge. The west wing will contain eight private and five Friendship rooms for a total of 26 beds. On the second level, common areas will include a 940-square foot parlor that will open onto a 1,000-square foot outdoor terrace with a pedestal paver system, decorative planters and comfortable seating for enjoying the views. The parlor will share a double-sided fireplace with the adjacent 510-square foot library. A 1,080-square foot cinema and a chapel will complete the public spaces. The floor will contain 22 private rooms and 24 Friendship rooms for a total of 70 beds. A large number of common spaces were included in the design to encourage social interaction and provide multiple options for entertainment and engagement. The private dining room, family room and kid’s room will allow residents to include their families in their lifestyle. Lectures and other special events, some of which will be open to outside attendees, will connect Braemar residents to the neighboring community. The third level floor plan is similar to the second, with a lounge and shared laundry room as well as 24 private rooms and 28 Friendship rooms for a total of 80 beds. A portion of the lower terrace level will house the memory care unit. This level will offer views to the natural landscape down the slope and beyond the property, with full exposure to natural light that will permeate the building interior. The level will contain 12 private units and 20 Friendship, two-bedroom units for a total of 33 beds. A dining and activity room will be centered in the footprint directly under the main level dining room above and will be wrapped with glass to provide similar views. Two lounges – one with an exit to the north terrace, the other a quiet space – will provide additional social interaction. Acircular staff desk with an integral medication room will provide oversight of the dining room and corridors. An exam room and therapy room complete the unit. The exterior terrace will be provided with comfortable lounge and dining furniture and will be protected by secure fencing. Maintenance and staff areas, separated from the residential units by dedicated service corridors, will occupy the north side of the lower level. These spaces include men’s and women’s locker rooms, laundry center, housekeeping storage, and medical waste room. Mechanical equipment rooms, maintenance shop, and server room area also located in this area. Interior design mirrors the surrounding landscape H2M designed the interiors in close collaboration with Cotellese, who has an interior design background. According to Cotellese, “The interior design inspiration came from the environment, including the water and proximity to the Hudson River and lush greenery of the various local state parks.” The intent is to create a visual landscape connecting all the elements – the environment, community, and the residents. The wall finishes and flooring in the common areas will include wood-look LVT, commercial grade carpeting, sheet vinyl, wallcovering, and a palette of nature-inspired colors. There will be accents of ceramic tile, and reclaimed wood fireplace mantels. “The materials will provide a soft visual background to layer upon with organic and geometric patterns. This will be seen in the decorative architectural elements, including focal walls and wood screening to furnishings, fabrics, and artwork. The patterns will mimic what one sees in the local landscape, such as river stones, the ripple of water, or a view through the trees,” continued Cotellese. Saturated pops of greens, blues, oranges, and purples will provide accents and offset the neutral paint tones and natural materials. The common area spaces are designed so that residents will have visual connections to theactivities around them, even if they are not personally engaged. Residences are also designed to be bright and welcoming with large windows that will provide natural light and expansive views. Bedrooms will be carpeted in neutral tones to match the soft blues and beiges of the walls. Kitchens will feature LVT flooring, wooden cabinetry, refrigerators, and microwaves. Ceilings will be a combination of drywall and wood plank. Bathrooms will have sheet vinyl flooring with a stone texture and accessible fixtures, including roll-in showers. Furniture will be provided, however residents will beable to either replace or complement the provided fixtures with cherished pieces from their previous homes and install their own window treatments. FilBen GroupFilBen Group is comprised of the Filaski and Benenson families that have worked closely together for more than 40 years to build, own, and operate senior housing and health care facilities in the New York metropolitan area. The FilBen team is expert in New York State senior living regulations and best practices as well as in providing comfortable, joyful, and safe environment to senior residents. To date, the principals of FilBen have built over 5,000 nursing-home beds, of which they owned 1,300 and operated over 800. The firm currently owns and operates 400 assisted living beds with another 352 beds under development. In addition to constructing and operating its own facilities, FilBen offers the full spectrum of development and management services, including site selection, development, construction, and project management as well as healthcare program development and operation to other senior care providers. FilBen principals have worked with numerous large not-for-profit agencies, such as Catholic Charities and Senior Citizen Housing Committee, to create over 1,400 units of independent senior housing. Most recently, the firm has been retained to manage a new assisted living residence owned by the Greek Orthodox Church, which is scheduled to open in Uniondale, NY in 2024. FilBen’s programs are acknowledged to be at the forefront of skilled nursing and sub-acute care, and its facilities include the latest healthcare technologies. This expertise and quality of services is reflected in numerous awards and recognitions. SeniorAdviser.com recognized the Braemar at Wallkill on its 2017 Best Assisted Living list. The Times Herald-Record included the Wallkill community on its 2022 Best of the Best Assisted Living list. RSF PartnersRSF Partners is a boutique private equity firm based in Dallas, TX that invests in niche subsectors of the real estate market. Since the firm’s founding in 1998, RSF has invested over $1 billion in discretionary private equity capital across real estate product types, layers of the capital stack, and regions of the United States. RSF has a particular focus on seniors housing and has made over 150 investments in the industry.   The team is committed to the seniors housing community and serves in leadership positions on various industry boards. RSF prioritizes relationships with operating partners to customize investment partnerships that are tailored to individual operator objectives.  McAlpine ContractingEstablished in 1991, McAlpine Contracting is a leading new construction and interior fit-out general contractor and construction manager operating throughout the greater New York Area, including New York City, Long Island, New Jersey, and Lower Hudson Valley as well as in Vermont. Headquartered in Manhattan, the firm has a portfolio of completed seniors housing, multi-family residential, commercial, and institutional projects totaling in excess of $2 billion in value. McAlpine’s expertise encompasses ground-up multi-family developments, office interiors, commercial building redevelopments, medical and healthcare projects, seniors housing, and educational facilities as well as retail, hospitality, industrial, technology, and public work. McAlpine’s current and most recent projects include the $42 million, eight-story The Clark rental apartment building at 310 Clarkson Avenue and the $70 million The Lois apartment development at 350 Clarkson Avenue, both in Brooklyn, NY; the $20 million Elmsford Apartments complex in Elmsford, NY; the $19 million, four-story Amber Court senior living community in Nesconset, NY; the $18 million, 80,000-square foot Belair Medical Center in Bellmore, NY; and the 9,000-square foot, three story Harmony Early Learning Center in Levittown, NY. The post $54M Braemar luxury senior residence breaks ground in Montebello, NY appeared first on Real Estate Weekly......»»

