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Goodbye inverted yield curve? Fed looks for alternative signals to guide policy

Federal Reserve officials are scouring new niches of the financial markets to find signals accurate enough to warn the central bank when it is time to stop hiking interest rates before they risk tipping the economy into a recession......»»

Category: topSource: reutersJul 12th, 2018

Return to an inverted yield curve may bring recession warnings

With the Federal Reserve announcement on a decision on interest rates this week, many eyes will be focused on what is going on with Treasury yields over the coming days......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralJan 28th, 2020

Countdown to recession: What an inverted yield curve means

NEW YORK - A dramatic rally in Treasuries this week led some key parts of the U.S. yield curve to reinvert, a signal that has traditionally been bearish for the U.S. economy......»»

Category: topSource: reutersJan 28th, 2020

Why the Return to an Inverted Yield Curve May Bring More Premature Recession Calls

With the Federal Reserve announcement on a decision on interest rates this week, many eyes will be focused on what is going on with Treasury yields over the coming days......»»

Category: blogSource: 247wallstJan 28th, 2020

US yield curve signals optimism for 2020

A U.....»»

Category: topSource: bizjournalsDec 31st, 2019

There"s Almost Always A Buying Opportunity After An Inverted Yield Curve

There"s Almost Always A Buying Opportunity After An Inverted Yield Curve.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaNov 5th, 2019

The Inverted Yield Curve

The Inverted Yield Curve.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaOct 26th, 2019

The Fed: Bullard says he is reluctant to dismiss the warnings from the yield curve

There are a lot of valid reasons why the yield curve being inverted — that is, the yield of short-term bonds being higher than that of longer-term securities — isn’t a sign of economic worries......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchOct 15th, 2019

"Code red": The Duke professor who uncovered the yield curve’s recession warning says it’s time to start preparing for another downturn

Screengrab/YouTube Duke University Professor Campbell Harvey, the inventor of the inverted yield curve as a recession indicator, said investors should pay attention to the latest signal and prepare in an interview with "The.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderOct 8th, 2019

Father of the yield curve says it"s time to prepare for a recession

Campbell Harvey has led work in research on inverted curves, which happens when short-term Treasury yields are higher than those with longer duration......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralOct 8th, 2019

Father of the yield curve says it"s time to prepare for a recession

Campbell Harvey has led work in research on inverted curves, which happens when short-term Treasury yields are higher than those with longer duration......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralOct 8th, 2019

Banks rallied on a Fed cut, and that"s a "very positive" sign, Jim Cramer says

Investors bought bank stocks because there's a chance the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut may "put an end to this artificially inverted yield curve," Jim Cramer says......»»

Category: topSource: madmoneySep 18th, 2019

Stocks fall, Treasury yield curve flattens after Fed cuts rates but sends mixed signals

U.S. stocks extended their losses and the U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened on Wednesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates, as expected, but gave mixed signals regarding future rate moves......»»

Category: topSource: reutersSep 18th, 2019

Does An Inverted Yield Curve Always Mean Recession?

Does An Inverted Yield Curve Always Mean Recession?.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaSep 14th, 2019

Godfather of inverted yield curve warns of "code red" recession risk

One of the initial curves that finance professor Campbell Harvey examined, the 5-year to the 3-month, has been inverted since February......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralSep 10th, 2019

Godfather of the inverted yield curve: Recession risk is "code red"

One of the initial curves that finance professor Campbell Harvey examined, the 5-year to the 3-month, has been inverted since February......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralSep 10th, 2019

Godfather of the inverted yield curve: Recession risk is "code red"

One of the initial curves that finance professor Campbell Harvey examined, the 5-year to the 3-month, has been inverted since February......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralSep 10th, 2019

Wall St. week ahead: Another recent inversion could provide support for stocks

A decline in interest rates on long-term U.S. government bonds below the average stock dividend yield has received less attention than an inverted Treasury yield curve, but it could be a reason stocks find support after a bruising August......»»

Category: topSource: reutersSep 6th, 2019

Asia Markets: Asian markets dip as worries weigh in investors

Asian markets fell in early trading Thursday, as geopolitical tensions and the inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve weighed on investors concerned about a global economic slowdown......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 28th, 2019

Market Snapshot: Stocks close higher though investors still worry about the yield curve, the U.S.-China trade dispute and Brexit

U.S. stocks closed higher Wednesday, but the major indexes were still within ranges seen this month, despite the volatility induced by the inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve, as well as by the U.S.-China trade war, and the threat of a no-deal Brexit......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 28th, 2019

Stellar Demand In 5Y Treasury Auction Sends Yields Across The Curve Sharply Lower

One day after the US sold 2Y Treasurys at a yield that was higher than the market yield on 10Y paper, i.e., the 2s10s yield curve inverted, for the first time since the financial crisis, the Treasury sold $41 billion in 5 Year paper, and if .....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeAug 28th, 2019