Category: realestateSource: realestateweeklyJan 9th, 2023

NatGas Production Collapses As Deep Freeze Paralyzes US

NatGas Production Collapses As Deep Freeze Paralyzes US An arctic blast gripped the eastern half of the US, knocked out power, and slashed energy production. Sub-freezing temperatures resulted in one of the most significant one-day natural gas production declines on Friday.  BloombergNEF reported NatGas supplies across the Lower 48 states fell 10 billion cubic feet, or 10%, from the previous day as a deep freeze across top-producing regions, including Texas, experienced freeze-offs that froze liquids in pipes and forced wells to shutter.  The arctic air has also disrupted exports of liquefied natural gas from the Gulf Coast.  Subfreezing temperatures and high winds through Dec. 26 may cause delays or suspension to pilot services for the Sabine-Neches Waterway in Texas, according to notices from Moran Shipping. The waterway services the Sabine Pass terminal, the largest US LNG export facility. Pilots for the port of Corpus Christi, who are responsible for docking vessels in the southern Texas region, have suspended boarding vessels due to the cold, according to Moran. That may affect ship traffic to the Corpus Christi LNG export facility. Cheniere Energy Inc., operator of the Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi terminals, said that it always prepares for and responds to extreme weather to safely manage operations. The company didn't comment on the current operations of the facilities. --Bloomberg  There have also been reports that 1.5 million barrels of daily refining capacity along the Gulf Coast were halted due to freezing temperatures. Production losses will lead to higher energy costs.  Knocked out were TotalEnergies, Motiva Enterprises and Marathon Petroleum facilities outside Houston. Cold weather also disrupted Exxon Mobil, LyondellBasell and Valero Energy plants in Texas that produce gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. --Reuters The cold snap will remain in place for the next several days. Average temperatures across the US on Christmas could be the coldest in decades -- if not, records could be broken. Average low temps tonight will be well below freezing nationwide.  Meanwhile, domestic demand for NatGas is soaring as heating demand surges. What could possibly go wrong as supplies are being curtailed?  Tyler Durden Sat, 12/24/2022 - 15:10.....»»

Category: dealsSource: nytDec 24th, 2022

Living With Climate Change: Climate change and the polar vortex: Winter storms are normal, but this string of severe Christmas weather isn’t typical

Climate change is altering the Arctic and atmospheric moisture. That means severe winter storms, even as Earth warms......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchDec 24th, 2022

Potential Pre-Christmas Bomb Cyclone Could Wreak Havoc Across US

Potential Pre-Christmas Bomb Cyclone Could Wreak Havoc Across US Millions of Americans could be caught in a travel nightmare before Christmas as a major winter storm could become a bomb cycle at the end of the week, dumping heavy snow across the Midwest and Great Lakes and mixed precipitation in the Northeast, according to The Weather Channel.  The storm will usher in below-freezing air across much of the country as far south as Texas, the Gulf Coast, and Florida. On top of the cold blast, a "bomb" cyclone (a strengthening low that surface pressure drops at least 24 millibars in 24 hours) is expected to unleash high winds, heavy snow, and potential blizzard conditions in parts of the Great Lakes from Wisconsin and Illinois to parts of Michigan, Indiana, and Ohio, starting Friday.  The #BombCyclone blizzard circulation will take up the entire US east of the Rockies on Friday Certainly an extraordinary weather event with potentially dangerous impacts, especially with extreme cold. pic.twitter.com/Fata5hivqA — Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) December 19, 2022 Widespread blizzard conditions could impact transportation networks over portions of the Midwest and Great Lakes during one of the year's busiest travel weekends.  The Weather Channel said airlines had issued travel waivers ahead of the winter storm. JetBlue, American Airlines, Delta, Southwest, and Alaska Airlines offer waivers that allow passengers to change flights free of charge.  A paralyzing blizzard is increasingly likely across a large swath of the US. According to CNN meteorologists, Christmas Day could be the coldest in four decades nationwide, which takes us back to the climate alarmist this past summer who insisted the world was melting and the imminent demise of the human race. So much for their bold prediction -- now Americans will be freezing.  Tyler Durden Tue, 12/20/2022 - 14:45.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeDec 20th, 2022

First Big Freeze Puts "Heavy Strain" On European Power Grids

First Big Freeze Puts "Heavy Strain" On European Power Grids Europe's cold blast is due to a weak, polar vortex split in the stratosphere, which allowed high pressure to build across Greenland last week. As a result, Arctic air poured over the energy-stricken continent, sending natural gas and power prices higher.  The unseasonably cold weather will continue through this week. North West and Central Europe are recording average temperatures well below normal, boosting residential and commercial heating demand.  In the North West region, temperatures are forecasted to average around 30 degrees Fahrenheit this week, about 10 degrees less than the 30-year mean.  A similar setup is for Central Europe.  The arrival of the cold snap has already sent UK electricity prices to record highs.  Bloomberg's energy crisis index shows gas storage percentages full for top European countries have already flipped from injections to drawing season. Power prices in France, Germany, Italy, and the UK are elevated as the cost of producing electricity is surging.  Here's a better view of the gas storage situation. Even though significant progress was made to refill storage in an unusually warm autumn, cold snaps will draw down supplies much quicker as supply gaps persist due to Russian flows to the continent severed at some key entry points.  "The first winter blast is placing a heavy strain on European power grids, after a mild autumn allowed utilities to replenish depleted natural gas reserves. The energy crunch has forced some countries to return to coal, with the UK's National Grid asking two coal-fired units from its winter reserve to run on Monday," Bloomberg reported.  In a separate report, Bloomberg outlined three reasons why Europe's addiction to NatGas persists: First, nuclear outages in France have resulted in the loss of a sizable chunk of electricity generation.  Second, the region is also experiencing low wind output as the technology proves its fickleness during cold weather.  Finally, EU policymakers are discovering the limits of their demand reduction measures. The arrival of the cold blast is Europe's first real test of the power grid and NatGas supplies. All eyes will be on the rate of drawdown of NatGas storage.  Tyler Durden Tue, 12/13/2022 - 02:45.....»»

Category: dealsSource: nytDec 13th, 2022

Cross-Country Winter Storm Could Pummel California, Northern Plains, And Possibly Northeast

Cross-Country Winter Storm Could Pummel California, Northern Plains, And Possibly Northeast The Weather Prediction Center of the National Weather Service wrote in a short-term forecast that a "major storm system" will "spread heavy snow in the mountains" of California and the West through the weekend. The storm will then unleash a blizzard across the Northern Plains and could leave parts of the Northeast with wintry weather later next week.  A satellite image of the storm arriving on the West Coast.  Here's more on WPC's forecast this weekend for the Northwest:  "A deepening trough aloft and frontal system at the surface moving through the West will continue to spread heavy snow in the mountains, a wintry mix for inland valleys, and heavy coastal rain across the region this weekend. "An impressive stream of moisture from the Pacific associated with an atmospheric river will help to promote both high rainfall and snowfall rates as well as totals. "The impacts will be widespread from north to south with numerous winter weather-related advisories in effect. Starting across the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, Great Basin, and California, snowfall totals through the weekend will generally range between 12-24 inches, locally higher, for higher elevations in the mountains. The heaviest snowfall is expected for the Sierra Nevada with several feet forecast."  Storm setup for this weekend.  After this weekend, the storm will traverse parts of the Northern Plains by Monday. Later in the evening and into the overnight through Tuesday, heavy snow and high winds could produce blizzard conditions in parts of eastern Montana, eastern Wyoming, western Nebraska, the Dakotas, and Minnesota. By late Tuesday into Wednesday, the snow-producing system will arrive in parts of Wisconsin and northern Michigan. The Weather Channel's computer modeling shows Northern Plains has the highest percentage of accumulating snow.  "We are increasingly confident that we will be dealing with a pretty significant Northern Plains blizzard next week," Greg Carbin, chief of forecast operations for the Weather Prediction Center, told NYTimes.  Later in the week, the system pushes towards the East Coast. The Weather Channel explains the forecast then becomes complicated:  F​irst, we expect a couple of early-week cold fronts to deliver at least some cold air to the East ahead of this storm. T​hat's important because as moisture from the storm begins to override that cold air, some snow, sleet or freezing rain could break out in parts of the East as soon as late Wednesday or Thursday. A​fter that, low pressure is expected to form near or off the East Coast Thursday. Where that low tracks will play a large role in how much, if any, snow the Northeast may pick up late next week, and where it would fall. The possibilities range from a low tracking so far out to sea there's little or no additional precipitation anywhere in the Northeast, to a track just offshore but with enough cold air to wring out at least some snow closer to the coast, to a track along the coast or inland with snow mainly in the interior Northeast but rain at least for a time near the coast. Severe weather for the Northern Pacific and Plains appears to be guaranteed at this point, but later next week, forecasts for the Northeast are still uncertain. This could be the first winter storm of the season to have coast-to-coast impacts.  Tyler Durden Sat, 12/10/2022 - 12:00.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeDec 10th, 2022

Luongo: EU"s Oil Price Cap Is "Simply Moronic", Chindia Already Filling Gaps

Luongo: EU's Oil Price Cap Is "Simply Moronic", Chindia Already Filling Gaps Authored by Tom Luongo via Gold, Goats, 'n Guns blog, The EU and the US went forward with their long-debated, long-telegraphed move to put a price cap on Russian oil at $60 per barrel. By believing they can pressure suppliers into not hauling Russian oil lest they run afoul of the sanctions that support the price cap, they believe they can take only Russian oil off the market for the long run. Because of the way oil is actually traded in the real world, versus the way it trades in Janet Yellen’s head, this policy is actually much harder to implement than it actually looks. You don’t buy oil at the crude oil counter at Target or Wal-Mart. There isn’t a price tag you can look at and say yes or no too. As Tsvetana Paraskova at Oilprice points out, crude contracts are written based on a discount or premium to a benchmark price at a particular moment in time. “Physical traders rarely trade on a fixed price,” John Driscoll, chief strategist at JTD Energy Services Pte Ltd, told Bloomberg.  “It’s a much more complex space where they trade on formulas and spot differentials to a benchmark crude for the trading of actual cargoes as well as for hedging that follows,” said Driscoll, who has more than 30 years of trading oil in Singapore. To complicate things further, the EU wants to remain flexible to change the cap at its discretion. “The price cap is not set in stone – it “is fixed for now but adjustable over time,” the EU said last week.   If this sounds like a recipe for complete disaster, it is. No matter what happens here, the quantity of oil to be produced under this cap, even if it isn’t successful, will go down. Period. See chart below. If you disagree with this then you might just qualify to replace Yellen as Treasury Secretary of the US. That said, Janet Yellen may be stupid, but she’s not that stupid. She knows what this price cap she’s championed will do. So, as always, with these people the question you shouldn’t be asking isn’t, “Will this work?” or “How will Russia respond?” but rather, “Is this the point of the exercise?” I was contacted by Sputnik News for my comments on this (article here) and this is the tact I took in answering their questions. If everyone involved knows that price floors and price ceilings always and without fail create production shortages, then why did they do this when the world clearly need more oil? Because this is a feature of the policy, not a bug. By doing this, like every other intervention into oil delivery since the start of the war in Ukraine, the goal was to take Russia’s supply offline and hope that other producers would see the opportunity to take market share from the evil Russians while simultaneously trying to push capital investment into competing energy technologies — like nuclear, hydrogen and unicorn farts. It hasn’t worked. Russia happily sells their oil at a major discount to Brent Crude, but will it remain the $30 China and India have been paying below Brent? Only if Brent stays at $90+ per barrel. With Brent now trading in the high $70’s those discounts will attenuate. And with Vanguard following Blackrock’s lead in ditching ESG as a policy driver for investment flows, we’ve likely reached the limit of this stupidity, because despite the protestations of commies the world over, capital flows to where it is treated best. That flow is now distinctly around Europe rather than the intended target, Russia. There are many goals of this price cap, some stated, some implied, my comments are in italics afterwards. Limit Russia’s oil revenue enough to bleed out their budget. Not likely as the discount to Brent will rise and fall with futures. Russia’s cost of production is the lowest in the world with the highest spare capacity to bring online or take offline. Spur other OPEC+ members to pump beyond their quotas and break the cartel. Again, not likely, as the only ones who have spare capacity are also under heavy sanctions, Venezuela, Iran, etc. To crib from Planet of the Apes, “OPEC together strong.” Make the Saudis an offer they can’t refuse, to lead OPEC without Russia. This has fully failed as KSA has just signed a Strategic Partnership with China during Xi’s first visit to a foreign power since COVID faster than you can say, “multi-polar world.” Bring the price of oil down to allow “Biden” to refill the SPR at a big discount. Only so long as they can manipulate futures prices down and keep demand off the market. Cause further chaos in oil shipping to freeze investment capital in an industry trillions behind the curve in exploration because of ESG and “US/EU policy” This is what the real goal is. It’s why I think Liz Truss was taken out as UK Prime Minister and why Germany happily went along with the Nordstream bombing and closing off the Druzbha Pipeline. Force Putin to sell Europe oil below market prices to fund the upcoming war effort against Russia, now clearly on the table for 2023. They want you to believe oil flows to Europe have already cratered, while bookings (as Sputnik pointed out) for Sovcomflot’s tanker fleet are up. The only numbers that matter are Russia’s exports, not whether oil flows through western tracking data. I’ve maintained for years that Europe feels they have some kind of monopsony (single buyer) power over Russian energy. And all they have to do is hold their nose and refuse to buy Russia’s products and this will force them to sell to them at whatever price they demand. What I’m still trying to figure out, however, is how much better a deal do they want than the one they had pre-Ukraine War, a war they did nothing substantial to stop? To believe that the EU only pursued this antagonistic relationship with Russia because it is a colony of the US Empire is simply delusional at this point. At no point did Europe try to make peace with Russia financially, economically or diplomatically. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel reiterated recently in an interview with Die Zeit that the Minsk Accords were designed as a delaying tactic to arm Ukraine for the future war against Russia. This admission blows up that entire coping narrative of ideological leftists who hate the US (and all that it supposedly still stands for, i.e. capitalism) so much they can’t accept the reality of their insanity. Europe chose this path. They chose freely to freeze Russia’s foreign exchange reserves, decline to buy their oil and gas, and sanction Russia to the point of destabilizing not just their own food and energy security, but also everyone else’s in the process. Davos hates the freedom that oil and gas represent. Their strategy is to starve the entire oil complex of needed capital and hope it collapses. What it’s doing is accelerating the creation of parallel markets for shipping, insurance, payment clearance and investment banking for base commodities in markets outside of their control. They’ve interfered in elections/governments the world over in key pockets of resistance — the US, Brazil, now Peru, the UK, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, — to disrupt any further integration of Asia. Most of these have failed, but have succeeded in making the world less safe, less predictable. The price cap is a stupid policy implemented by people with a clear animus against humanity itself that they would drive the world to the brink of nuclear war. It’s nothing more than the same scorched earth policy that’s been on display for years now. If we can’t rule the world, we will burn it down. All it’s really doing is accelerating the split between East and West. Russia is done with Europe. They have turned East and will wait for Europeans to come to their senses and find common ground. Both they and the Chinese realize now there is no return to normalcy without the West collapsing in a fit of rage. All over a few miserable dollars per barrel. As always, my full replies to Sputnik are below the line. As the price cap on Russian oil comes into force, how will the global market react? What long-term consequences do you expect? The price cap is simply moronic from a price perspective.  Any 1st semester student of economics understands that price caps/floors create shortages.  So, we shouldn’t look at price directly.  Price is a consequence of supply and demand, in this case a deliberate attempt to create a shortage by introducing unnecessary friction all throughout the oil supply chain to create a global shortage of energy. Oil prices will rise in the short term because of this and investment in new oil sources will now accelerate but outside of the West who have turned completely hostile to new sources of oil entering the market. The price cap was conceived with the objective of punishing Russia over its special military operation in Ukraine – what are traps and pitfalls of energy supply politicization? As always with moves like this, there is the story we’re told and then there is the real story. This cap will not deter Russia in any significant way from exporting oil.  What will happen is the map of oil delivery worldwide will change.  Energy that flowed west will now flow east and south.  The ESPO pipeline will see full utilization as demand from SE Asia rises. Projects that previous to the divorce between Russia and the EU were uneconomic are now economic as a price floor has now been put on the market.  That’s what is so funny about this ‘price cap’ on Russian oil, it’s actually a ‘price floor,’ ensuring that Russia, the country with the lowest cost per barrel of any major producer, has guaranteed minimum income going forward. I believe the goal of Janet Yellen, the person most responsible for this idiocy, is to both raise the price of oil to accelerate investment into renewables but limit the amount of money Russia gets, starving them, and other oil producers of capital. In short, it’s nothing new.  These are the same people who put sanctions on Russia to make the ruble weak while the price of oil rose. How can the move backfire on G7 countries and the EU in particular? It already has.  As I said, this is just an extension of the same policy that’s always been in place.  What will (and is) happening is that the investment they are trying to retard into replacement oil and gas reserves will now occur outside of the western financial system and western currencies, i.e. the US dollar and the euro.  Capital flows both to where it’s needed and where it’s treated best.  What’s happening in the West is one big policy to freeze capital where it is currently trapped and beat it with the ESG stick.  I could write a book here about why this is dumb and counterproductive, but I’ll just state that, in short, it won’t work.  This price cap is the beginning of the major shift towards the East becoming the center for global capital investment. The price cap had sown discord within the EU and resulted in months of bickering – do you expect further split within the EU members now, as the measure came into force? Yes.  But the European Commission isn’t listening and is continuing to play hardball with every EU member state and Russia on every issue.  At the same time, they also support NATO expansion, which is tantamount to an open war declaration against Russia. Now it’s War Crimes Tribunals against Russia for a war it won’t fight or can even win. The internal politics of gas delivery within the EU is now facing a shift with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni clearly angling to replace Germany as the port of entry for most piped gas into Europe.  France and Germany are hopping mad about this. This energy crisis in the EU is designed to break the spirit of Europe’s people to accept full totalitarian/centralized control over everything.  The outward face of the EU is one of inevitability, while masking the deep divisions that are tearing it apart at the seams. What kind of problems will the EU face given that Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak specified earlier that if the cap came into effect, Russia would either redirect its crude supply or slash production? China and India are already filling the gaps.  Russian oil will be blended in the Bahamas or other storage ports and then sent back to EU refineries.  It’s all shadow play and theater. The main goal, as I said, was to make the oil markets less efficient, raising costs while starving it of capital at the same time.  The EU will face continued high energy prices, a net outflow of capital from lack of investment and a falling currency as their competitiveness on the global market collapses.  Considering that they are also an unreliable trade partner who constantly changes the terms of contracts while they are still active, will see trade that used to be done with it go somewhere else. All they are doing is ensuring no one will want to do business with them after 2030, hence their full-throated support of further war with Russia over Ukraine…. If the EU will suffer, then so will the whole world.  It’s the ultimate game of brinksmanship.  And they are the ones driving this bus, along with certain old money connected players in the US, while simultaneously using those players in the US, like Yellen, as a smokescreen for their preferred outcomes. The clear story now is that the EU is blaming the US for all of its ills, exactly like I said they would do over a year ago.  EU Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen just did this, complaining about the US subsidies for green energy projects. French President Emmanuel Macron complained that the US was making too much money off selling the EU natural gas. Are they serious? Putin offered them a way out of this but, as always, the Eurocrats want their cake and eat it too… they want to punish Putin and get their energy at subsidized rates.  Seriously, why does anyone take these apparatchiks seriously?  Everything they do is the equivalent of pointing a gun to their head, pulling the trigger but only grazing the skull and then blaming everyone else for letting them do it and telling the Americans to go kick Russia out of Ukraine.  It’s pathological. What will be the market’s reaction in the event of Russia curbing its production? Clearly oil prices will rise.  China and India will still buy Russian oil, refine it and sell it back to the EU at value-added prices.  The money Europe used to make refining cheap Russian oil will now go to China and India, who paid for it at a discount, using their own currencies or rubles, and Europeans get stuck with the bill. So, in 2023, expect another major wave of inflation based on rising energy prices, China re-opening its economy putting upward pressure on metals prices and food shortages from the EU’s war on the periodic table of elements. Tyler Durden Sat, 12/10/2022 - 09:20.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeDec 10th, 2022